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WIS

Wisconsin 38 at Minnesota 17

MINN
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:00 · Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the Minn 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−52.2Score differential−29.7Garbage-time factor−9.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.4Pregame prior−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:49: Jonathan Taylor 28 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick) — WIS win probability +11.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:52: Quintez Cephus 47 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick) — WIS win probability +12.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:51: Michael Lantz 38 Yd Field Goal — MINN win probability +4.9 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:52: Kendric Pryor 26 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick) — WIS win probability +13.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:05: Jonathan Taylor 11 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick) — WIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:45WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30MINN 4th & 7 at WIS 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:14WIS 4th & 3 at MINN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41WIS 4th & 2 at MINN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:56WIS 4th & 3 at MINN 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:27MINN 4th & 5 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10MINN 4th & 15 at MINN 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:44MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:51MINN 4th & 8 at WIS 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−7.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:15MINN 4th & 4 at WIS 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:16MINN 4th & 10 at WIS 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:00WIS 4th & 3 at MINN 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:26MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:30MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:49WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:52WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:52WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:05WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:41WIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:51MINN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0555% → 54%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
44.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
45.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
45.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
45.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:1046% → 47%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
46.7%
Rashod Bateman 51 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3653% → 52%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
46.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
47.0%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
47.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
47.9%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
48.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:4549% → 52%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
48.7%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
48.9%
Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
49.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
49.6%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-2
50.2%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+27
50.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 27 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
52.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
52.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
52.2%
Seth Green run for no gain to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-5
52.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
52.0%
Jacob Herbers punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FUMBLE
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:2748% → 48%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
52.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
52.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+6
52.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 6 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
52.4%
Jack Coan pass complete to Nakia Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+17
53.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
52.4%
Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Cephus, Quintez, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference 9 yards to the WISCONSIN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
51.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+16
53.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 16 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
52.7%
Jack Coan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+7
53.5%
Jack Coan run for 7 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+6
53.8%
Kendric Pryor run for 6 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
52.2%
Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 32 Aron Cruickshank fumbled, recovered by Minn Carter CoughlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4555% → 56%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
55.1%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-3
55.5%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Chris Orr and Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:1547% → 48%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
52.7%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
53.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
54.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+4
55.5%
Jack Coan run for 4 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
54.0%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
54.2%
Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 4 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
55.6%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez CephusSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
52.3%
Zach Hintze 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2353% → 55%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
55.3%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 8 yards to the MINNESOTA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
56.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 5
50
0
56.8%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 5
50
0
56.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 5
50
0
55.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wisc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:2245% → 60%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
55.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 12 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
54.9%
Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 5 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
54.3%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+20
55.6%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 20 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
53.1%
Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 11 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
52.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+28
40.5%
Jonathan Taylor 28 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3244% → 42%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.1%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+23
42.8%
Rodney Smith run for 23 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
47.4%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Jack Sanborn for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+5
44.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
43.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
42.4%
Jacob Herbers punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
43.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:1146% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.5%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
45.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
46.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
50
0
48.4%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
50
0
47.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 10
50
-1
45.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
43.1%
Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:4156% → 72%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+31
44.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 31 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
41.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
41.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
28.5%
Quintez Cephus 47 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:2729% → 35%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
28.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 20 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
29.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+36
30.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 36 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
32.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
32.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+2
29.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
34.7%
Michael Lantz 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:4373% → 86%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
27.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for 13 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
14.1%
Kendric Pryor 26 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:1918% → 16%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
16.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
18.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+6
18.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
18.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
17.9%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
17.7%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
16.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
17.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+16
16.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 16 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
16.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
16.6%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Wisc 4Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 2:3790% → 98%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
10.1%
Mason Stokke run for 7 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+4
9.9%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
9.7%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
9.5%
Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+9
9.1%
Jack Coan run for 9 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+70
8.5%
Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 70 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
1.7%
Jonathan Taylor 11 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
2.6%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Garrett Rand for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Wisc Tyler Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:5198% → 100%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
1.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
1.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
1.4%
Mason Stokke run for 7 yds to the Minn 1Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Jonathan Taylor 1 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:390% → 2%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-BellSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 8 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
0.2%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 10 yards to the WISCONSIN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+25
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 25 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
1.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
0.6%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+2
0.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
0.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the Minn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
1.0%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, Chris, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 15 yards to the MINNESOTA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.Similar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
1.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 19 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
1.0%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Zack Baun for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+12
0.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-3
1.0%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
0.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 41 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 16
OWN 49
+4
0.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+2
0.3%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+3
0.3%
John Chenal run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:52
Kendric Pryor 26 Yd Run (Zach Hintze Kick)
-13.4
TD · Q3 9:52
Quintez Cephus 47 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick)
-12.8
TD · Q2 2:49
Jonathan Taylor 28 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Zach Hintze Kick)
-11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com