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MASS

Massachusetts 6 at Northwestern 45

NU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:30 · Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:13: Cooper Garcia 23 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 7:59: Evan Hull run for 6 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:18: Evan Hull run for 38 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:01: Charlie Kuhbander 31 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:42: Evan Hull run for 46 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00NU 4th & 5 at NU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44MASS 4th & 14 at NU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:47MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43MASS 4th & 9 at NU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:13MASS 4th & 6 at NU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:50MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:33NU 4th & 3 at NU 45, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:13MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 21, down 15
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:52MASS 4th & 10 at NU 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:51NU 4th & 1 at NU 35, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:46MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:45MASS 4th & 14 at NU 25, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:56NU 4th & 1 at NU 34, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:01NU 4th & 11 at MASS 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:34MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 15, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:32MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:37NU 4th & 4 at NU 34, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 7:59NU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:18NU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:42NU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:06NU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:36NU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
98.9%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Andrew David punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:161% → 2%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+31
98.8%
Bilal Ally run for 31 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.8%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
98.8%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 5 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
98.6%
WEST, Randall pass complete to EMILUS, Samuel for 11 yards to the NU0, clock 11:54, PENALTY UMASS ineligible downfield on pass (YERARDI, Mike) 5 yards to the NU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
98.6%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+10
98.6%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 10 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-9
98.6%
Randall West sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+32
98.5%
Cooper Garcia 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.5%
Aidan Smith run for 8 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
98.5%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Evan HullSimilar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.5%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+18
98.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 18 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
98.5%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Xavier Steele return for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.2%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Randall West pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Randall West pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
98.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, downed at the Nwest 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.1%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+4
98.1%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+27
98.1%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 27 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
98.2%
Drake Anderson run for 9 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
98.2%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
98.2%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 44 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Isaiah Rodgers,Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+3
98.2%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
98.2%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Josh Wallace return for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6MISSED FG TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:412% → 3%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+32
97.6%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
50
0
97.5%
Randall West pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
50
+2
97.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+11
97.5%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 11 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+9
97.5%
Randall West pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 9 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
97.5%
Randall West pass complete to Bilal Ally for 11 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
97.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-1
97.5%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 12Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-1
97.5%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 13Similar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+85
97.0%
Cooper Garcia 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joe Gaziano Chris Bergin return for 85 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:303% → 4%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
97.0%
Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 16 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
96.9%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+4
97.0%
Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+15
97.0%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 15 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.9%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 15 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
96.8%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 14 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
96.8%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.9%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
96.2%
Cooper Garcia 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1197% → 97%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 4 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
96.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
96.6%
Aidan Smith run for 19 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
96.7%
Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+7
96.7%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
96.7%
Aidan Smith run for 10 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.7%
Jason Whittaker run for 4 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.1%
Evan Hull run for 6 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Dariyan WileySimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.8%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr., broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
96.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 57 yds, downed at the Nwest 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 1:3897% → 98%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
96.6%
Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+48
96.6%
Evan Hull run for 48 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.9%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley HolmanSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.9%
Aidan Smith run for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+38
97.8%
Evan Hull run for 38 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Trae WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
97.5%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 7 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
97.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0898% → 98%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.8%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
97.8%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-1
97.8%
Jason Whittaker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+43
97.6%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NORTHWSTRN 22 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Wallace) to the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:113% → 3%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
97.3%
Randall West pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
97.4%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+12
97.4%
Cam Roberson run for 12 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
97.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
96.9%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.8%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+12
96.7%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 12 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
96.8%
Randall West run for no gain to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+29
96.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 10 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
97.1%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
97.1%
Riley Lees run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
97.0%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
97.1%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
97.0%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 35Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Andrew David punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
96.4%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
96.4%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
96.4%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
96.3%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 38 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Joe GazianoSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+3
96.6%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+33
96.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 40 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
96.9%
Berkeley Holman run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 21 Berkeley Holman fumbled, recovered by UMass Chinedu OgbonnaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
95.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Larnel Coleman) to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 26
-2
95.8%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+1
95.9%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 1 yd to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+2
96.3%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 2 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 14
OPP 25
0
96.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Trae WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
97.5%
Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
97.4%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Andrew David punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Randall West pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+40
96.2%
Randall West pass intercepted Blake Gallagher return for 40 yds to the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2698% → 98%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
97.6%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
97.6%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
97.6%
Aidan Smith sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 13 Aidan Smith fumbled, recovered by Nwest Jared Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
98.1%
Charlie Kuhbander 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Trae WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
97.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 7 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+13
97.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 13 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Adam Billard for 4 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
97.8%
Andrew Brito run for 1 yd to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.7%
Evan Hull run for 46 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Joe GazianoSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-8
99.5%
Andrew Brito sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
99.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.7%
Andrew Marty run for 8 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.7%
Andrew Marty run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+1
99.8%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Evan Hull run for 31 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Raymond Niro III run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Raymond Niro III run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, (5 Yards) to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Raymond Niro III run for 3 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Andrew Marty run for 5 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Raymond Niro III run for 11 yds for a TD (Drew Luckenbaugh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
100.0%
ROBERSON, Cam rush for 3 yards to the UMASS44 (Bergin, Chris), PENALTY UMASS clipping (COLEMAN, Larnel) 15 yards to the UMASS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 25
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 25
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 20
OWN 31
+13
100.0%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 13 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 28 yds, downed at the Nwest 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
100.0%
Raymond Niro III run for 9 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Conrad Rowley run for no gain to the Nwest 24 Conrad Rowley fumbled, recovered by Nwest Raymond Niro IIISimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+10
100.0%
Raymond Niro III run for 10 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Raymond Niro III run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
100.0%
Cam Roberson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Cam Roberson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+10
99.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:42
Evan Hull run for 46 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 5:18
Evan Hull run for 38 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
+1
FG · Q3 1:01
Charlie Kuhbander 31 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com