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NEB

Nebraska 31 at Colorado 34

COLO
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · James Stefanou 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:22: Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 96 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +21.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:09: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 75 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK) — NEB win probability +23.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:19: Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +31.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 5:49: Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK) — NEB win probability +27.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:46: Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +46.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:00COLO 4th & 1 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42COLO 4th & 8 at NEB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:14COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:30COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:47NEB 4th & 4 at COLO 9, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13COLO 4th & 9 at NEB 46, down 17
    Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    22.3%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:00NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:27COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:41NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:08COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:06NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:36NEB 4th & 17 at COLO 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:30COLO 4th & 3 at NEB 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−19.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:49NEB 4th & 1 at COLO 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−10.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−35.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:53NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:29COLO 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:02NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:37NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:42COLO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:22COLO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:09NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:19COLO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:49NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:46COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−6.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
17 plays · 33 yds · 7:1337% → 39%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
36.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
37.2%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
37.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 10Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+15
37.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Brady Russell for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
37.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 11 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
38.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
38.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for no gain to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
38.5%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
38.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-12
39.3%
Steven Montez sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 12 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 22
OWN 44
+5
39.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+9
39.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
39.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
5 plays · 96 yds · 1:1361% → 64%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
39.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 10 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
39.3%
Maurice Washington run for 7 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+12
39.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
39.2%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+65
35.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 65 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:4136% → 35%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
36.2%
Steven Montez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
36.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
35.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 10 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
36.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
36.6%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-6
36.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Caleb Tannor for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
35.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 49 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:4364% → 66%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
36.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
35.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
35.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
35.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+28
35.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 28 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
34.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Colo 35 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Colo Nu'umotu Falo Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3136% → 35%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
36.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
36.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-7
36.2%
Steven Montez sacked by Mohamed Barry for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
34.5%
Alex Kinney punt for 60 yds, downed at the Neb 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 6:4764% → 76%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
35.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+8
35.6%
Maurice Washington run for 8 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
35.2%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
35.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
34.6%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+5
36.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (5 Yards) to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
34.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 25 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
33.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+21
32.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 21 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
32.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
32.1%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+15
31.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 15 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
30.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 8Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
30.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3825% → 26%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.4%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
25.7%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Lamar Jackson return for 1 yd to the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:4476% → 80%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
23.8%
JD Spielman run for 8 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+20
23.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 20 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
23.1%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
22.9%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+3
22.8%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
19.6%
Isaac Armstrong 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
16 plays · 29 yds · 2:3422% → 28%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
21.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
21.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
21.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
22.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 9 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-1
22.6%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+7
22.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 7 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
22.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
21.6%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
22.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
28.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
18.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:5082% → 83%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
18.0%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
18.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
17.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
17.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+14
17.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-6
16.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mekhi Blackmon for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 34 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian Martinez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
16.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2618% → 17%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
18.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+8
18.2%
Dimitri Stanley run for 8 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
18.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
18.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 6 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+7
18.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 7 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
18.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
18.6%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 6
50
-5
17.9%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+4
17.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 4 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
17.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 40 yds, downed at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2786% → 86%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
14.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
13.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
14.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+36
14.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COLORADO 43 NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2617% → 15%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
17.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
17.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
17.0%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Dimitri StanleySimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-5
16.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
15.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4988% → 89%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
12.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-2
12.1%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Alex Tchangam for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-4
11.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Alex Tchangam for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
11.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 51 yds, downed at the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:2416% → 29%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
15.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+1
14.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+21
14.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 21 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
16.6%
K.D. Nixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 13
50
+14
15.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 14 yds Brady Russell fumbled, recovered by Colo Brady Russell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
16.5%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+14
16.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 14 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
17.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 11 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
29.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 11 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:0379% → 78%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+23
21.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
19.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 11 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-11
18.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 21
OWN 48
+4
19.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 17
OPP 48
0
19.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
20.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q4 14:36
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
22.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 45 yds, downed at the Colo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18TD
1 play · 96 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+96
43.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 96 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
21.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 75 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3522% → 52%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
22.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 5 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.2%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+57
21.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 57 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
52.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0262% → 63%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
38.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 1 yd to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
37.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 20 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Colo Nu'umotu Falo Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0149% → 60%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
49.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
49.5%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+12
46.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 12 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
49.9%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
50.2%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 7 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 8:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
60.1%
James Stefanou 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2948% → 82%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.0%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
51.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
53.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
46.9%
Maurice Washington run for 40 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
42.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
42.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
44.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
17.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4284% → 83%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
16.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
16.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 21 NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+2
16.5%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+6
17.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+4
17.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds , K.D. Nixon returns for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:4722% → 68%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
22.4%
Tony Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+12
20.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 12 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
22.6%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for 4 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
21.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
24.8%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
19.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 1
50
+5
16.5%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
17.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+10
21.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 10 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
67.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:3149% → 53%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
46.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
48.5%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
47.3%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Chris Miller return for no gain to the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
55.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0029% → 12%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
72.9%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Colo 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-7
78.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 31Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+48
87.7%
Isaac Armstrong 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29FG
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
84.6%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Shenault Jr., Laviska for 14 yards to the NEBRASKA11, PENALTY COLORADO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NEBRASKA30, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+18
84.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 18 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
84.6%
Laviska Shenault Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
84.1%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
82.2%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
78.2%
James Stefanou 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:46
Steven Montez pass complete to Tony Brown for 26 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
+46.8
TD · Q4 12:19
Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
+31.1
TD · Q4 5:49
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Isaac Armstrong KICK)
-27
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com