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OSU

Ohio State 48 at Nebraska 7

NEB
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:42 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:37: Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:32: Blake Haubeil 23 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +4.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:26: Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:42: Master Teague III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:34: Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 18 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:18NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:32OSU 4th & 6 at NEB 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−4.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:41NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:02NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 33, down 31
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:32NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:35OSU 4th & 17 at NEB 19, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:47NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 24, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:22OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 41, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:40NEB 4th & 4 at OSU 36, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:05NEB 4th & 3 at OSU 3, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:35OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:37OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:26OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:42OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:34OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:51OSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:07NEB Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:1416% → 17%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
15.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
16.0%
Maurice Washington run for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+1
16.2%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
16.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
16.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
17.0%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jeff Okudah return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5583% → 83%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
50
+10
16.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 10 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
17.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
17.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
17.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
17.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cam Taylor-Britt) to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
16.7%
Justin Fields run for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1017% → 17%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
17.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
17.1%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Baron Browning and Jashon Cornell for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
17.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 34 yds , Demario McCall returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:3383% → 85%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
17.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 15 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
17.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
17.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
17.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 6 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
17.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
17.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
17.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to J.K. DobbinsSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+14
17.7%
Justin Fields run for 14 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
17.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5INT
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:5417% → 17%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
16.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
16.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
16.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
16.7%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+8
16.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
16.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
17.3%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jeff Okudah return for no gain to the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 90 yds · 6:5884% → 80%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
16.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 8Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+17
16.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 17 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
15.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 38 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
15.5%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
15.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
15.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
15.8%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-1
15.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+20
15.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
15.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
15.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Caleb Tannor for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
15.8%
Justin Fields run for 5 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
20.2%
Blake Haubeil 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0516% → 16%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.8%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jordan Fuller return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:4280% → 87%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
50
+41
20.0%
Justin Fields run for 41 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
19.5%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
12.9%
Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3913% → 13%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.4%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
13.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
13.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Malik Harrison for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
13.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
12.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demario McCall at the OhSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4787% → 92%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
13.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Master Teague III for 28 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
12.6%
Master Teague III run for 26 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.9%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3210% → 8%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
8.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
8.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
8.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2192% → 95%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
8.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+13
7.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
6.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 24 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
6.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
6.3%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
4.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 18 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:433% → 2%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
2.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-6
2.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 21 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian Martinez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
2.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
2.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 31 yds, downed at the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2796% → 96%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
4.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
4.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 16 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
3.9%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:1097% → 98%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
2.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 13 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
2.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
2.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 13 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
2.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 27 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
1.8%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
1.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-8
1.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+36
2.3%
Blake Haubeil 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
1.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
1.2%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+10
1.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 10 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
1.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-1
1.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+2
0.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+2
1.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 35 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 26 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:4499% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
1.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 26 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
1.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+14
1.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 14 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
0.9%
Justin Fields run for 7 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
0.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
0.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+56
0.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 56 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
0.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
0.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2899% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.7%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+11
0.6%
Master Teague III run for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.6%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-5
0.5%
Justin Fields sacked by Cam Taylor-Britt for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+4
0.5%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 65 yds · 7:090% → 0%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
0.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
0.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
0.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+9
0.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
0.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 4 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
0.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+2
0.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
0.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
0.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
0.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
0.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the OhSt 2Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.2%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.2%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-12
0.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Jahsen Wint for a loss of 12 yards to the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 61 yds · 5:16100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+7
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Marcus Crowley run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
0.1%
Marcus Crowley run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+36
0.1%
Marcus Crowley run for 36 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
0.1%
Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:26
Master Teague III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-6.7
TD · Q2 5:42
Master Teague III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-4.7
FG · Q2 9:32
Blake Haubeil 23 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com