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BC

Boston College 30 at Rutgers 16

RUTG
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+5.8RUTG 39.4%Justin Davidovicz 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 13 · Q2 0:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:44 · Justin Davidovicz 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior−12.6Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:48: Anthony Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +4.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:44: Justin Davidovicz 28 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +5.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Aaron Boumerhi 37 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +4.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:56: AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +10.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:32: AJ Dillon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BC win probability +10.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:02RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46BC 4th & 12 at BC 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50BC 4th & 5 at BC 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52RUTG 4th & 5 at BC 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52BC 4th & 6 at BC 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:22RUTG 4th & 4 at BC 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:16BC 4th & 2 at BC 18, up 4
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33BC 4th & 6 at BC 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:44RUTG 4th & 6 at BC 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−6.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00BC 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:08RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:56RUTG 4th & 10 at BC 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:34BC 4th & 7 at BC 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:09RUTG 4th & 20 at BC 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:09BC 4th & 1 at RUTG 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−2.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−10.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:25RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:11BC 4th & 1 at BC 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:12BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:54RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:48BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:56BC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:32BC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 1:4873% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
27.0%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
27.0%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
27.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
27.0%
AJ Dillon run for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
27.0%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
27.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
27.2%
David Bailey run for 42 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
27.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-5
27.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+11
27.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
27.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+36
27.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the RUTGERS 9 RUTGERS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
27.6%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
27.5%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-5
27.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+8
27.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
27.5%
Zay Flowers run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
27.4%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-5
27.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 39Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+12
27.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 12 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
27.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
27.3%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
27.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
27.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0928% → 31%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
28.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
28.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+74
30.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 74 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
30.7%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
30.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 3 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
30.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+5
31.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 40 , Avery Young returns for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:5832% → 36%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
31.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 11 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
32.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
32.3%
Isaih Pacheco pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+3
32.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OWN 0
+15
30.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Lawrence Stevens) to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
32.5%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for 15 yards to the BC18, PENALTY RU holding (Krimin, Nick) 10 yards to the BC43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+23
31.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 23 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
32.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 25Similar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
32.3%
Bo Melton run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+14
32.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 14 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
32.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
32.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 4 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
32.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the BC 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
35.9%
Justin Davidovicz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
35.5%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
35.3%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
34.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
35.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+1
36.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 9 , Avery Young returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
36.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
36.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for no gain to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+8
35.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 8 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
36.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
36.4%
Blackshear, R. rush for 3 yards to the RU28 (Barlow,B;Palmer,M), PENALTY RU holding (Venesky, Zach) 10 yards to the RU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
36.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 12 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, forced by Brandon Barlow, recovered by BC Mehdi El AttrachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1465% → 69%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
35.4%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
35.4%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
36.1%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.3%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:2634% → 34%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
33.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 21 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
34.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
35.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
35.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
33.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
33.4%
David Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 8Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+7
33.9%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+3
34.1%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
34.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
33.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
32.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+3
33.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
32.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 54 yds, downed at the BC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
33.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+4
34.0%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
34.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Korab IdriziSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+9
35.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds , Avery Young returns for 9 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:4737% → 39%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
36.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+17
36.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 17 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
37.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 15 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
37.9%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Melton, Bo (Maitre,J), PENALTY RU ineligible downfield on pass (Maietti, M.) 5 yards to the BC19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 15
OPP 19
-2
37.6%
Artur Sitkowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+3
37.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+8
33.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 8 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
39.4%
Justin Davidovicz 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 0:4465% → 67%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
35.5%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Dillon,A, QB hurry by Lumor, Elorm, PENALTY RU holding (Turner, Julius) 10 yards to the BC35, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
35.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
33.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 24 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
31.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 15 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
31.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
31.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
32.5%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 15
OPP 20
0
33.7%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
32.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
33.1%
Longman,D kickoff 64 yards to the RU1, Avery, Tre return to the RU20 (Palmer,M;Jordan-Williams), PENALTY BC offside (Sparacio,J) 5 yards to the BC30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:4837% → 34%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
36.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
37.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-15
36.9%
Sitkowski, A. pass complete to Blackshear, R. for 12 yards to the BC41, out-of-bounds (Haynes,T), PENALTY RU pass interference (Robinson, D.) 15 yards to the RU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+10
32.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+6
33.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds , Travis Levy returns for 6 yds to the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:2667% → 82%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
32.8%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
32.6%
Zay Flowers run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+16
33.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.5%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+17
31.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 17 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
29.9%
AJ Dillon run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
29.7%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.7%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.7%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.0%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
19.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
20.8%
Artur Sitkowski run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+20
20.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 20 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
22.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
22.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 38Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-10
21.7%
Sitkowski, A. rush for 10 yards to the BC28 (Maitre,J), PENALTY RU holding (Lonsdorf, Mike) 10 yards to the BC48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+8
20.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 8 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
19.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
19.3%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+6
19.1%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
18.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 26 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
16.9%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
17.0%
Ben Glines run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-5
17.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Hunter Long) to the BC 49Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
17.2%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
18.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5517% → 18%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
17.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 25 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
19.7%
Bo Melton run for 21 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
21.1%
Sitkowski, A. pass complete to Blackshear, R. for no gain to the BC22, PENALTY RU holding (Melton, Bo) 10 yards to the BC32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
20.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaih Pacheco, broken up by TJ RayamSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
19.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Rashawn Battle for no gain to the BC 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 32
0
18.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by Jason MaitreSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+50
17.5%
Justin Davidovicz 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 6:3783% → 96%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.0%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
16.3%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
16.3%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
15.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
15.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 7 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
15.1%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+11
15.1%
Anthony Brown run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
14.6%
Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-2
13.9%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-5
14.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Travis Levy) to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+10
15.0%
Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
13.9%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
13.9%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
14.6%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
16.2%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
13.9%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
13.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 7 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+5
14.6%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.3%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+28
4.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 28 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
5.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Brandon SebastianSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
5.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted Mike Palmer return for no gain to the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 14 yds · 2:1596% → 98%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
4.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
4.0%
AJ Dillon run for 10 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
3.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
2.8%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
2.6%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
2.4%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
2.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-5
2.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 17
OWN 39
-2
2.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:56
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q4 6:32
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-10.3
FG · Q2 0:44
Justin Davidovicz 28 yd FG GOOD
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com