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USA

South Alabama 21 at Nebraska 35

NEB
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:39 · Jack Brooks punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+43.0Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:11: Eric Lee Jr. 38 Yd Interception Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick) — NEB win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:32: JD Spielman 76 Yd Punt Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick) — NEB win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:47: Davyn Flenord 9 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson , (Frankie Onate KICK) — USA win probability +3.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:17: Khameron Taylor 13 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson (Frankie Onate Kick) — USA win probability +6.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:53: Alex Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick) — NEB win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:59USA 4th & 6 at USA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51NEB 4th & 5 at USA 49, tied
    Close callWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:39USA 4th & 12 at USA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24NEB 4th & 2 at USA 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12USA 4th & 12 at USA 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:58USA 4th & 12 at USA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:19NEB 4th & 10 at USA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:32USA 4th & 3 at USA 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:11USA 4th & 6 at USA 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:37NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:09USA 4th & 6 at USA 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:22NEB 4th & 5 at USA 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:21NEB 4th & 16 at USA 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:18USA 4th & 14 at NEB 36, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:19NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:11NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:32NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:47USA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:17USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:53NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
98.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+14
98.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 14 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
98.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
98.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+17
98.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 17 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+42
98.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 42 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the SAlab 3Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Dedrick Mills 1 Yd Run (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.5%
Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
98.4%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
98.4%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 15 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.4%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-4
98.2%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
98.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 12
OWN 9
0
98.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:102% → 3%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
98.1%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Hadon Merchant) to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+14
98.1%
Kawaan Baker run for 14 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+6
98.1%
Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Davyn FlenordSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-7
98.0%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Will Honas for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+20
98.0%
Cephus Johnson run for 6 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Deontai Williams) to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
97.8%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+8
97.8%
Cephus Johnson run for 8 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
Cephus Johnson 3 Yd Run (Frankie Onate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3698% → 97%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
97.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 19 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Wyatt Mazour run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.4%
Wyatt Mazour run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.1%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 9
50
+25
97.0%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 25 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
96.9%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Lamar Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 32 Cephus Johnson fumbled, forced by Lamar Jackson, recovered by Neb Carlos Davis , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5697% → 97%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
97.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-20
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 28
OWN 24
+13
96.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 13 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
96.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 54 yds, downed at the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:163% → 4%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
96.7%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+3
96.5%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.4%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
96.4%
Kawaan Baker run for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-4
96.3%
Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
96.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:2497% → 97%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
96.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
96.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+10
96.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 10 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
96.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 8 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Wyatt Mazour run for no gain to the SAlab 12Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.2%
Wyatt Mazour run for 7 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+1
96.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
95.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.7%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.4%
Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Noa, Kanawai, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Daniels, DJ) 1 yards to the SOUTHALA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Dedrick Mills 1 Yd Run (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:564% → 4%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
96.3%
Tra Minter run for 12 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.1%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 36Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
96.1%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Baker, Kawaan, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Dismuke, Marquel) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
95.8%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-5
95.6%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
95.9%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for no gain to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
96.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 30 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:1796% → 95%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
95.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
95.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
95.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
95.6%
Martinez, Adrian pass complete to Robinson, Wan'Dale for 31 yards to the SOUTHALA37, PENALTY NEBRASKA illegal motion (Robinson, Wan'Dale) 5 yards to the NEBRASKA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 15
OWN 27
-8
95.5%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Riley Cole for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 23
OWN 19
+4
95.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 19
OWN 23
+3
95.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 3 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 53 yds, downed at the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:575% → 5%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
95.1%
Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-3
95.2%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 12
OWN 19
+11
95.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 57 yds , JD Spielman returns for 11 yds to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 1:3795% → 95%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
94.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jaevon McQuitty for 6 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+15
94.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
95.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
95.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+10
95.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
95.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
95.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
94.7%
Dylan Jorgensen 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
94.7%
TEAM run for 4 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15INT TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:426% → 4%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
94.2%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 15 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
94.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Hadon Merchant) to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+7
93.9%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 7 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+38
96.5%
Eric Lee Jr. 38 Yd Interception Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:274% → 1%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.5%
Cephus Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+76
98.6%
JD Spielman 76 Yd Punt Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:211% → 1%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
98.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-8 Yards) to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+3
98.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+2
98.6%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+11
98.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 11 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.6%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Cade Sutherland for no gain to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+4
98.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 8:11
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 13 JD Spielman fumbled, recovered by SAlab Keith GallmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:192% → 6%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.4%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
98.2%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
94.4%
Davyn Flenord 9 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson , (Frankie Onate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:4896% → 96%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.9%
Maurice Washington run for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
96.0%
Maurice Washington run for 16 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
96.2%
Maurice Washington run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
96.3%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted A.J. DeShazor return for 18 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:425% → 13%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
94.8%
Kawaan Baker run for 15 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.3%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+27
94.6%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for 27 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
93.9%
Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-1
93.8%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
87.5%
Khameron Taylor 13 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson (Frankie Onate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4092% → 91%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
92.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-9
91.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Jeffery Whatley and Sean Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 21
OWN 28
+13
91.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 13 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
91.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 47 yds , Tra Minter returns for no gain to the SAlab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:0711% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
89.4%
Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
95.7%
Alex Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:444% → 4%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
95.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+2
94.9%
Cephus Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
94.8%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
94.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
94.8%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+9
96.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 yds , JD Spielman returns for 9 yds to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
97.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:314% → 4%
Q4 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+19
96.4%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 19 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
96.0%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+8
96.2%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 8 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+9
96.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 9 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.2%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
96.1%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+48
96.4%
Cephus Johnson pass intercepted Cam Taylor return for 48 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0598% → 98%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+2
98.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.1%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:393% → 3%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Tylan Morton pass intercepted Eric Lee Jr. return for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:1598% → 99%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-11
98.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Farniok) to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 21
OWN 48
+10
98.4%
Maurice Washington run for 10 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Maurice Washington run for no gain to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 11
OPP 42
-5
98.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
98.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 42 yds, downed at the SAlab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:032% → 2%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
98.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
98.0%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+27
98.1%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 27 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
97.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 36 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Davyn FlenordSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-9
97.0%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 19
OPP 41
+5
97.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Davyn FlenordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:17
Khameron Taylor 13 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson (Frankie Onate Kick)
-6.2
TD · Q4 14:53
Alex Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Dylan Jorgensen Kick)
+6.2
TD · Q3 6:47
Davyn Flenord 9 Yd pass from Cephus Johnson , (Frankie Onate KICK)
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com