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OSU

Ohio State 52 at Northwestern 3

NU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2019 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:04 · Drue Chrisman punt for 56 yds , Riley Lees returns for 6 yds to the Nwest 25 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Illegal Block (Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman) to the Nwest 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior−38.2Home team on offense−16.6Score differential−8.9Garbage-time factor−5.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:05: Charlie Kuhbander 33 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +0.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 12:44: Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 19 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:36: J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:45: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Blake Haubeil 55 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 12OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 8:46NU 4th & 11 at NU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05NU 4th & 3 at OSU 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:16NU 4th & 14 at NU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:12NU 4th & 6 at OSU 46, down 18
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:04OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 19, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:10NU 4th & 7 at NU 24, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:50NU 4th & 6 at NU 39, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:59OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 45, up 25
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:31NU 4th & 9 at NU 2, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.6%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:05NU 4th & 9 at NU 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:33NU 4th & 11 at OSU 42, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09OSU 4th & 10 at NU 46, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:38NU 4th & 4 at NU 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:34OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 48, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:58NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:38NU 4th & 10 at OSU 36, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:42OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:44OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:36OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:45OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:45OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:20OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:46OSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:1796% → 95%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
4.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
4.5%
Justin Fields run for 10 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.7%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
4.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+7
4.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
5.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+16
5.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 16 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
5.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 11 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
5.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 20 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:555% → 6%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
5.2%
Kyric McGowan run for 13 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
5.5%
Aidan Smith sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 19
OWN 39
+8
5.5%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
5.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
5.6%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
5.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
5.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
5.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+6
6.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 51 yds , Riley Lees returns for 6 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:216% → 8%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
6.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.3%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Jace JamesSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
6.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 4 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+12
6.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 12 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
6.7%
Aidan Smith run for 10 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
6.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-1
7.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+3
7.2%
Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
7.8%
Charlie Kuhbander 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2092% → 93%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.7%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
7.6%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
7.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
8.1%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Petit-Frere, Nicholas) 10 yards to the OHIOST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+2
8.3%
Justin Fields run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+3
8.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+20
9.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
8.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
8.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
8.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 14 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
8.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 13 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
8.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
6.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 19 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:278% → 8%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.5%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
7.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
7.7%
McGowan, Kyric rush for 8 yards to the NORTHWSTRN46, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Slater, Rashawn) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+2
7.6%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+4
7.8%
Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 14
OWN 34
0
7.7%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 14
OWN 34
+38
7.6%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 38 yds , Demario McCall returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:4092% → 96%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+68
7.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 68 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:236% → 6%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.7%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
5.6%
Smith, Aidan pass incomplete to McGowan, Kyric, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Arnette, Damon) 8 yards to the NORTHWSTRN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
5.7%
Smith, Aidan pass sacked for loss of 1 yards to the NORTHWSTRN34 (Hamilton, Davon), PENALTY OHIOST illegal use of hands (Cooper, Jonathon) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
6.0%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+3
6.3%
Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
6.3%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
6.2%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
5.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-5
5.0%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 12 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by OhSt Justin FieldsSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+7
5.2%
Demario McCall run for 7 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+6
5.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 56 yds , Riley Lees returns for 6 yds to the Nwest 25 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Illegal Block (Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman) to the Nwest 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:536% → 6%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
6.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
5.9%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
5.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 7
OWN 24
-9
5.8%
Tyler Gillikin run for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 15 Tyler Gillikin fumbled, recovered by Nwest Daniel KubiukSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:2596% → 99%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
4.5%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
1.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 10 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
1.9%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 5 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
1.9%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+4
1.9%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 36 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5098% → 98%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
2.0%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Ruiz, Cameron) 10 yards to the OHIOST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
1.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 7 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-1
1.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
1.8%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
1.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 54 yds, downed at the Nwest 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:281% → 1%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
1.3%
Aidan Smith run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
1.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 2Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
1.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 2Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+33
1.1%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 33 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3199% → 98%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
1.4%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Munford, Thayer) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+8
1.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 8 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
1.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+55
2.1%
Blake Haubeil 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:542% → 2%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
2.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
1.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
2.2%
Aidan Smith run for 9 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
2.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
2.4%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
2.3%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+21
2.2%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NORTHWSTRN 20 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Joe Bergin) to the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2098% → 99%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
1.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
1.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
1.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 13 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
1.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
1.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
1.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 23 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 45 yds · 6:111% → 1%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
0.9%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
0.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 5 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
0.8%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
0.8%
Drake Anderson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
0.7%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
0.7%
Aidan Smith run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
0.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
0.7%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
0.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-10
0.7%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thomas Gordon) to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+2
0.6%
John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+9
0.6%
Aidan Smith run for 9 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
0.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
0.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
0.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
0.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
0.4%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Williams, Jameson, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Newsome II, Greg) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
0.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
0.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 3 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-7
0.4%
Justin Fields sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 46 Justin Fields fumbled, forced by Joe Gaziano, recovered by OhSt Justin Fields , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
0.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
0.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
0.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 15Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
0.2%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
0.2%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 45 yds, downed at the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.3%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
0.3%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
0.3%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+45
0.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the NORTHWSTRN 13 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Greg Newsome II) to the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
0.2%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-1
0.2%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 11
OWN 6
0
0.2%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Sevyn Banks return for no gain to the Nwest 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
0.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Drake Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
0.1%
Aidan Smith run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Jace JamesSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Andrew David punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demario McCall at the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 73 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26INT
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:080% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
0.1%
Marty, Andrew pass incomplete to Washington, Malik, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Williamson, Marcus) 15 yards to the NORTHWSTRN41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.1%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+16
0.1%
Andrew Marty run for 16 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.1%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Andrew Marty run for no gain to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-3
0.1%
John Moten IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
0.1%
Andrew Marty pass intercepted Amir Riep return for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27END OF HALF
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Marcus Crowley run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+53
0.1%
Marcus Crowley run for 53 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 35
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:36
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q2 3:45
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 12:44
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 19 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com