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SYR

Syracuse 24 at Liberty 0

LIB
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:39 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19 SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Liber 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior−36.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 4:22: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 12 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST down — LIB win probability +2.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 10:33: Abdul Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +2.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:27: Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +8.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 27 — SYR win probability +2.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:35: Moe Neal run for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:55LIB 4th & 10 at LIB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:39LIB 4th & 16 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:39SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:02SYR 4th & 3 at LIB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45SYR 4th & 1 at LIB 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:30SYR 4th & 3 at LIB 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:27LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:37SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:43LIB 4th & 17 at LIB 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54LIB 4th & 16 at LIB 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:51SYR 4th & 2 at LIB 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−1.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:27LIB 4th & 10 at LIB 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:19SYR 4th & 7 at LIB 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:45LIB 4th & 15 at LIB 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:35SYR 4th & 2 at LIB 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−1.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:26LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 40, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:58SYR 4th & 15 at LIB 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:20SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:09LIB 4th & 10 at LIB 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 10:33SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:27SYR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:35SYR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
11.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 5 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
11.9%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
11.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
11.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 8 , DJ Stubbs returns for 1 yd to the Liber 30 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Liber 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
12.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
12.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
12.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Frankie HicksonSimilar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+5
12.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds , Sean Riley returns for 5 yds to the Liber 49 Sean Riley fumbled, forced by Rion Davis, recovered by Liber Rion DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:4613% → 14%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
13.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 12 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
13.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 20 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
13.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 14
OPP 23
-2
13.2%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 16
OPP 25
0
13.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+43
13.8%
Alex Probert 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
13.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Ralfs Rusins for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
13.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Amarii JenkinsSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
13.9%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+40
14.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 55 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19 SYRACUSE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Liber 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+56
14.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 56 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
15.1%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Syrac 4Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
15.1%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3 Joshua Mack fumbled, forced by Trill Williams, recovered by Syrac Josh BlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6INT
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
15.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+6
15.1%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+29
15.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 14 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Amarii Jenkins) to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
14.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
15.1%
Tommy DeVito run for 11 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
14.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
14.7%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Amarii Jenkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+9
15.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 9 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
14.9%
Tommy DeVito pass intercepted Ceneca Espinoza Jr. return for no gain to the Liber 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
17.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 12 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
17.0%
Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
17.0%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Ifeatu Melifonwu return for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3583% → 83%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
16.8%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
16.5%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
16.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 2 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+45
17.2%
Andre Szmyt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 1:4517% → 18%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 8 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
18.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
17.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (Alton Robinson) to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
17.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+15
18.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 15 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-12
18.4%
DJ Stubbs sacked by Lakiem Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the LIBERTY 43 LIBERTY Penalty, intentional grounding (DJ Stubbs) to the Liber 43Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-6
18.1%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Curtis Harper and Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 37
-7
18.0%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 35
OWN 30
0
17.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 3:4782% → 85%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+31
18.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 31 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
17.5%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
17.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Moe NealSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
17.5%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+5
18.2%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
17.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
17.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 7 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
17.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 3 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
17.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
17.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+14
17.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 14 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
17.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
17.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Liber 2Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
15.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
15.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
15.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-3
15.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-2
14.9%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Lakiem Williams and Alton Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 31Similar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
14.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
15.5%
Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+8
14.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
14.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 8 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
14.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
14.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton Jackson, broken up by Javon ScruggsSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
15.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
15.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 14 DJ Stubbs fumbled, recovered by Liber DJ StubbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
15.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+15
15.4%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to DOUGLAS, D., PENALTY SU pass interference (Williams, T.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY31, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
15.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 12 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
16.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Frankie HicksonSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
16.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 44Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-8
15.8%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Evan Foster for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
15.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14INT
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:5784% → 86%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+29
16.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 29 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
15.1%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
15.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
15.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Moe Neal for 11 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
15.1%
Abdul Adams run for 8 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+8
14.8%
Abdul Adams run for 8 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
14.4%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
14.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 11 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
14.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
14.2%
Tommy DeVito pass intercepted Bejour Wilson return for no gain to the Liber 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
15.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
15.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+11
16.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to N/A for 11 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
16.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
17.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to N/A for 7 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
17.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-7
16.9%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
15.7%
Stephen Calvert run for no gain to the Liber 39Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+31
15.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 41 yds , Sean Riley returns for 31 yds to the Liber 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
15.7%
Abdul Adams run for 5 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
15.6%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
15.9%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+1
16.7%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
17.2%
LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Bejour Wilson) to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 4 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
16.6%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
15.6%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Andre Cisco return for 10 yds to the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:5384% → 93%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
16.1%
Moe Neal run for 20 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
15.8%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Liber 17Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
15.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Abdul Adams for 15 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
15.6%
Chris Elmore run for 1 yd to the Liber 1Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
9.4%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-4
9.2%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 19Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
9.1%
Stephen Calvert run for 6 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 37 , Sean Riley returns for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
7.5%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
7.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
7.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
7.1%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
7.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 3 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
7.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
7.8%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
8.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
9.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
9.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
8.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
8.7%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
8.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2594% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
5.9%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
5.9%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+23
5.4%
Tommy DeVito run for 8 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Ceneca Espinoza Jr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
50
0
4.7%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
50
0
4.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Trishton JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
50
+8
4.9%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+42
1.6%
Moe Neal run for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
1.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
1.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+18
1.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 18 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
1.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+2
1.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 2 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
1.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
1.2%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-10
1.2%
Adams, A. rush left for no gain to the LIBERTY38, out-of-bounds (JENKINS, A.), PENALTY SU holding (Vettorello, C.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+9
1.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 9 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-10
1.2%
DeVito, T. sideline pass complete to Adams, A. for 8 yards to the LIBERTY31 (CLARK, K.;DUPREE, T.), PENALTY SU holding (Vettorello, C.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+4
0.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 4 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
0.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26FUMBLE
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
1.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
1.3%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
1.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+23
1.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 23 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
1.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to N/A for 7 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
1.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian King, broken up by Juan WallaceSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
1.4%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+5
1.4%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass incomplete to COLEMAN, K., PENALTY SU offside defense (Richards, T.) 5 yards to the SU47, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Allen StritzingerSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
1.4%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+17
1.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 17 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
1.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
1.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-5
1.6%
Stephen Calvert run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 29 Stephen Calvert fumbled, forced by Kingsley Jonathan, recovered by Syrac Kingsley JonathanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
0.5%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
0.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
0.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Drew TuazamaSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+51
0.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 56 yds, downed at the LIBERTY 10 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.8%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
0.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 4 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+13
0.8%
BENNETT, J. sideline pass incomplete to SHAA, K., PENALTY SU pass interference (Fredrick, C.) 13 yards to the LIBERTY34, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Shedro LouisSimilar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Riley at the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
0.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
0.3%
Jarveon Howard run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:27
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q4 12:35
Moe Neal run for 42 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-3.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 27
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com