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MASS

Massachusetts 21 at Rutgers 48

RUTG
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:56 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:02: Bilal Ally run for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +6.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:03: Isaih Pacheco run for 57 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 28 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +4.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:11: Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +4.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 11:15: Justin Davidovicz 23 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 10 at RUTG 39, tied
    Close callWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    13.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33RUTG 4th & 2 at MASS 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:19MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:03MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:04RUTG 4th & 3 at MASS 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:04MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:15RUTG 4th & 5 at MASS 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:08MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:02MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:06RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 26, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:02MASS 4th & 9 at RUTG 33, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:32MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:33MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:54RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:02MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:40RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:03RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:54RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:11RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:18RUTG Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:2813% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.5%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
87.5%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
87.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+18
87.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.5%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
87.5%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
87.5%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+12
87.5%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 12 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
87.5%
Jessie Britt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-2
87.5%
Randall West pass complete to Jessie Britt for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
86.4%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
86.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+20
85.6%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 20 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
85.8%
Bo Melton run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
85.8%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
85.8%
McLane Carter pass intercepted Joseph Norwood return for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:2715% → 17%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
84.7%
Randall West run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
83.5%
Cam Roberson run for 39 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:3985% → 82%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
84.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
84.5%
McLane Carter pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 10 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
84.7%
McLane Carter sacked by Charly Timite for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
84.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+17
84.5%
McLane Carter pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
85.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+6
84.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+7
85.0%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 7 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
85.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+13
85.0%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 13 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
85.1%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 15 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
85.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:5220% → 27%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.3%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
79.9%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
80.1%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 27 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
79.7%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
79.5%
Randall West pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
79.5%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+6
79.5%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
79.4%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OPP 25
-10
79.3%
WEST, Randall pass incomplete to EMILUS, Samuel, PENALTY UMASS holding (THOMAS-ISHMAN) 10 yards to the RU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+2
79.5%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+33
73.2%
Bilal Ally run for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2074% → 79%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
74.0%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 30 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
74.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
75.2%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Daevon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+33
78.5%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 33 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:1223% → 25%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
77.3%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
77.3%
Randall West sacked by Elorm Lumor and Olakunle Fatukasi for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+29
77.8%
Randall West run for 29 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
76.3%
WEST, Randall pass complete to SIMON, Zak for 1 yard to the UMASS47 (Young, Avery;Barrow, Tim), PENALTY UMASS illegal formation 5 yards to the UMASS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+3
76.9%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+5
76.7%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Randall West pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
74.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:0475% → 82%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
75.0%
McLane Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
74.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+18
74.6%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 18 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
75.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+57
81.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 57 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.7%
Kevin Brown run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
79.2%
Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
79.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:3080% → 81%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
80.2%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.8%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
80.5%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+15
80.6%
Carter, McLane pass incomplete to Melton, Bo, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (RODGERS, Isaiah) 15 yards to the UMASS31, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
81.4%
Carter, McLane pass incomplete to Robinson, D., PENALTY UMASS pass interference (BRITO, Andrew) 15 yards to the UMASS16, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
81.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
81.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
80.8%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Daevon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
81.0%
Justin Davidovicz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.6%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
79.3%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
79.5%
Randall West pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
80.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, kick catching interference (Joseph Norwood) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:0382% → 87%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
50
+20
81.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 20 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
82.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
87.0%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 28 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
86.0%
Cam Roberson run for 6 yds to the UMass 33 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
85.6%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+8
86.0%
Cam Roberson run for 8 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
85.3%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
84.9%
Randall West pass intercepted Avery Young return for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 0:2287% → 91%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.7%
McLane Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+52
86.4%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 52 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
87.2%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0710% → 9%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+15
91.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Damon Hayes) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-15
90.7%
GARCIA, Cooper kickoff 7 yards to the RU43, on-side kick, recovered by UMASS BOWE JR., J. on RU43, PENALTY UMASS targeting (NESMITH, M.) 15 yards to the UMASS35, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:4492% → 96%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
91.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
91.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
92.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 29 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
92.2%
McLane Carter pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 25 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
92.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the UMass 7Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.5%
McLane Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
96.4%
Justin Davidovicz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
95.3%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
95.3%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 29 yds, downed at the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
97.0%
McLane Carter pass complete to Paul Woods for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
50
0
97.0%
McLane Carter pass intercepted Isaiah Rodgers return for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
96.7%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+5
96.7%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 5 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-6
96.7%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+6
96.8%
Randall West run for 6 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
96.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:5498% → 99%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+9
97.4%
McLane Carter pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 9 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
97.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
97.4%
McLane Carter pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 15 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+6
97.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+4
97.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
97.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the UMass 11 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 17
OPP 21
+3
97.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+3
97.4%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
98.5%
McLane Carter pass intercepted, touchback. Isaiah Rodgers return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.3%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 0
0
98.0%
WEST, Randall pass incomplete to SIMON, Zak, PENALTY RU illegal use of hands off-setting, PENALTY UMASS holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
98.2%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.2%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
98.2%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
98.2%
Randall West pass complete to Melvin Hill for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OWN 36
-5
98.2%
Randall West sacked by Elorm Lumor and Jamree Kromah for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
98.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
98.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
98.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+10
98.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 10 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
99.8%
Andrew Brito run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Andrew Brito pass intercepted, touchback. Tre Avery return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-3
99.9%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 8 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 13 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Tre AverySimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Christian IzienSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:02
Bilal Ally run for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q2 9:03
Isaih Pacheco run for 57 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 1:54
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 28 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com