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FAU

Florida Atlantic 21 at Ohio State 45

OSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:12 · Drue Chrisman punt for 59 yds , Dante Cousart returns for no gain to the FlAtl 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+24.3Home team on offense+24.2Score differential+16.5Garbage-time factor+8.6Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:50: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:33: Vladimir Rivas 28 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +5.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:37: Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:23: Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Robison pass to John Mitchell for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:16: Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 11:41FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49FAU 4th & 21 at FAU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:52FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:14FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:30OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05FAU 4th & 21 at FAU 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:16OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:18FAU 4th & 23 at FAU 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:16FAU 4th & 29 at FAU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.3%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:25OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:27FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:33FAU 4th & 8 at OSU 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -1.0%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:23FAU 4th & 9 at OSU 10, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:12OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:04FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 13, down 22
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53FAU 4th & 5 at OSU 20, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:01OSU 4th & 17 at FAU 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 13:07OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:05OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:12OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:50OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:37OSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:23FAU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:43OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:16FAU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4396% → 96%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
95.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 5 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
95.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.4%
Demario McCall run for 6 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+51
95.5%
Justin Fields run for 51 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:225% → 5%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.4%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
95.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to BJ Emmons for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+35
95.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 37 yds , Demario McCall returns for 35 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:2595% → 96%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
95.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+25
95.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 25 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:065% → 5%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-12
95.4%
Chris Robison sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+5
95.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 49 yds , Demario McCall returns for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:2295% → 96%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
95.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+17
95.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
95.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 32 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:534% → 4%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
95.8%
Willie Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+1
95.9%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
95.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+29
95.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OHIOST 39 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:3596% → 97%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
96.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
96.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+8
96.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
96.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:223% → 3%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
97.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 2 yds Larry McCammon III fumbled, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
97.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2597% → 98%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
97.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
97.2%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+14
97.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 14 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
97.5%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:172% → 2%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.8%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
97.8%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
97.9%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.9%
James Charles run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-8
98.0%
Chris Robison sacked by Jashon Cornell for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 13 Chris Robison fumbled, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+1
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 1 yd to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
98.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 54 yds, downed at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
98.3%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-1
98.4%
Justin Fields sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 7
OWN 35
-5
98.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 38 yds , Meiko Dotson returns for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:352% → 2%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
98.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+5
98.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-10
98.4%
Chris Robison sacked by Robert Landers and Chase Young for a loss of 10 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 23
OWN 19
0
98.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 70 yds, downed at the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FUMBLE
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:3898% → 99%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
98.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
98.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+33
98.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 33 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
98.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Akileis Leroy for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
98.5%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+17
98.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 17 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
98.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+5
98.8%
Demario McCall run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
98.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Demario McCall for 7 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-15
98.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 18
OPP 37
-12
98.9%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 49 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Quran HafizSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
98.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 15
OWN 44
-2
99.0%
James Charles pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 17
OWN 29
-13
99.0%
Chris Robison sacked by - Team for a loss of 13 yards to the FlAtl 29 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 30
OWN 29
+1
99.1%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 29
OWN 30
+16
99.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 42 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 16 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+5
99.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 5 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-2
99.4%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+2
99.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-3
99.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 25 J.K. Dobbins fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Rashad Smith , return for 7 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:571% → 6%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 6 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+7
98.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 7 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.9%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
98.9%
James Charles run for no gain to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
93.7%
Vladimir Rivas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:322% → 2%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 14 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.0%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+38
98.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 26 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (12 Yards) to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.2%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
98.2%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
98.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
97.6%
Vladimir Rivas 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 4:0398% → 98%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
98.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 12 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-10
98.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-5
98.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+3
98.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+4
98.2%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 59 yds , Dante Cousart returns for no gain to the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:262% → 2%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+12
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 12 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
98.3%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
98.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 39 yds, downed at the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:1898% → 100%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
98.4%
Justin Fields run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.4%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+11
98.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
98.7%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
98.7%
Justin Fields run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.7%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
98.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 5 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
98.7%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:110% → 1%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 8 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 6 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Chris Robison run for 7 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+8
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Charles for 8 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
99.8%
James Charles run for 9 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Robison pass to John Mitchell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2099% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 1:580% → 1%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+38
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 38 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Chris Robison run for 9 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 16 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:5299% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
99.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.4%
Master Teague III run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
99.5%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
99.5%
Master Teague III run for 21 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.6%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Gardiner, Ellijah, PENALTY FLAATLANTC holding 10 yards to the FLAATLANTC22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.6%
Fields, Justin rush for 5 yards to the FLAATLANTC17, PENALTY OHIOST holding 10 yards to the FLAATLANTC32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 20
OPP 32
-5
99.6%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 25
OPP 37
+2
99.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+46
99.6%
Blake Haubeil 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 23
OPP 35
+6
99.6%
Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
99.7%
Justin Agner pass complete to Dante Cousart for 17 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.6%
Justin Agner pass complete to Dante Cousart for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Justin Agner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+12
99.7%
Justin Agner pass complete to John Raine for 12 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Justin Agner pass intercepted Josh Proctor return for no gain to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
Marcus Crowley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
99.7%
Marcus Crowley run for 8 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
99.7%
Marcus Crowley run for 5 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
99.7%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+8
99.7%
Marcus Crowley run for 8 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:33
Vladimir Rivas 28 yd FG GOOD
-5.5
TD · Q3 2:37
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 6:50
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com