Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 6 at Penn State 27

PSU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 24 yds to the PnSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+44.0Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:05: Journey Brown run for 18 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT BLOCKED) — PSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:55: Justin Davidovicz 38 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +3.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:49: Ricky Slade run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45 — PSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:16: Will Levis pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 44 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:13: Journey Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 13 at RUTG 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:07RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13PSU 4th & 12 at PSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:32RUTG 4th & 7 at PSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 24 at RUTG 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:35PSU 4th & 15 at PSU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:51RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:05RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:37PSU 4th & 21 at PSU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:06RUTG 4th & 4 at PSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:55RUTG 4th & 2 at PSU 21, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:16RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:30PSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:10PSU 4th & 4 at RUTG 4, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 0:06PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:05PSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:16PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:13PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.9%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+17
98.9%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for 17 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.9%
KJ Hamler run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
98.9%
Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+2
98.9%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+6
98.9%
Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Will Levis pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.9%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-6
98.9%
Will Levis sacked by Tyshon Fogg and Damon Hayes for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.5%
Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+5
98.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+27
98.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 27 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
98.4%
Johnny Langan sacked by Micah Parsons for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+7
98.4%
Johnny Langan run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
98.4%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 9
OWN 46
-5
98.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
98.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.1%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 18Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
98.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
98.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Journey BrownSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+1
98.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds , Avery Young returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:512% → 3%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.0%
Aaron Young run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+39
97.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 39 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
97.9%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 17Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-15
97.9%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Alaimo, Matt, PENALTY RU personal foul 15 yards to the PSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 27
OPP 32
+5
97.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+15
98.0%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 15 yds to the PnSt 12Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
97.4%
Justin Davidovicz 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2097% → 97%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
97.4%
Journey Brown run for 19 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.5%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
97.5%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+30
97.5%
Will Levis run for 30 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.6%
Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+14
97.6%
Will Levis run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.6%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Journey Brown run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout RUTGERS, clock 00:06 (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:063% → 3%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
97.2%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
97.3%
Johnny Langan sacked by Daniel Joseph and Judge Culpepper for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+8
97.3%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+22
97.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 22 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
97.1%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-15
97.2%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo Melton RUTGERS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bo Melton) to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 46
+24
97.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 24 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
96.6%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
96.6%
Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-8
96.6%
Will Levis sacked by CJ Onyechi for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 25Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Blake Gillikin punt for 72 yds, downed at the Rutgr 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
96.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+16
96.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
96.2%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+6
96.3%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-4
96.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9INT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
95.7%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
95.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.9%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
96.0%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
96.0%
PENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 47Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+5
95.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.0%
Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
96.0%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Will Levis pass intercepted Tre Avery return for no gain to the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10MISSED FG
18 plays · 80 yds · 3:545% → 7%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
95.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+6
95.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
94.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+11
94.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
94.8%
Johnny Langan run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+6
94.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
94.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 18 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.6%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Trent GordonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
93.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Christian Dremel for 11 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.3%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
93.3%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 6 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+4
93.3%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.9%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+35
93.0%
Justin Davidovicz 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:097% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
93.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
93.4%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:5893% → 96%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+49
93.0%
Will Levis run for 49 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
94.0%
Journey Brown run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
96.2%
Journey Brown run for 18 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Paul Woods for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.6%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
95.6%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
95.4%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
95.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, downed at the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
95.1%
KJ Hamler run for 6 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+7
95.2%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.2%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for no gain to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Daniel George for 11 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
95.5%
Journey Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
95.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-10
95.0%
Will Levis sacked by Tyshon Fogg for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 21
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Blake Gillikin punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:475% → 9%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
94.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
94.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+15
95.0%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Jabbie, Mohamed (Ellis, Keaton), QB hurry by Brown, Cam, PENALTY PSU roughing passer (Oweh, Jayson) 15 yards to the RU37, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
94.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+16
94.5%
Johnny Langan run for 16 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
94.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
93.8%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
94.1%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+4
94.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 4 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
93.8%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the PnSt 26 Johnny Langan fumbled, forced by Garrett Taylor, recovered by Rutgr Johnny LanganSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+5
93.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the PnSt 21Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
94.2%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the PnSt 21Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
91.0%
Justin Davidovicz 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3394% → 98%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
94.4%
Ricky Slade run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
94.6%
Ricky Slade run for 14 yds to the PENNST 41 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Pat Freiermuth) to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
94.6%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 9
50
+11
94.6%
Ricky Slade run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
94.7%
Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-7
94.7%
Will Levis sacked by Rashawn Battle for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+44
97.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 44 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.8%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
96.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
96.6%
Johnny Langan sacked by Cam Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
96.9%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Trent GordonSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+13
97.0%
Johnny Langan run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:1798% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.9%
Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
97.9%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
97.9%
Journey Brown run for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+5
97.6%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
98.0%
KJ Hamler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+33
97.9%
Journey Brown run for 33 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.0%
Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Journey Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.6%
Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete to Dan ChisenaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
99.6%
Adams, Kay'Ron rush for 3 yards to the RU7 (25), PENALTY RU holding 2 yards to the RU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+1
99.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+8
99.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+8
99.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 8 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 6 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
99.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Bo Melton for 21 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 14:55
Justin Davidovicz 38 yd FG GOOD
-3.1
TD · Q4 12:16
Will Levis pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 44 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 12:05
Journey Brown run for 18 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar PAT BLOCKED)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com