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W&M

William & Mary 17 at Virginia 52

UVA
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2019 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:27 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:37: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 40 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — W&M win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:37: Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:56: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 9:06: Jake Johnston 40 yd FG GOOD — W&M win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:51: Kris Hooper kickoff for 65 yds , Joe Reed return for 100 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK) — UVA win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2W&M made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00W&M 4th & 2 at W&M 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:53W&M 4th & 10 at W&M 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00W&M 4th & 20 at W&M 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:49W&M 4th & 10 at W&M 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06W&M 4th & 20 at UVA 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:51W&M 4th & 8 at W&M 27, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42W&M 4th & 11 at W&M 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09UVA 4th & 3 at W&M 13, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:30W&M 4th & 19 at W&M 16, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50W&M 4th & 18 at UVA 20, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:22UVA 4th & 14 at W&M 16, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:06W&M 4th & 11 at UVA 37, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7W&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:37UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:53UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:37UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:56UVA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:51UVA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:30UVA Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:55W&M Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:20W&M Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:06UVA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
W&MDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Owen Wright run for 4 yds to the WmMry 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
98.0%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
98.0%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
98.0%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
98.0%
Hollis Mathis run for 15 yds to the WmMry 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Will Michael punt for 36 yds, downed at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 3:2298% → 98%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
97.8%
Lamont Atkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 32Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+12
97.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 12 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
97.8%
PK Kier run for 3 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
97.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 4 yds to the WmMry 49Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+9
97.8%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 9 yds to the WmMry 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
97.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 40 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 3INT TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:443% → 3%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
97.5%
Kane Everson pass complete to Zach Burdick for 27 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.5%
Owen Wright run for 4 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
97.5%
Hollis Mathis run for 3 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+8
97.5%
Hollis Mathis run for 8 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.4%
Hollis Mathis run for 3 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+85
97.4%
Hollis Mathis pass intercepted for a TD Nick Grant return for 85 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.6%
Owen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 24Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
97.6%
Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 25Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Hollis Mathis run for no gain to the WmMry 25Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.6%
Will Michael punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WmMry 45 , Billy Kemp IV returns for 18 yds to the WmMry 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:2398% → 98%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
97.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 18
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+19
97.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds to the WmMry 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Bryce Perkins run for no gain to the WmMry 34Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
97.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 9 yds to the WmMry 25Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+18
97.6%
PK Kier run for 18 yds to the WmMry 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Owen Wright run for 2 yds to the WmMry 27Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
98.0%
Hollis Mathis pass incomplete to Kane Everson, PENALTY VA pass interference (Snowden, C) 11 yards to the WM38, 1ST DOWN WM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.0%
Owen Wright run for 2 yds to the WmMry 40Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-6
98.0%
Hollis Mathis sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 6 yards to the WmMry 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 34
-6
98.1%
Hollis Mathis sacked by Aaron Faumui and Jordan Mack for a loss of 6 yards to the WmMry 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 28
+22
98.1%
Will Michael punt for 46 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 22 yds to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0998% → 99%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.2%
Lamont Atkins run for 3 yds to the WmMry 49Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
98.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the WmMry 45Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+15
98.2%
Bryce Perkins run for 15 yds to the WmMry 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
98.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 15 yds to the WmMry 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.0%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 4 yards to the WmMry 31Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+3
99.1%
Owen Wright run for 3 yds to the WmMry 34Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+1
99.0%
Hollis Mathis run for 1 yd to the WmMry 35Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.0%
George Eberle punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for no gain to the Virg 13 Chuck Davis fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by WmMry Trey WatkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 9FG
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:491% → 3%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
98.9%
Ted Hefter run for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 23Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 20
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Hollis Mathis pass incomplete to Kane EversonSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 20
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Hollis Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 20
OPP 23
+40
96.8%
Jake Johnston 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Owen Wright run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
98.9%
Owen Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 23Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
98.9%
Hollis Mathis run for 4 yds to the WmMry 27Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.9%
George Eberle punt for 36 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 6 yds to the Virg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Chris Sharp, broken up by Nate LewisSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-15
99.1%
Perkins, B pass complete to Kelly, T for loss of 6 yards to the VA37 (Miles Hayes), PENALTY VA clipping (Sharp, C) 15 yards to the VA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+16
99.1%
Bryce Perkins run for 16 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+23
99.1%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 23 yds to the WmMry 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Chatman, broken up by Corey ParkerSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.2%
Tavares Kelly Jr. run for 9 yds to the WmMry 24Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+10
99.1%
Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Miles Hayes return for 10 yds to the WmMry 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Owen Wright run for no gain to the WmMry 20Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Hollis Mathis pass incomplete to Arman JonesSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.3%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 19Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.3%
George Eberle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.5%
PK Kier run for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-5
99.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+17
99.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 17 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
99.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 19 yds to the WmMry 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise DuboisSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 7 yds to the WmMry 13Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
99.5%
Brian Delaney 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
Hollis Mathis run for 3 yds to the WmMry 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.5%
Lamont Atkins run for 1 yd to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+7
99.5%
PK Kier run for 7 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 5 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 12 yds to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 9 yds to the WmMry 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+16
99.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 16 yds to the WmMry 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell ChatmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
99.6%
PK Kier run for 10 yds to the WmMry 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.6%
PK Kier run for 1 yd to the WmMry 9Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Mike Hollins run for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Owen Wright run for no gain to the WmMry 25Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Hollis Mathis sacked by Charles Snowden for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 23Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-7
99.8%
Hollis Mathis sacked by Zane Zandier for a loss of 7 yards to the WmMry 16Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+5
99.8%
George Eberle punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 46 , Billy Kemp IV returns for 5 yds to the Virg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.8%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Olusegun Oluwatimi) to the Virg 41Similar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Jana, broken up by Miles HayesSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Terrell Chatman, broken up by Isaiah LasterSimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Corey Parker return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
50
+38
99.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Zach Burdick for 38 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.8%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (Mark Williamson) to the Virg 17Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Lachlan PittsSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 15
OPP 17
-3
99.8%
Albert Funderburke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 18
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Amonyae WatsonSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 18
OPP 20
+37
99.8%
Jake Johnston 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20INT TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Mike Hollins run for 7 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for 5 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+47
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted for a TD Arman Jones return for 47 yds for a TD, (Jake Johnston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 6 yds to the WmMry 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+37
99.8%
Mike Hollins run for 37 yds to the WmMry 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
99.8%
Billy Kemp IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 13Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the WmMry 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-4
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 4 yards to the WmMry 16Similar
Q4 14:22
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
99.9%
Brian Delaney 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Tyler Klaus for 16 yds to the WmMry 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Donavyn LesterSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+41
99.9%
Albert Funderburke run for 41 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Jaret Anderson run for 5 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+9
99.9%
Albert Funderburke run for 9 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Jaret Anderson run for 2 yds to the Virg 2Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Albert Funderburke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Johnston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Hayden Mitchell for 28 yds to the WmMry 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Chris Sharp for 4 yds to the WmMry 21Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tavares Kelly Jr. for no gain to the WmMry 21Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+20
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 20 yds to the WmMry 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Brandon Battle for 39 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (Kane Everson) to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Jaret Anderson run for 3 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-9
99.9%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Elliott Brown and Nick Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 21
OPP 47
+10
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Donavyn Lester for 10 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Kane EversonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Chris Sharp run for 4 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 11 yds to the WmMry 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Hayden Mitchell for 21 yds to the WmMry 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 9 yds to the WmMry 18Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the WmMry 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the WmMry 11Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the WmMry 8Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Mike Hollins run for 4 yds to the WmMry 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 7Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 9:06
Jake Johnston 40 yd FG GOOD
-2.2
TD · Q2 8:51
Kris Hooper kickoff for 65 yds , Joe Reed return for 100 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 11:56
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Chatman for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Delaney KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com