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MINN

Minnesota 42 at Rutgers 7

RUTG
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:35 · Johnny Langan sacked by Esezi Otomewo for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:31: Rodney Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — RUTG win probability +0.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. INT · Q2 9:36: Johnny Langan pass intercepted Phillip Howard return for no gain to the Minn 23 — RUTG win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:40: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +1.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:23: Rodney Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:25: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:38RUTG 4th & 22 at RUTG 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26MINN 4th & 8 at RUTG 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at MINN 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:22MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:28MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:35RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02MINN 4th & 10 at RUTG 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:54RUTG 4th & 25 at MINN 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:25MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:22RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:51MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 48, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 1:31MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:40MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:23MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:25MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:15MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:03MINN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:53RUTG Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
2.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
2.8%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.8%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Austin Winfield return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
3.4%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 8 Aaron Young fumbled,Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 22
OWN 8
0
3.4%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 22
OWN 8
0
3.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
3.6%
Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+3
3.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
3.7%
Jacob Herbers punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rutgr 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
4.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+2
4.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
4.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
4.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
4.4%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Carter CoughlinSimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-4
4.3%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 11 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
4.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:2795% → 95%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
4.7%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+20
4.7%
Rodney Smith run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
4.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
4.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
4.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
4.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+6
4.6%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
4.5%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.7%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:205% → 6%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
5.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
5.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-1
5.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+2
5.7%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
5.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:0094% → 95%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
5.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+3
5.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
5.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+36
5.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 36 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
5.2%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
5.2%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+5
5.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (Julius Turner) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
5.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
5.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.9%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Phillip Howard return for no gain to the Minn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:4893% → 95%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
6.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 13 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Avery YoungSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
6.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rodney Smith, broken up by Elorm LumorSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
6.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 9 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+4
6.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
6.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
6.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
6.3%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY RU holding (Young, Avery) 10 yards to the RU35, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
6.2%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+20
6.2%
Rodney Smith run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
6.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
6.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
5.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
5.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
5.7%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+3
5.5%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
5.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11MISSED FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 2:4794% → 95%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
5.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rodney Smith for 6 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-4
5.6%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+21
5.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 21 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Christian IzienSimilar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
5.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rodney Smith for 18 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
5.3%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
5.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+7
5.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
5.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-3
5.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+15
5.6%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Douglas, D (Avery, Tre), PENALTY RU pass interference (Avery, Tre) 15 yards to the RU15, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
5.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
5.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
5.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Christian IzienSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
5.5%
Michael Lantz 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:2994% → 98%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
5.8%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
5.8%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+12
5.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
5.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+11
5.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.4%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
5.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 11 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
5.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+5
5.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
2.2%
Rodney Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14MISSED FG
21 plays · 46 yds · 7:294% → 2%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
3.6%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
3.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaih Pacheco, broken up by Carter CoughlinSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
3.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-1
3.9%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line Johnny Langan fumbled, forced by Carter Coughlin, recovered by Rutgr Johnny Langan , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
50
+2
4.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
4.0%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo Melton, broken up by Coney DurrSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+10
3.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
3.3%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
3.3%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+15
3.2%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Washington, I., PENALTY MINN pass interference (Thomas, Kiondre) 15 yards to the MINN25, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
3.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-1
3.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 18Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
3.4%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
3.6%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Robinson, D., PENALTY RU pass interference (Robinson, D.) 15 yards to the MINN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 25
OPP 29
+3
3.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 3 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 22
OPP 26
+3
3.5%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 19
OPP 23
-6
3.2%
Johnny Langan sacked by Tai'yon Devers and Carter Coughlin for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 29Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 25
OPP 29
+47
2.2%
Justin Davidovicz 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:2999% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
1.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+27
1.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 27 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Deion JenningsSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
1.2%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
1.1%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
1.1%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
1.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
1.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
1.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
1.1%
Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
0.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
0.1%
Antoine Winfield Jr. 33 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-2
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
0.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding (Olakunle Fatukasi) to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
0.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Prince Taylor for 12 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+40
0.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for 40 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
0.1%
Aaron Young run for 5 yds to the Minn 8Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
0.1%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Minn 5Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.1%
Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
0.1%
Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Jacob Herbers punt for 32 yds, downed at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 19 Johnny Langan fumbled, forced by Justus Harris, recovered by RutgrSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
0.1%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+12
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Kiondre ThomasSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
0.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 7 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
0.1%
Johnny Langan sacked by Esezi Otomewo for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:23
Rodney Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
-3.1
INT · Q2 9:36
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Phillip Howard return for no gain to the Minn 23
+1.5
TD · Q2 4:40
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com