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PUR

Purdue 7 at Penn State 35

PSU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:48 · Zac Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the PnSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+16.9Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+19.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.9Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:20: Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:17: Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:18: Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:03: Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:03 — PSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: J.D. Dellinger kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) — PUR win probability +1.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:57PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:58PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51PUR 4th & 18 at PUR 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:47PSU 4th & 6 at PUR 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:01PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01PUR 4th & 12 at PSU 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:57PSU 4th & 20 at PSU 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:51PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:07PSU 4th & 1 at PUR 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:10PSU 4th & 5 at PUR 36, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:43PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:52PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:45PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:21PSU 4th & 8 at PUR 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:48PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:00PSU 4th & 13 at PSU 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:53PUR 4th & 21 at PUR 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:52PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:22PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:04PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:20PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:17PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:18PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:44PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:384% → 4%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
95.9%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+5
95.8%
Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-9
95.6%
Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 15
OWN 28
+17
95.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 45 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 17 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:1396% → 95%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.5%
Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 4
50
+16
95.5%
Sean Clifford run for 16 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.4%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
95.3%
Journey Brown run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+9
95.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 9 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
95.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:595% → 5%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.3%
Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+26
95.3%
Brooks Cormier punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 26 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5195% → 96%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
95.3%
Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+16
95.2%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (Cam Allen) to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
95.2%
Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
95.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 5 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
Sean Clifford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:395% → 5%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
95.4%
Plummer, Jack pass complete to Bell, David for 5 yards to the PURDUE30, PENALTY PURDUE illegal touching (Bell, David) 5 yards to the PURDUE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Zac Collins punt for 36 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 25 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:4096% → 96%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
95.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+72
96.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 72 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:174% → 4%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.2%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
96.3%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+5
96.5%
Zac Collins punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 35 KJ Hamler fumbled, recovered by PnSt KJ HamlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2296% → 98%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.4%
Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
96.5%
Jahan Dotson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+48
96.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 48 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
96.7%
Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
96.7%
Ricky Slade run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.7%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete, PENALTY PURDUE personal foul 4 yards to the PURDUE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
96.8%
Ricky Slade run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:192% → 1%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.3%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
98.2%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.3%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-8
98.5%
Jack Plummer sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 18
OWN 37
-2
98.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 4 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
98.5%
Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
98.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 9 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
98.6%
Sean Clifford pass intercepted Simeon Smiley return for 15 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:131% → 3%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+43
98.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 43 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
98.5%
Jack Plummer sacked by Fred Hansard for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 18
OPP 26
+11
99.0%
Jack Plummer run for 11 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
96.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:1198% → 98%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.6%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-4
97.7%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
97.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
50
+9
97.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 9 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
97.8%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
97.8%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+10
97.9%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to George, Daniel, PENALTY PURDUE holding 10 yards to the PURDUE21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-8
98.0%
KJ Hamler run for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 18
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Noah CainSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+12
97.9%
Sean Clifford run for 12 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
97.8%
Jake Pinegar 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:413% → 2%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-9
97.6%
Jack Plummer sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
97.6%
Zac Collins punt for 25 yds , Jonathan Sutherland returns for no gain to the Prdue 36 Jonathan Sutherland fumbled, recovered by PrdueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:533% → 2%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.3%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
97.3%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+21
97.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaquan Brisker) to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-11
97.1%
Jack Plummer sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 21
OWN 48
+9
97.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 9 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 12
OPP 43
-13
98.4%
Jack Plummer sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan ChisenaSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan ChisenaSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-10
97.8%
Sean Clifford sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 20Similar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 20
OWN 20
-7
97.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 51 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:503% → 2%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
97.5%
Jack Plummer sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+3
97.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+1
97.6%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Brooks Cormier punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1198% → 98%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
98.2%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
98.2%
Devyn Ford run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+5
98.1%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.3%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
98.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
98.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-3
98.0%
Zac Collins punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2898% → 98%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.3%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
98.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for no gain to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
98.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 1 yd to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+25
98.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the PENNST 20 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-14 Yards) to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Alfred Armour for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
98.0%
PURDUE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Brooks Cormier punt for 42 yds, downed at the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:0998% → 99%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.0%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
98.0%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
98.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
98.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 12 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
98.7%
Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-1
98.9%
KJ Hamler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Ricky SladeSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+41
98.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Prdue 4 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (2 Yards) to the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
98.7%
King Doerue run for 14 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
98.7%
King Doerue run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 15
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+8
98.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
99.0%
Zac Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:2099% → 99%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 1 yd to the PnSt 31Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
99.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Dan Chisena for 6 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.2%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
99.2%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Sean Clifford run for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.2%
Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-10
99.2%
PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mike Miranda) to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:501% → 1%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
99.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
99.1%
Jack Plummer sacked by Lamont Wade for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+7
99.2%
Jackson Anthrop run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-11
99.2%
Jack Plummer sacked by Micah Parsons for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 21
OWN 34
-6
99.2%
Zac Collins punt for 47 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:5299% → 100%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
99.3%
Noah Cain run for 11 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.3%
Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 25Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+22
99.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 22 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.3%
Noah Cain run for 16 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.4%
Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+27
99.4%
Noah Cain run for 27 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 27 King Doerue fumbled, forced by Charlie Katshir, recovered by Prdue Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Zac Collins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 27FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 20 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
100.0%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Will Levis run for no gain to the Prdue 35 Will Levis fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jaylan AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the PnSt 48 Jackson Anthrop fumbled, forced by DJ Brown, recovered by PnSt Drew HartlaubSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 45Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:18
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 14:17
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+1.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
J.D. Dellinger kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com