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LIB

Liberty 34 at Rutgers 44

RUTG
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.5RUTG 99.2%Justin Davidovicz 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 44 · Q4 3:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:22 · Justin Davidovicz 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense+31.6Score differential+14.8Garbage-time factor+14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:18: Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +6.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:16: Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +12.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:00: Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 51 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +12.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:24: Isaih Pacheco run for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +18.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:39: Justin Davidovicz 27 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +9.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:43RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 1:55LIB 4th & 19 at LIB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−3.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:24RUTG 4th & 6 at LIB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:53LIB 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−11.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:39RUTG 4th & 3 at LIB 9, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%−0.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−8.6
    average punt
  6. Q4 15:00LIB 4th & 18 at LIB 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:04RUTG 4th & 5 at LIB 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:36LIB 4th & 10 at RUTG 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:22RUTG 4th & 5 at LIB 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:43LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:17RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:50LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:18RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:29LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:16RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:00RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:24RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:28LIB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:1773% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
26.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 7 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
26.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
26.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
26.6%
DJ Stubbs pass complete to Zac Foutz for 38 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
26.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
26.6%
Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+15
26.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 15 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
26.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
26.6%
CALVERT, S. pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY RU holding (Lumor, Elorm) 4 yards to the RU4, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
26.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:2627% → 32%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
27.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
27.2%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
27.1%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
27.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
27.9%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
27.8%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
28.0%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Washington, I., PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (WILSON, B.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY34, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
28.2%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
28.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 6 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
28.2%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
28.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 5 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+14
28.0%
Johnny Langan run for 14 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.2%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:2269% → 74%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
31.0%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-5
31.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 11Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+43
31.1%
Joshua Mack run for 43 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
30.0%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
29.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
29.7%
Frankie Hickson run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
26.3%
Joshua Mack run for 18 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:3228% → 39%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
28.0%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
28.0%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
28.3%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.2%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+19
28.0%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 19 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
29.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
30.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
30.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 15 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
30.0%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 7 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-5
30.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Liber 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+12
30.0%
Johnny Langan run for 12 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.0%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:4266% → 74%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+40
34.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 40 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
32.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
32.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+29
26.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 29 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1328% → 44%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.2%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
28.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.9%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
29.5%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+27
28.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 27 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
31.3%
Aaron Young run for 10 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
31.3%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
31.3%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+11
30.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 11 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
31.3%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:1464% → 61%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
36.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 13 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
35.6%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
34.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-5
35.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-10
37.1%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Mike Tverdov and Tyreek Maddox-Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
39.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:2341% → 42%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
40.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
42.4%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
42.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-5
42.6%
Johnny Langan sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 14
50
+8
39.3%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 8 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
41.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
38.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5442% → 58%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
42.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
41.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 12 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
45.0%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
45.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+51
57.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 51 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:5646% → 50%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
53.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
54.1%
Brandon Robinson sacked by Elorm Lumor for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 37Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+27
56.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 27 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
51.8%
Joshua Mack run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Christian Izien) to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
49.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
49.4%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+6
51.3%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Elorm Lumor) to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
49.4%
Stephen Calvert run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.4%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.3%
Stephen Calvert run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 11:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
52.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Sam Isaacson) to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
50.3%
Alex Probert 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2956% → 79%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
56.3%
Johnny Langan run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
59.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+9
59.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 9 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
60.2%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+1
60.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+12
58.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 12 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
60.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
60.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+19
78.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3580% → 88%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
79.7%
Johnny Langan run for 7 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
79.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Daevon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
78.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
88.4%
Justin Davidovicz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:3914% → 11%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
85.7%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
85.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Tristan Schultz) to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-11
88.4%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Rashawn Battle for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
88.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds, downed at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 6:1692% → 98%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
91.6%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
91.4%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.8%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
95.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
95.0%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
95.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 14 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.3%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Matt AlaimoSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
95.3%
Johnny Langan run for 16 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.1%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
98.1%
Justin Davidovicz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 2:205% → 6%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
95.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
95.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Tim BarrowSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+4
95.7%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+4
95.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 4 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+6
95.8%
CALVERT, S. pass incomplete to FRITH, N., QB hurry by Turner, Julius, PENALTY RU pass interference (Young, Avery) 6 yards to the LIBERTY37, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
95.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 22 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley, broken up by Tijaun MasonSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Noah Frith for 13 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
94.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
94.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
94.9%
Alex Probert 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 65
OPP 0
-15
94.2%
PROBERT, A. kickoff 12 yards to the LIBERTY47, on-side kick, recovered by LIBERTY HUNTLEY, J. on LIBERTY47, PENALTY LIBERTY offside (GANDY-GOLDEN,A.) 5 yards to the LIBERTY30, NO PLAY, PENALTY LIBERTY unsportsmanlike conduct (HICKSON, F.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY15, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18FG
10 plays · 5 yds · 2:1298% → 99%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
97.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-10
97.9%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for no gain to the LIBERTY20 (SCRUGGS, J.), PENALTY RU holding (Sutton, Reggie) 10 yards to the LIBERTY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+2
97.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+12
97.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 12 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
97.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-10
97.9%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for no gain to the LIBERTY20 (SCRUGGS, J.), PENALTY RU holding (Sutton, Reggie) 10 yards to the LIBERTY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+2
97.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+12
97.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 12 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+34
99.2%
Justin Davidovicz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 2:492% → 7%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
97.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+4
97.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Malik DixonSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+20
97.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 20 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+30
97.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 30 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Noah Frith, broken up by Avery YoungSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Joshua Mack for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+11
97.3%
Joshua Mack run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.1%
Stephen Calvert run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
97.0%
Stephen Calvert run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.2%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:24
Isaih Pacheco run for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q3 12:00
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 51 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q2 3:16
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com