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PSU

Penn State 17 at Ohio State 28

OSU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:17 · Justin Fields sacked by Lamont Wade for a loss of 13 yards to the PnSt 40 Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Lamont Wade, recovered by OhSt Justin Fields , return for 0 yards
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+25.6Score differential+5.8Garbage-time factor+14.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:31: K.J. Hill 24 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:19: Journey Brown 18 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:54: Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +9.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:00: Will Levis run for 8 yds to the OhSt 27 — PSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:18: Chris Olave 28 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:12PSU 4th & 4 at OSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:12PSU 4th & 18 at PSU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:01PSU 4th & 7 at OSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06OSU 4th & 15 at PSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:29PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45OSU 4th & 5 at PSU 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00OSU 4th & 1 at PSU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:12PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:22PSU 4th & 23 at OSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:17OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 49, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:17OSU 4th & 5 at PSU 27, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:00PSU 4th & 19 at PSU 31, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:08OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:00OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:31OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:19PSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:54PSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:18OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3310% → 11%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
90.0%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
89.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
89.6%
Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
89.4%
Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
89.2%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
89.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
89.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 4:5289% → 89%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+22
89.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 22 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
89.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
89.1%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+14
88.9%
Justin Fields run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
50
0
88.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
50
-2
88.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+17
88.4%
Justin Fields run for 17 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
88.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+8
88.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
88.5%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+15
88.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 15 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
88.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the PnSt 4Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.3%
J.K. Dobbins 4 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:2811% → 11%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
88.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 4 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-4
88.8%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 13Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-8
88.9%
Sean Clifford sacked by Chase Young and Baron Browning for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 5Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 18
OWN 5
0
88.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3089% → 89%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
88.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+13
88.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 13 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
88.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
88.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
88.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
88.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
88.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
88.6%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Lamont Wade, recovered by PnSt Cam BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:5912% → 13%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.8%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
87.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
87.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 5 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.4%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
87.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 9 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
86.9%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
87.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 18 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.6%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Pat FreiermuthSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
86.6%
Sean Clifford run for 3 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
86.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
86.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:3387% → 86%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
87.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
87.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
87.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+10
87.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 10 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
87.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
87.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
87.3%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
87.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 16 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
87.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
87.6%
Dobbins, J.K. rush for 9 yards to the PENNST27, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Munford, Thayer) 10 yards to the PENNST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 20
OPP 46
-6
87.1%
Justin Fields sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 26
OWN 48
+11
86.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 11 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
86.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1614% → 13%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
86.3%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
86.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
86.4%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Noah CainSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+7
86.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 29 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 7 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:1588% → 91%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
87.7%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-5
87.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Master Teague III) to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+9
86.8%
Justin Fields run for 9 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+14
87.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 14 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
87.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
87.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 6 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-2
87.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+22
86.3%
Justin Fields run for 22 yds to the PnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the PnSt 4Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
87.1%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the PnSt 3Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
86.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the PnSt 1Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
J.K. Dobbins 1 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1610% → 9%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
90.5%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
90.8%
Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:0093% → 92%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
92.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 16 yds to the OHIOST 49 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
92.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-9
92.3%
Justin Fields sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0992% → 97%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.6%
Justin Fields run for 5 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
91.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
91.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+16
92.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 16 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
92.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
92.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
97.3%
K.J. Hill 24 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:033% → 11%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 6 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
96.4%
Journey Brown run for 13 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
96.5%
Journey Brown run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+12
96.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 12 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.5%
Will Levis run for no gain to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
96.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 6 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+10
96.7%
Will Levis run for 10 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.5%
Journey Brown run for 9 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+18
89.3%
Journey Brown 18 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
92.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 12 J.K. Dobbins fumbled, forced by Micah Parsons, recovered by PnSt Lamont WadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0611% → 20%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
89.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 11 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:5086% → 87%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.1%
Justin Fields run for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
86.8%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 35 Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Lamont Wade, recovered by PnSt Micah ParsonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:3820% → 21%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
79.9%
Will Levis run for 8 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
79.3%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
79.1%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+8
79.0%
Will Levis run for 8 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
78.9%
Journey Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 12Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
79.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Journey BrownSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-5
80.8%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 16
OPP 17
-7
82.3%
Will Levis sacked by Chase Young and Jashon Cornell for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 23
OPP 24
+42
79.2%
Jake Pinegar 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17Uncategorized
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5480% → 80%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
80.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
81.6%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
81.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+2
80.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
79.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2123% → 21%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-6
77.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 1 TEAM fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by PnSt Will LevisSimilar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 20
OWN 1
+4
77.8%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the PnSt 5Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 16
OWN 5
-2
78.8%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Steven Gonzalez) to the PnSt 3Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 18
OWN 3
+1
78.7%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the PnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:2782% → 92%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
81.6%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
81.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 5 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+8
81.0%
Master Teague III run for 8 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
82.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Austin Mack) to the PnSt 35Similar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+7
81.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
91.6%
Chris Olave 28 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:3510% → 10%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
89.8%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for 22 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
87.8%
Will Levis run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
87.2%
Journey Brown run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.3%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
87.1%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
89.6%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 4:0592% → 94%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
92.3%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+7
92.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 7 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
92.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
93.6%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
94.2%
Justin Fields run for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 16 yds · 2:127% → 6%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
93.7%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+14
94.0%
Will Levis pass complete to KJ Hamler for 14 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-1
94.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Journey Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:4196% → 96%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
95.7%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 37Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 5
OPP 27
-13
96.3%
Justin Fields sacked by Lamont Wade for a loss of 13 yards to the PnSt 40 Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Lamont Wade, recovered by OhSt Justin Fields , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
95.6%
Will Levis sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 32 Will Levis fumbled, forced by Chase Young, recovered by PnSt Journey Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 18
OWN 32
-2
96.2%
Will Levis sacked by Baron Browning for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+1
96.5%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the PnSt 31Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
96.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-2
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:18
Chris Olave 28 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+10.5
TD · Q3 7:54
Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
-9.4
TD · Q3 8:19
Journey Brown 18 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com