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NU

Northwestern 10 at Nebraska 13

NEB
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:56 · Daniel Kubiuk punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cam Taylor-Britt at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+2.7Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:20: Aidan Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +14.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:25: Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Neb 25 — NEB win probability +6.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q4 5:56: Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds Riley Lees fumbled, forced by Collin Miller, recovered by Nwest Riley Lees — NU win probability +7.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:00: Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48 — NEB win probability +19.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Lane McCallum 24 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +34.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 10 of 13NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10NEB 4th & 6 at NU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:44NU 4th & 4 at NU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25NU 4th & 8 at NU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:23NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00NU 4th & 2 at NU 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:24NEB 4th & 2 at NU 18, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:15NU 4th & 9 at NEB 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:09NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:47NU 4th & 15 at NEB 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:44NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:20NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:09NU 4th & 4 at NU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:43NEB 4th & 5 at NU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−10.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:43NU 4th & 3 at NU 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 18, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−3.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:53NU 4th & 11 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−3.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:44NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−3.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:25NU 4th & 3 at NEB 16, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−2.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−23.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:25NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−4.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:56NU 4th & 14 at NU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−13.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:08NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−5.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:00NEB 4th & 1 at NU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−10.4
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−32.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:25NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:20NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.7%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
75.7%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
75.7%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Drake Anderson for 2 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
75.7%
John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
75.7%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 27 yds, downed at the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
75.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 5 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
75.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-5
75.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Cameron Jurgens) to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
75.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
75.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
75.0%
Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
75.0%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+11
75.1%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 11 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
75.0%
Evan Hull run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+1
75.0%
Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+10
75.1%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 10 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
75.1%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:4774% → 77%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.2%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
74.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
74.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
74.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+8
74.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 8 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
74.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 16
50
+8
74.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+42
76.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 42 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
76.2%
Kyric McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
76.2%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
76.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 3 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
76.7%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 40 yds , JD Spielman returns for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
77.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
76.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+3
76.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 54 yds , Riley Lees returns for 3 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:5524% → 24%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
75.9%
Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
76.1%
Aidan Smith run for 11 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.7%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
75.9%
Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
76.3%
Aidan Smith run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+51
76.2%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 41 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (Braxton Clark) to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:1076% → 77%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
76.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
75.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+7
75.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
77.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+6
76.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 7
50
+24
76.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 24 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
77.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-1
77.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 21Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+3
77.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
77.4%
Lane McCallum 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:0024% → 24%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
76.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
76.4%
Drake Anderson run for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
75.5%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
75.6%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+11
76.4%
Aidan Smith run for 11 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
75.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-3
75.6%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+4
77.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 4 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
75.7%
Charlie Kuhbander 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
77.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
76.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin AllenSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+4
76.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
75.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
75.8%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
75.6%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 36Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+15
76.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 15 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
74.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
74.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
74.0%
Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
74.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
74.3%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
75.0%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-5
76.3%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
77.3%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:3076% → 77%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
76.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 14 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
76.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-2
76.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
76.5%
Wyatt Mazour run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
76.9%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 42 yds , Riley Lees returns for no gain to the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:2622% → 23%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
78.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to John Moten IV for 8 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
76.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
76.6%
Aidan Smith sacked by Ben Stille and Caleb Tannor for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.9%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
77.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
76.7%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
75.9%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:5524% → 41%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
75.7%
Drake Anderson run for 12 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
74.5%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+7
74.1%
Aidan Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
73.3%
Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+7
72.9%
Aidan Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
72.9%
Smith, Aidan pass incomplete to Lees, Riley, PENALTY NEB pass interference (JoJo Domann) 14 yards to the NEB2, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.8%
Aidan Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
66.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 24 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
69.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
69.8%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Nwest 45Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-1
69.3%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-5
67.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
65.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
63.1%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+23
63.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 23 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.0%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
62.5%
Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
63.3%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Sam Gerak) to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+10
64.4%
John Moten IV run for 10 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
63.1%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cam Taylor-Britt at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:4765% → 65%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
65.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
64.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
64.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
65.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+49
65.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 49 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
70.0%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
70.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+5
68.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
65.4%
Lane McCallum 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.1%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
60.5%
Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
61.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to John Moten IV for 8 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
59.2%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
59.9%
Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 39 Evan Hull fumbled, forced by Cam Taylor-Britt,Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
60.7%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 52 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3162% → 59%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
62.3%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
62.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+4
60.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
59.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0045% → 40%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
55.5%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+9
54.8%
Drake Anderson run for 9 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.0%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
54.1%
Aidan Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-2
55.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
59.9%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 24 yds, downed at the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
61.7%
Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-5
63.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Brenden Jaimes) to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-3
61.7%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+3
59.3%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
58.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2747% → 47%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
53.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+17
52.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 2 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (JoJo Domann) to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
49.2%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+3
49.9%
Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+5
52.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to John Moten IV for 5 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
53.1%
Charlie Kuhbander 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
60.0%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
60.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
58.9%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
60.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
63.1%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
60.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.9%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds Riley Lees fumbled, forced by Collin Miller, recovered by Nwest Riley LeesSimilar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-15
51.4%
Smith, Aidan pass complete to Chiaokhiao-Bowm for 6 yards to the NU36, PENALTY NU illegal block 15 yards to the NU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
53.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Ethan Wiederkehr) to the Nwest 10Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+5
53.8%
Aidan Smith run for 5 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+6
55.6%
John Moten IV run for 6 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
57.4%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cam Taylor-Britt at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0064% → 55%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
50
0
63.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
50
-4
63.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 14
OWN 46
0
56.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Jack Stoll, broken up by JR PaceSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
54.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 27INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0049% → 56%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.6%
John Moten IV run for 6 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
49.3%
Aidan Smith run for 6 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
49.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
50.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 11 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
46.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 9 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+11
43.8%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Lamar Jackson return for 11 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:0064% → 94%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
63.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+32
62.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 32 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
65.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Mike Williams) to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+1
65.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+8
64.4%
Noah Vedral run for 8 yds to the Nwest 12Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+5
63.3%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+24
94.4%
Lane McCallum 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Lane McCallum 24 yd FG GOOD
+34.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:00
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48
+19.8
TD · Q3 11:20
Aidan Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com