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NIU

Northern Illinois 8 at Nebraska 44

NEB
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.4NEB 96.3%John Richardson 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 8 - HOME 30 · Q3 9:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:47 · John Richardson 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+15.9Home team on offense+21.5Score differential+15.2Garbage-time factor+4.4Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:20: Maurice Washington run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong PAT BLOCKED) NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal batting ( Yards) declined — NEB win probability +4.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:19: Dedrick Mills run for 24 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK) — NEB win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q2 1:49: Jordan Cole Safety — NIU win probability +1.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:05: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 27 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK) — NEB win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:00: Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK) — NEB win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 15
  1. Q1 12:31NEB 4th & 10 at NIU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:45NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 36, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:53NEB 4th & 11 at NIU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:53NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:15NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 29, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:58NIU 4th & 4 at NEB 27, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:20NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:29NEB 4th & 11 at NIU 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:29NIU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 20
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:53NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 44, down 18
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:55NIU 4th & 8 at NEB 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:47NIU 4th & 9 at NEB 9, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:47NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 44, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:47NEB 4th & 8 at NIU 48, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:19NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 10, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 1 at NEB 1, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:38NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 47, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:23NIU 4th & 2 at NEB 49, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:23NIU 4th & 7 at NEB 43, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:22NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:20NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:19NEB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:05NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:00NEB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:04NEB Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:2985% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+41
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 41 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 17 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
84.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+1
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 1 yd to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+1
84.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
84.1%
Isaac Armstrong 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.2%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.2%
Matt Ference punt for 51 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+61
83.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 61 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
84.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the NoIll 10 Dedrick Mills fumbled, forced by Jack Heflin, recovered by NoIll Marshe TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
83.7%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
83.7%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+11
83.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 11 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
83.7%
Ross Bowers run for no gain to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
83.7%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
83.7%
Ross Bowers run for 5 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
83.7%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+6
83.7%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
83.7%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+6
83.8%
Matt Ference run for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 21 Matt Ference fumbled, forced by Isaiah Stalbird, recovered by Neb Austin Allen , return for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
84.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 21 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.9%
Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
83.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
84.1%
Matt Ference run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3185% → 84%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
84.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, PENALTY NIU personal foul (FOSTER, Traysho) 15 yards to the NIU19, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
84.7%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
84.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
84.5%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
84.2%
Isaac Armstrong 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Devin Haney return for 13 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
83.2%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
83.3%
Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 9
50
-2
83.4%
Ross Bowers sacked by Darrion Daniels and Carlos Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
83.9%
Matt Ference punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
83.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
84.2%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
83.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
83.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 53 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:2916% → 16%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
83.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+9
83.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
83.6%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
83.5%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
83.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+8
84.2%
Matt Ference punt for 57 yds , JD Spielman returns for 8 yds to the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:1184% → 89%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
83.7%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+19
83.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 19 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
83.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 7 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+60
88.6%
Maurice Washington run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong PAT BLOCKED) NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal batting ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:2213% → 14%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 17 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
86.4%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+13
86.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 13 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
86.1%
Jordan Nettles run for 14 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
85.7%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+7
86.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+1
85.9%
Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
86.5%
John Richardson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:3988% → 94%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
50
0
88.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
50
0
88.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Jalen McKieSimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 10
50
+26
88.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 26 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
93.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 24 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:527% → 6%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
93.3%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
93.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
93.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel Crawford, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
93.8%
TEAM punt blocked by Isaiah Stalbird blocked by Isaiah StalbirdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4495% → 95%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
94.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 15Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
94.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
94.5%
Isaac Armstrong 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jalen McKieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
93.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 13 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
93.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 13 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.5%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-10
93.5%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Denni, PENALTY NIU holding (OLSON, Benn) 10 yards to the NIU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+4
93.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 4 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+8
94.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 6
50
0
93.6%
Ross Bowers punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17SF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
92.0%
Jordan Cole SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:489% → 8%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
90.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
90.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
92.5%
Ross Bowers punt for 43 yds, downed at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 0:3992% → 98%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
92.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+8
91.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
92.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 13 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
92.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 30 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
97.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 27 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:134% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.9%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
95.9%
Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
95.9%
Jordan Nettles run for 22 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel Crawford, broken up by Carlos DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
95.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Carlos DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 2 yds to the Neb 37 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+28
96.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 28 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-14
96.4%
Ross Bowers sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+14
96.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 14 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
96.3%
John Richardson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.2%
Maurice Washington run for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
97.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+6
97.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
50
0
97.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 10
50
+2
97.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
97.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
96.9%
Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 5Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
97.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+5
97.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 5 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+3
96.9%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds , JD Spielman returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:4298% → 100%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+27
97.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 27 yds Jack Stoll fumbled, forced by Mykelti Williams, recovered by Neb Austin Allen for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
97.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
97.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
99.7%
NETTLES, Jordan rush over right tackle for 1 yard to the NIU41, PENALTY NIU holding (OLSON, Benn) 10 yards to the NIU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+10
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for 10 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 11 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
99.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 15 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.8%
Spencer Tears run for 6 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel Crawford, broken up by Eli SullivanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+3
99.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+11
99.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
99.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 11 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 45 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 16 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 8 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted Braxton Clark return for 9 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Darien Chase for 13 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kurt Rafdal for 9 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+8
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jaevon McQuitty for 8 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NoIll 3Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+26
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 26 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Rahveon Valentine run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
100.0%
Rahveon Valentine run for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Michael Love for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Rahveon Valentine for 3 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Corey LerschSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Michael LoveSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Wyatt Mazour run for 3 yds to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:19
Dedrick Mills run for 24 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 12:20
Maurice Washington run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong PAT BLOCKED) NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal batting ( Yards) declined
+4.7
TD · Q2 0:05
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 27 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com