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RICH

Richmond 13 at Boston College 45

BC
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:17 · Jake Larson punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+30.0Blowout margin+16.0Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:31: AJ Dillon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:13: Keyston Fuller 35 Yd pass from Joe Mancuso (Jake Larson Kick) — RICH win probability +1.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:15: AJ Dillon 42 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick) — BC win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 5:18: Jake Larson 36 yd FG GOOD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — RICH win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:36: Jake Burt 55 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick) — BC win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:07RICH 4th & 18 at BC 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51BC 4th & 4 at BC 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:51RICH 4th & 6 at BC 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:18RICH 4th & 6 at BC 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:54BC 4th & 3 at RICH 10, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00RICH 4th & 11 at RICH 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:02RICH 4th & 2 at BC 43, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:21BC 4th & 7 at RICH 12, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:17RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:00BC 4th & 6 at BC 49, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:17RICH 4th & 7 at BC 42, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:27BC 4th & 5 at BC 25, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:12RICH 4th & 3 at BC 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:35BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:25BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:31BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:13RICH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:15BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:36BC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:02BC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:2598% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+5
98.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 15 yds to the Richm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
98.1%
Zay Flowers run for 46 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:282% → 2%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Xavier Goodall for 6 yds to the Richm 31Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
98.1%
Xavier Goodall run for 17 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.1%
Joe Mancuso run for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+13
98.1%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Justin Jasper for 13 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
98.1%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Aaron Dykes for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 16
OPP 40
-2
98.1%
Joe Mancuso run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Joe Mancuso pass incomplete to Isaac BrownSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 33 yds, downed at the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
97.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 10Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+5
97.8%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
97.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Jimmy MarcheseSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+4
97.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 34 yds , Charlie Fessler returns for 4 yds to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.6%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
97.6%
Joe Mancuso pass incomplete to Aaron DykesSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
97.6%
Xavier Goodall run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
97.6%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:0698% → 98%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
97.5%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
97.5%
Travis Levy run for 14 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
97.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for 12 yds to the Richm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.6%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Richm 42Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+36
97.6%
David Bailey run for 36 yds to the Richm 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
97.6%
David Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 7Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 7 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 6INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
97.7%
Joe Mancuso run for 7 yds to the Richm 33Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+18
97.7%
Xavier Goodall run for 18 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
97.6%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Richm 46Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Joe Mancuso pass intercepted Nolan Borgersen return for no gain to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:2498% → 98%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
97.7%
David Bailey run for 9 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+7
97.8%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
97.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 12 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
97.8%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Richm 38Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+5
97.8%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Glines,B, PENALTY UR pass interference (Billy Caughell) 5 yards to the UR33, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+30
97.8%
AJ Dillon run for 30 yds to the Richm 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Richm 2Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:182% → 3%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
Devon Perry run for a loss of 5 yards to the Richm 20Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
98.2%
Xavier Goodall run for 7 yds to the Richm 27Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
98.2%
Joe Mancuso run for 14 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
98.2%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 10 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
98.2%
Joe Mancuso run for 9 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
98.1%
Joe Mancuso run for 5 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
97.0%
Keyston Fuller 35 Yd pass from Joe Mancuso (Jake Larson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5897% → 99%
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
97.4%
David Bailey run for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.5%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
97.5%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Richm 46Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
97.4%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.5%
AJ Dillon 42 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 10FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:572% → 3%
Q2 11:15
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+17
98.3%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 17 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
98.2%
Xavier Goodall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 40Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+17
98.2%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 17 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
98.1%
Xavier Goodall run for 2 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-5
98.1%
Joe Mancuso pass incomplete to Ryan Coll (Palmer,M), PENALTY UR ineligible downfield on pass (Keyston Fuller) 5 yards to the BC26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+8
98.2%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 8 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-1
98.2%
Joe Mancuso run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 19Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
98.3%
Joe Mancuso run for 23 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
98.2%
Aaron Dykes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 45Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-5
98.3%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Richm 40Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+4
98.3%
Joe Mancuso run for 4 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
97.0%
Jake Larson 36 yd FG GOOD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4298% → 99%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
97.5%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.5%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
97.4%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
98.9%
Jake Burt 55 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 12INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
97.5%
Xavier Goodall run for a loss of 7 yards to the Richm 18Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
97.5%
Joe Mancuso pass intercepted Tate Haynes return for no gain to the Richm 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.9%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Richm 17Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
98.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Richm 16Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+6
98.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 6 yds to the Richm 10Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 10
0
98.8%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Richm 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
97.5%
Savon Smith run for 13 yds to the Richm 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
97.4%
Joe Mancuso run for 6 yds to the Richm 29Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
97.2%
Savon Smith run for 1 yd to the Richm 30Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
97.2%
Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Richm 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Savon Smith run for 5 yds to the Richm 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
98.6%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 16 yds to the Richm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Joe Mancuso pass incomplete to Keyston FullerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.6%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
0
98.6%
Joe Mancuso pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
50
-5
98.7%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (Maurice Jackson) to the Richm 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:4699% → 100%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.3%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
99.2%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Jake Burt) to the BC 45Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+14
99.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 14 yds to the Richm 41Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
99.3%
Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Richm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
99.3%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 37Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+17
99.3%
Zay Flowers run for 17 yds to the Richm 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.3%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Richm 15Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
99.3%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the Richm 11Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
99.3%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Richm 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.2%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the Richm 2Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.7%
Beau English pass complete to Charlie Fessler for a loss of 4 yards Charlie Fessler fumbled, forced by Mehdi El Attrach, recovered by Richm Charlie FesslerSimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.7%
Beau English pass complete to Charlie Fessler for no gain to the UR27, PENALTY UR ineligible downfield on pass (Joe More) 5 yards to the UR22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
99.7%
Beau English run for 14 yds to the Richm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 40Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.6%
Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (Kyiev Bennermon) to the Richm 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Beau English pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 4 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
99.6%
Beau English run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 48Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Beau English pass complete to Isaac Brown for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-3
99.6%
Beau English run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.8%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+9
99.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 9 yds to the Richm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
99.8%
Zay Flowers run for 29 yds to the Richm 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the Richm 15Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.8%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Richm 12Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Aaron Boumerhi 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Beau English run for no gain to the Richm 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Savon Smith run for 7 yds to the Richm 32Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Beau English pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 6 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Beau English pass complete to Charlie Fessler for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 37Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Aaron Dykes run for 1 yd to the Richm 38Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Beau English pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 3 yds to the Richm 41Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jake Larson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 24 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down RICHMOND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
50
-1
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Danny Longman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the Richm 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.9%
Beau English pass complete to Cameron Cloud for 9 yds to the Richm 25Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Beau English run for 4 yds to the Richm 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.9%
Beau English pass complete to Devon Perry for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 26Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 13
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
RICHMOND Penalty, false start (Andrew Tsangeos) to the Richm 21Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 18
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Beau English run for 5 yds to the Richm 26Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+16
100.0%
Devin Campbell run for 16 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Savon Smith run for 2 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
99.9%
Savon Smith run for 11 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Cameron Cloud run for 1 yd to the BC 44Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Beau English run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Beau English pass incomplete to Jeremiah BrownSimilar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake Larson punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-1
100.0%
Matt Valecce run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 25 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Danny Longman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the Richm 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 23FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
100.0%
Savon Smith run for 8 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Savon Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
100.0%
Savon Smith run for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
Savon Smith run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Devin Campbell run for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-2
100.0%
Devin Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 28Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
100.0%
Jake Larson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:36
Jake Burt 55 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)
+1.5
FG · Q2 5:18
Jake Larson 36 yd FG GOOD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-1.3
TD · Q2 13:13
Keyston Fuller 35 Yd pass from Joe Mancuso (Jake Larson Kick)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com