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NEB

Nebraska 27 at Purdue 31

PUR
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:32 · Zac Collins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior−12.8Home team on offense−1.2Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:14: Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 16 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +10.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:30: Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +21.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:50: King Doerue run for 7 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +31.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:21: Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +36.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:08: David Bell run for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +58.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 9 at PUR 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:32PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:35NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:05NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:05PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:37NEB 4th & 10 at PUR 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:04NEB 4th & 7 at PUR 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:21NEB 4th & 4 at PUR 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−8.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:21PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−3.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:57NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:14PUR 4th & 10 at NEB 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−10.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:08NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:32NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:04PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:30NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:50PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:21NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−1.0
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:08PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
35.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 40 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
35.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
35.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-6
35.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
35.9%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 29 yds, downed at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
36.5%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
36.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 1 yd to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
36.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+4
36.3%
Zac Collins punt for 36 yds , JD Spielman returns for 4 yds to the Neb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:5363% → 65%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
36.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
36.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 8 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
36.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-7
36.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 41 Adrian Martinez fumbled,Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+5
37.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+34
37.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 34 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
36.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 15 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
36.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (Zander Horvath) to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+8
36.0%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
36.1%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
35.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
35.7%
Zac Collins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
36.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+12
36.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
35.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
35.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson, broken up by Dedrick MackeySimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
35.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
36.1%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
36.2%
Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
36.4%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (David Bell) to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+18
36.2%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Darrion Daniels return for 18 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2865% → 65%
Q1 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
34.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
34.9%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
35.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
35.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
34.7%
Barret Pickering 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
34.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
34.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+7
33.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 7 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
33.7%
TEAM punt, downed at the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:2866% → 66%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
33.9%
JD Spielman run for 14 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
33.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
33.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+6
33.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
33.7%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Cory Trice return for 9 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
33.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 9 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+2
33.8%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
33.6%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Lamar Jackson return for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
33.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+2
33.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
33.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
34.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:1133% → 43%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+18
32.8%
Jack Plummer run for 18 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+25
33.3%
King Doerue run for 25 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
34.5%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+26
34.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 26 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
35.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
35.5%
Jackson Anthrop run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+17
33.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 17 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
35.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
35.5%
Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 3 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
38.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
38.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 1
50
+3
37.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
37.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 2 yards to the PUR45, out-of-bounds (Jalen Graham), PENALTY NEB holding (Matt Farniok) 10 yards to the NEB43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+16
39.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 16 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-3
37.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 44 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
38.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
39.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 3:5341% → 56%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
40.7%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+8
40.6%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+13
39.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 13 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
41.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
41.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
41.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+22
43.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (JoJo Domann) to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
44.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+19
44.4%
Jack Plummer run for 19 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
45.6%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
45.6%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
56.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 16 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
51.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 21 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
53.0%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
54.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-9
53.3%
Jack Plummer sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
50.2%
Zac Collins punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:0147% → 49%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
52.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman (Navon Mosley), PENALTY PUR holding 10 yards to the NEB34, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
51.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+28
52.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 13 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
48.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
48.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-1
48.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+14
51.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman (Cory Trice), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Cory Trice) 14 yards to the PUR19, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
47.4%
JD Spielman run for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
47.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
47.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
47.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
48.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai Noa, broken up by Brennan ThienemanSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
50.6%
Barret Pickering 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
53.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+19
52.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 19 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
55.9%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
54.9%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47 Jack Plummer fumbled, forced by Alex Davis, recovered by Prdue Jack PlummerSimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-6
55.1%
Jack Plummer sacked by Khalil Davis and Carlos Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
51.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Eric Lee Jr. blocked by Eric Lee Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 48%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
48.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
47.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-3
49.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
52.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0256% → 64%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
55.6%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
55.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 15 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
59.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 25 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
60.9%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-7
60.9%
Jack Plummer sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 34 PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Jack Plummer) to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+6
56.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+44
64.1%
J.D. Dellinger 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4439% → 68%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
61.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete (Derrick Barnes), PENALTY PUR holding (Kenneth Major) 10 yards to the NEB36, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
60.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+18
63.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+21
56.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
54.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
54.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+17
56.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
54.4%
JD Spielman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
54.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:3540% → 80%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
39.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+13
39.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.6%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
40.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 8 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-4
43.3%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (Brycen Hopkins) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+14
42.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 14 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
45.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 9 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+17
45.7%
King Doerue run for 17 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
48.1%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Grant Hermanns) to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+14
47.3%
Jack Plummer run for 14 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
48.1%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
45.2%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
48.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr., broken up by Khalil DavisSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
80.0%
King Doerue run for 7 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:2935% → 80%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
65.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
66.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+8
66.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
63.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+42
65.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 42 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
56.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+7
56.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 3:1335% → 95%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
35.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
36.1%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
34.3%
Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
35.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
38.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 6 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
38.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+26
40.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 26 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
44.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
44.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 10 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
44.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
42.0%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
95.0%
David Bell run for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
87.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 7 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
87.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Derrick BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:08
David Bell run for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+58.6
TD · Q4 4:21
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)
-36.4
TD · Q4 6:50
King Doerue run for 7 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+31.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com