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PUR

Purdue 24 at Wisconsin 45

WIS
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:28 · Aidan O'Connell sacked by Christian Bell for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+18.5Home team on offense+16.1Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:30: Milton Wright pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 37 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:59: Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +4.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:00: Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 29 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:13: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:40: Mason Stokke run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:29PUR 4th & 1 at WIS 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:24PUR 4th & 6 at WIS 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:18PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:26WIS 4th & 2 at PUR 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:57PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:59PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:28PUR 4th & 8 at WIS 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:42PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:40PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:29WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:30PUR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:18WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:59WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:00WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:13PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:40WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3194% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
94.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
94.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 13 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.2%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
94.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
94.2%
A.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
94.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+27
93.8%
Aron Cruickshank run for 27 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:056% → 8%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
93.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 27 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.6%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
93.6%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
93.7%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+1
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 1 yd to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+5
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Caesar WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
93.6%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+28
92.1%
J.D. Dellinger 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5492% → 93%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
92.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
92.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
92.2%
Jack Coan sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 28 Jack Coan fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+16
92.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 16 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
92.3%
Jack Coan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
92.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 51 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:378% → 10%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
92.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 38 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
92.1%
Zander Horvath run for 27 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
91.9%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 2 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
90.5%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
90.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
90.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 28 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
91.0%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-5
91.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+11
90.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 11 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-6
90.9%
A.J. Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 37 A.J. Taylor fumbled, forced by George Karlaftis, recovered by Prdue Navon MosleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:0911% → 16%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
88.9%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
88.4%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
88.5%
Milton Wright rush for loss of 2 yards to the PUR44 (Baun, Zack;Sanborn, Jack), PENALTY WIS offside (Orr, Chris) 5 yards to the WIS49, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
88.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
84.3%
Milton Wright pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 37 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0586% → 89%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
85.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
85.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 16 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
86.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 13 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.1%
Aron Cruickshank run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
87.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
86.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
88.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jack Dunn for 18 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 15 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Zack BaunSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Caesar WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
87.4%
Zac Collins punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:1487% → 88%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
87.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
87.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
88.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
87.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
87.2%
Jack Coan run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
87.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
87.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Brennan Thieneman, recovered by Prdue Derrick BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
85.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
84.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
84.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
85.5%
Zac Collins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:2286% → 90%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
85.8%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+17
86.9%
Aron Cruickshank run for 17 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
87.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+62
89.5%
Zach Hintze 62 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.4%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
88.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 15 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.7%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
87.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
87.0%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
87.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
86.4%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
86.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Eric Burrell return for 1 yd to the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 5:2288% → 94%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
87.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+3
87.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+5
86.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
87.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+49
87.5%
Kendric Pryor run for 49 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
89.1%
Kendric Pryor run for 7 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
89.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
89.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
92.5%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 18 PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
92.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Zander Horvath, broken up by Chris OrrSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
92.9%
Zac Collins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
93.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
93.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 37 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, recovered by Prdue George KarlaftisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:198% → 6%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
91.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
91.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+15
92.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
91.3%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
91.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 8
OPP 42
-10
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Christian Bell for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:2295% → 99%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
95.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+11
95.0%
A.J. Taylor run for 11 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 29 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:472% → 6%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 21 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+29
98.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 29 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:1396% → 97%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (Lawrence Johnson) to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+5
96.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
96.3%
Jack Coan run for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 26 Jack Coan fumbled,Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 26
0
96.1%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+22
96.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 22 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
96.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+10
96.5%
Jack Coan pass intercepted Dedrick Mackey return for 10 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.3%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
95.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 14 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
94.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
94.8%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
94.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete, broken up by John TorchioSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+7
95.4%
Brooks Cormier punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 24 , Danny Davis III returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 5:5597% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
96.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
97.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+16
97.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 16 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+24
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 24 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Mason Stokke run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Rachad WildgooseSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+8
99.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 8 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-1
99.4%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:59
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 0:13
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q3 2:00
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 29 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com