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CMU

Central Michigan 0 at Wisconsin 61

WIS
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:24 · Brady Buell punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+37.1Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+20.0Blowout margin+10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Garbage-time factor+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:30: Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:59: Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:59: Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 17 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:38: Nakia Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:21: Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 36 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:32CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:08CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 49, down 16
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 12, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:52CMU 4th & 17 at CMU 18, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:43CMU 4th & 13 at CMU 22, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:24CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 33, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:22CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 27, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:17WIS 4th & 4 at CMU 10, up 44
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:21CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 33, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:03CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 22, down 61
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:00CMU 4th & 1 at WIS 46, down 61
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 8:30WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:59WIS Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:59WIS Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:38WIS Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:21WIS Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:46WIS Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:26WIS Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:11WIS Touchdown, up 60 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:222% → 2%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 9 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.3%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tony Poljan for 3 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-7
98.2%
Quinten Dormady sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+16
98.1%
Brady Buell punt for 46 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 16 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:5598% → 98%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
98.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+11
98.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
98.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
97.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
97.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
97.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 4 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3SF
6 plays · -25 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.8%
Lewis, Kobe rush for 3 yards to the CENTMICH28, PENALTY CENTMICH holding (Eipper, Steve) 10 yards to the CENTMICH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
97.8%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
97.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
97.7%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tony Poljan, broken up by Isaiahh LoudermilkSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-17
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:0198% → 98%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
97.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 20 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
97.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Brandon BrownSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
97.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+12
97.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 12 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.4%
Mason Stokke run for 4 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+6
97.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.4%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:472% → 3%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.6%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Keonta NixonSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
97.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Adam Jones for 8 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kobe Lewis for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
97.3%
Brady Buell punt for 44 yds, downed at the Wisc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
97.7%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+4
97.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
97.6%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
97.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:383% → 3%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Kalil Pimpleton run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+39
97.1%
Quinten Dormady pass intercepted Jack Sanborn return for 39 yds to the CMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:5698% → 99%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
97.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
97.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
98.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 17 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.4%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 19Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
98.4%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-10
98.5%
Moore, David pass complete to Pimpleton, Kalil for 19 yards to the CENTMICH38, PENALTY CENTMICH holding 10 yards to the CENTMICH9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+9
98.5%
Lew Nichols run for 9 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+2
98.5%
Brady Buell punt for 50 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 20 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:0299% → 99%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
98.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 22 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
98.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
98.7%
Nakia Watson run for 23 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
98.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
98.7%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the CMich 3Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.3%
David Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.3%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+9
99.3%
Brady Buell punt for 44 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:0999% → 100%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+36
99.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 36 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
David Moore pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
David Moore pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Brady Buell punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 13 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+18
99.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 46 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
David Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
David Moore pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.7%
Brady Buell punt for 42 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 11 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
99.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Coan, Jack pass complete to Ferguson, Jake for 11 yards to the WISCONSIN49, PENALTY CENTMICH offside 5 yards to the WISCONSIN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+13
99.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
99.7%
Jack Coan sacked by Da'Quaun Jamison for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 16
50
+6
99.7%
Jack Coan run for 6 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 11 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+51
99.7%
Collin Larsh 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jacques Bristol) to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
99.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.8%
Danny Davis III run for 8 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 4 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+11
99.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
99.8%
Collin Larsh 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
David Moore pass complete to Tony Poljan for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
David Moore pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan, broken up by Faion HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
99.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 21 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
John Chenal run for 4 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+15
99.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 15 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 1 yd to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 2 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Brady Buell punt for 43 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:04100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 19 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Nakia Watson for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 8 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
99.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 17 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 8 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
John Chenal run for 5 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
100.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
John Chenal run for 2 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
100.0%
Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Chenal, John, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference (Reed, Devonni) 4 yards to the CENTMICH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+13
100.0%
Brady Buell punt for 48 yds , Aron Cruickshank returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Brady Schipper run for no gain to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Chase Wolf pass complete to John Chenal for 2 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+9
100.0%
Chase Wolf run for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the CMich 45 Nakia Watson fumbled, recovered by CMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:350% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Oakley Lavallii for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Romello Ross run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:59
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 17 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 6:38
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 2:59
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Larsh KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com