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WIS

Wisconsin 37 at Nebraska 21

NEB
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior−9.1Home team on offense−28.1Score differential−12.5Garbage-time factor−7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:39: Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 55 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +6.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:03: Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +5.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:11: Collin Larsh 24 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:50: Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK) — WIS win probability +11.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:19: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +12.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 17 at WIS 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:16NEB 4th & 3 at WIS 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 6 at NEB 26, tied
    Close callWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:22WIS 4th & 4 at NEB 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:23NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:11WIS 4th & 6 at NEB 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:52WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:19NEB 4th & 10 at WIS 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00WIS 4th & 3 at NEB 48, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:09NEB 4th & 4 at WIS 17, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:25WIS 4th & 3 at NEB 12, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:20NEB 4th & 4 at WIS 4, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:27NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:32NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:39WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:03WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:50WIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:19NEB Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
18.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
18.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Eric BurrellSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+27
18.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 27 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
18.8%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
18.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+14
18.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
18.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-6
18.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 40
-3
18.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
18.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 24 yds, downed at the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
21.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 7 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+13
21.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
21.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
20.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
50
+13
20.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 13 yds Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Neb Lamar JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:4823% → 27%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
22.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
23.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+22
22.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
23.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 26 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
27.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
23.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
24.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
24.4%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+16
24.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
24.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
24.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 6 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
24.4%
Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 33 Wyatt Mazour fumbled, forced by Eric Burrell,Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-1
24.0%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:4475% → 74%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
25.2%
Danny Davis III run for 17 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
24.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 19 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
24.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
24.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
24.9%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+7
25.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
24.5%
Aron Cruickshank run for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
24.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
24.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
25.9%
Collin Larsh 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:4627% → 36%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
26.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, roughing passer (Zack Baun) to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
29.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+14
29.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 14 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
29.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:4666% → 74%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
33.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+10
33.8%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
33.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
32.5%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+55
26.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 55 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
28.6%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jack Sanborn return for 11 yds to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:2574% → 80%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
25.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
25.7%
Kendric Pryor run for 6 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4021% → 20%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
21.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
22.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
21.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick Mills, broken up by Zack BaunSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
20.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Noah BurksSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+1
20.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds , Danny Davis III returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:5579% → 86%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
21.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
20.3%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
19.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+3
19.7%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
19.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
19.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus, broken up by Ben StilleSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+12
20.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 12 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
18.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
19.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
18.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
18.9%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
19.2%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
14.4%
Collin Larsh 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
18.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
16.8%
Danny Davis III run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
16.8%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-2
17.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
17.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:1019% → 19%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
19.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
19.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 21 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-20
21.1%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 20 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 30
OPP 44
+5
19.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 25
OPP 39
+15
18.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 15 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
18.6%
Barret Pickering 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 5:2984% → 97%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
16.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+17
15.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
15.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
14.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
14.8%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
14.5%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+12
14.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
14.5%
Aron Cruickshank run for 9 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
2.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:316% → 20%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
6.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 21 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
7.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
7.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 20 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
19.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:1688% → 89%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
12.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
12.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
12.1%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+11
12.2%
Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Ferguson, Jake, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Eric Lee Jr.) 11 yards to the WIS45, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
11.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+2
11.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+6
11.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+4
10.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 4 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
11.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 81 yds · 0:0013% → 16%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+45
13.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 45 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
15.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+43
14.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 43 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
17.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 5 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
17.7%
Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
16.4%
Wyatt Mazour run for 2 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+2
15.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:2792% → 97%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
7.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+14
7.7%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 14 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
7.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
7.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
6.8%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+6
6.6%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
6.6%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
6.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
6.8%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
2.9%
Collin Larsh 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 3:055% → 4%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
4.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
5.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
5.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
4.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Wyatt Mazour) to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+20
4.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 20 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
5.3%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+6
4.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NEB48 (Sanborn, Jack), PENALTY WIS offside defense (Burton, Donte) 6 yards to the WIS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+36
5.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 36 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
6.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Wisc 4Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.2%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Wisc 4Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
3.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 3 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:4898% → 99%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
1.9%
Mason Stokke run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+3
2.0%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+29
1.5%
Danny Davis III run for 29 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:19
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 23 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q3 4:50
Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q2 6:39
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 55 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com