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PUR

Purdue 24 at Northwestern 22

NU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Prdue 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+8.4Garbage-time factor+2.7Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:47: Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 16 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +7.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:26: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +13.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:28: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +17.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:10: Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NU win probability +24.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +65.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 2 at NU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:47PUR 4th & 13 at NU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00NU 4th & 10 at NU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:57NU 4th & 12 at NU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:01PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:04NU 4th & 6 at NU 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:24NU 4th & 9 at PUR 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 2 at NU 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:28NU 4th & 7 at PUR 27, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−10.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 21, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−3.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:10PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:30NU 4th & 10 at PUR 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−3.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−24.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:03PUR 4th & 8 at NU 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−37.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−46.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:34NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:47NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:57PUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:26PUR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:28PUR Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:10NU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
49.1%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
49.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 9 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+18
49.1%
King Doerue run for 18 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
49.1%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Grant Hermanns) to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
49.1%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+7
49.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+6
49.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
49.1%
Brooks Cormier punt for 31 yds, downed at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:3450% → 52%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
49.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 13 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
51.7%
Kyric McGowan run for 79 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.4%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
51.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete, broken up by Trae WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
51.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell (Ruiz, Cameron), PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 15 yards to the PUR45, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
51.1%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+18
51.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 18 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
50.8%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
50.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
51.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Cameron Ruiz return for no gain to the Nwest 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:2753% → 62%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
53.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+6
53.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 6 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
53.1%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
53.0%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+9
52.9%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.5%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+13
53.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 13 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
53.7%
Riley Lees run for 6 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
53.7%
Aidan Smith run for 9 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
53.8%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+12
53.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 12 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
61.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 16 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
59.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 18 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
58.8%
Zander Horvath run for 18 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
58.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
58.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-3
58.8%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 42 Aidan O'Connell fumbled, recovered by Prdue Aidan O'Connell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
59.4%
Brooks Cormier punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3862% → 63%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
62.3%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-2
62.3%
Kyric McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 6Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+20
61.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 20 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley HolmanSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
62.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for no gain to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
63.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
63.0%
Andrew David punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:5338% → 44%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
61.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 16 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
61.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+5
61.5%
Aidan O'Connell run for 5 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
61.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 1 yd to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+14
61.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
61.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
60.6%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Nwest 4Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
60.6%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Nwest 3Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
61.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, PENALTY NU pass interference (Pace, JR) 1 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
60.7%
King Doerue rush for no gain to the NU2 (Miller, Alex;Whillock, T.), PENALTY PUR holding (Matt McCann) 10 yards to the NU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
55.8%
King Doerue run for 12 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
59.5%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
61.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Trey Pugh for 1 yd to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
61.0%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-5
60.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Trey Pugh) to the Nwest 43Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
59.3%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Jace James, broken up by Simeon SmileySimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
58.3%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
60.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
59.7%
Tario Fuller run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
60.1%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
60.7%
Zac Collins punt for 61 yds, downed at the Nwest 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:4062% → 63%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
61.6%
Aidan Smith run for 9 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+4
62.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
62.3%
Kyric McGowan run for 10 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
62.5%
Aidan Smith run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
62.4%
Kyric McGowan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
61.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Simeon SmileySimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+17
60.8%
Andrew David run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
50
-10
64.6%
Smith, Aidan rush for 3 yards to the PUR47, out-of-bounds (Simeon Smiley), PENALTY NU holding (Slater, Rashawn) 10 yards to the NU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+4
63.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 4 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+5
63.0%
Aidan Smith run for 5 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+2
64.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
63.2%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Prdue 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11SF
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:1436% → 33%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
63.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 4 yds to the Prdue 18 PURDUE Penalty, illegal block (Sam Garvin) to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 15
OWN 9
-9
67.2%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
67.0%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-3
67.1%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
68.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.8%
Kyric McGowan run for no gain to the Nwest 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
68.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
69.2%
Kyric McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
67.9%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:1731% → 48%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
68.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+7
67.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
67.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 17 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
66.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
65.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 9 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
64.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
64.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 4 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+9
65.8%
Aidan O'Connell run for 9 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
52.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.7%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
58.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
57.3%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Cam Allen return for 16 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:3447% → 65%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
52.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
52.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
52.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 9 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
34.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:0040% → 42%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 10 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
40.6%
Kyric McGowan run for 22 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+21
39.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 21 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
44.4%
Riley Lees run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+1
42.0%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 13
OPP 46
-5
40.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 49Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.1%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Jack SullivanSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
46.0%
Kyric McGowan run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
44.0%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Branson DeenSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
41.5%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0064% → 67%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
35.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
35.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+21
37.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
50
+4
32.7%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
32.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Blake Gallagher return for no gain to the Nwest 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:1441% → 35%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
40.9%
Kyric McGowan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
41.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
40.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
41.8%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
50
0
38.4%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Drake AndersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
50
0
36.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
50
0
35.1%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
33.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 2 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
33.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+2
34.9%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+8
36.3%
Zac Collins punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 46 , Riley Lees returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2642% → 68%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
41.5%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+33
41.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 33 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
43.5%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
67.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
59.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
59.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr., broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
62.2%
Zac Collins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23MISSED FG
18 plays · 48 yds · 7:1764% → 72%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
63.6%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
65.3%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
64.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+7
66.3%
Aidan Smith run for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
66.8%
Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
66.8%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
68.0%
Tyler Haskins run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
66.1%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Prdue 26 Aidan Smith fumbled, recovered by Nwest Tyler Haskins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
68.0%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
68.0%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
68.0%
Anderson, Drake rush for no gain to the PUR14 (Karlaftis), PENALTY NU holding (Slater, Rashawn) 10 yards to the PUR24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+4
67.4%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+5
72.8%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+1
72.8%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
71.9%
Charlie Kuhbander 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 2:2737% → 94%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
63.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 10 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
61.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
59.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson, PENALTY NU pass interference (Hampton, A.J.) 15 yards to the NU45, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
55.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
54.0%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Nwest 39Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
55.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Nwest 39Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+15
63.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted by Pace, JR at the NU18, Pace, JR return to the NU18, PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 15 yards to the NU24, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
56.4%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
56.4%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
60.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
6.3%
J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG GOOD
-65.6
TD · Q4 11:10
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+24.3
TD · Q3 6:28
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com