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IDHO

Idaho 7 at Penn State 79

PSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Mason Petrino pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:35: Jordan Stout 53 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:03: Journey Brown run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:50: Ricky Slade run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:28: Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 36 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:27: Devyn Ford run for 81 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 13:30IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30PSU 4th & 11 at IDHO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:35PSU 4th & 10 at IDHO 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:03IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:33IDHO 4th & 23 at IDHO 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:22IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 33, down 20
    Close callPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:14PSU 4th & 2 at IDHO 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−1.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:29IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:04IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 34, down 27
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:14PSU 4th & 5 at IDHO 47, up 27
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:38IDHO 4th & 12 at PSU 49, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:58IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 28, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:42IDHO 4th & 14 at IDHO 21, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:28PSU 4th & 3 at IDHO 3, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:17IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 28, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:48PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 32, up 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:42IDHO 4th & 10 at PSU 28, down 58
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:35PSU 4th & 4 at IDHO 17, up 58
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:16IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 32, down 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:02IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 31, down 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:03PSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:50PSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:28PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:27PSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:39PSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:11PSU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:28PSU Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:51PSU Touchdown, up 64 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:35IDHO Touchdown, down 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:48PSU Touchdown, up 64 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:17PSU Touchdown, up 71 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2426% → 27%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.7%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Nick RomanoSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.6%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.5%
Mason Petrino run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
73.4%
Logan Kendall run for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4474% → 73%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
73.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 11 yds to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
73.6%
KJ Hamler run for 16 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
73.6%
Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler, broken up by Tyrese DedmonSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
73.4%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 11 Sean Clifford fumbled, recovered by PnStSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
73.4%
Jake Pinegar 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4927% → 26%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.3%
Aundre Carter run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.2%
Aundre Carter run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-9
73.3%
Mason Petrino sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
73.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4574% → 74%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
73.7%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
73.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
73.9%
Jordan Stout 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2726% → 26%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Connor WhitneySimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
73.8%
Mason Petrino sacked by Jayson Oweh for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+14
74.1%
Aundre Carter run for 14 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 24 yds, downed at the PnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:5274% → 78%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
74.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 17 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
74.6%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
74.7%
Sean Clifford run for 7 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
74.7%
Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
78.4%
Journey Brown run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:2224% → 22%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
76.4%
Aundre Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 14
OWN 5
-16
76.7%
Mason Petrino sacked by John Reid for a loss of 16 yards to the Idaho 5 IDAHO Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Mason Petrino) to the Idaho 5Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 30
OWN 5
-2
76.9%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-2 Yards) to the Idaho 3Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 32
OWN 3
+9
77.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Michael Noil for 9 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
78.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3579% → 84%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
78.8%
Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+26
78.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 26 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
78.9%
Ricky Slade run for 5 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.2%
Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.1%
Ricky Slade run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1816% → 15%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.3%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
84.7%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Jeff CottonSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
85.1%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 4 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+25
85.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 38 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 25 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4786% → 87%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
85.9%
PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+10
85.3%
Sean Clifford run for 10 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
86.2%
PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+14
86.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 14 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
86.5%
Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 38Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
86.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3113% → 12%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
86.7%
Colton Richardson sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 16
OWN 32
-5
87.6%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+6
87.8%
Aundre Carter run for 6 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
88.0%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Aundre CarterSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+13
88.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 13 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:0189% → 93%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
89.1%
Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
89.2%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Coleman Johnson) to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+36
93.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 36 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:116% → 6%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.4%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.1%
Aundre Carter run for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.4%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Connor WhitneySimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-8
94.5%
TEAM punt for 35 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:4694% → 95%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
93.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 25 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
93.3%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan ChisenaSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
94.5%
Blake Gillikin punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jeff Cotton at the Idaho 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:225% → 4%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+38
95.3%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 38 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Aundre Carter run for no gain to the PnSt 47Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.4%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Jed Byers for 4 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-6
95.4%
Colton Richardson sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 44 yds, downed at the PnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 1:0396% → 97%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
95.8%
Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 6Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+13
96.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 13 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
97.1%
Devyn Ford run for 81 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Aundre Carter run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Aundre Carter run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
98.0%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:1198% → 99%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
97.6%
Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
97.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Daniel George for 20 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
97.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 22 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Colton Richardson pass complete to Nick Romano for 1 yd to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
98.7%
Colton Richardson sacked by Robert Windsor and Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 21Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Colton Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-2
98.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 37 yds , KJ Hamler returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20END OF HALF
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:2699% → 99%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
98.6%
Sean Clifford run for 25 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
98.7%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Freiermuth, Pat, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Hightower, Lloyd) 15 yards to the IDAHO20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.7%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
98.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+38
98.7%
Jake Pinegar 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 13 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
98.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 18 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
98.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 36 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.0%
Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Journey Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.3%
Mason Petrino pass intercepted John Reid return for 25 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.2%
Will Levis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Nick BowersSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Aundre Carter run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.6%
Aundre Carter run for 1 yd to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Colton Richardson pass incomplete to Jeff CottonSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Devyn Ford for 1 yd to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-1
99.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 32Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Dan ChisenaSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
99.5%
TEAM punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 17 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.6%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (Mason Petrino) to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Nick Romano for 3 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+9
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 9 yds to the PnSt 21Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-5
99.6%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 8
OPP 26
-2
99.7%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Jeff CottonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 27TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:49100% → 100%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.7%
Noah Cain run for 8 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
99.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Daniel George for 8 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.8%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
99.8%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Weston Carr for 9 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+1
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Devyn Ford for 1 yd to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Weston Carr for 7 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+8
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 8 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenton Strange for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for 2 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Aundre Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 38 yds , Mac Hippenhammer returns for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 25 Mac Hippenhammer fumbled, recovered by Idaho David EppingerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 29TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
99.9%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Nick Romano for 24 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Logan Kendall for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 30TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:37100% → 100%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Will Levis run for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Weller for 10 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Weston Carr for 11 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.9%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 11 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Devyn Ford for 4 yds to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Noah Cain run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 31FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Kiahn Martinez run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Kiahn Martinez run for 6 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
100.0%
Colton Richardson sacked by Daniel Joseph for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+18
100.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 41 yds , Mac Hippenhammer returns for 18 yds to the PnSt 46 Mac Hippenhammer fumbled, recovered by PnSt Jaquan BriskerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 32TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 7 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 7 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 8 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+10
100.0%
Michael Shuster run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (Kayode Rufai) to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 10 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 4 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Nick Eury run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 33END OF GAME
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
Petrino, Mason pass complete to Martinez, Kiahn for 9 yards to the IDAHO34, PENALTY IDAHO holding 10 yards to the IDAHO15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Kiahn Martinez run for 8 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jeff Cotton for 6 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+22
100.0%
Mason Petrino run for 7 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Kiahn Martinez for 9 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:50
Ricky Slade run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 10:28
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 36 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q1 5:03
Journey Brown run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com