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NEB

Nebraska 7 at Minnesota 34

MINN
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:03 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:15: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +7.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:54: Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 01:54 — MINN win probability +3.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: William Przystup kickoff for 60 yds , Demetrius Douglas return for 32 yds to the Minn 37 — NEB win probability +3.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:41: Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +10.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:16: Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00NEB 4th & 2 at MINN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31NEB 4th & 22 at MINN 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12NEB 4th & 17 at MINN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:15NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:54MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:41NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:51MINN 4th & 8 at NEB 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:51NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:16NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:21MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:14NEB 4th & 4 at MINN 35, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:56MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 42, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:11NEB 4th & 8 at MINN 46, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 7:31MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:15MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:41MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:16MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:41MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:32NEB Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.6%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
70.6%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
70.6%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+8
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jaron Woodyard for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+11
70.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 11 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
70.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 2 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
70.6%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
70.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:4370% → 72%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
69.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+35
70.2%
Rodney Smith run for 35 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
70.5%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+7
70.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
72.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
71.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+51
71.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 51 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
70.7%
Noah Vedral sacked by Chris Williamson and Thomas Barber for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 20
OPP 36
-2
71.3%
Noah Vedral sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 22
OPP 38
0
71.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 22
OPP 38
0
71.9%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:2872% → 71%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
72.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Conner Olson) to the Minn 8Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+7
72.1%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+4
72.1%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+7
71.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
72.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
71.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rodney Smith, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+10
71.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 50 yds , JD Spielman returns for 10 yds to the Neb 33 JD Spielman fumbled, forced by Phillip Howard, recovered by Neb Caleb TannorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:4029% → 28%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
71.4%
Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+2
70.7%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
70.9%
Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+22
71.1%
Noah Vedral run for 22 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
69.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Boe Wilson) to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+2
71.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 36
-9
71.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (Kanawai Noa) to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+2
71.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 20
OPP 43
+3
71.6%
Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
72.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:1672% → 81%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
71.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 25 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
72.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 8 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+7
73.1%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
73.2%
Rodney Smith run for 15 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
73.3%
Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
80.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
77.1%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
77.5%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
77.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 9 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
76.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
76.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
76.4%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
77.1%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:1680% → 83%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
79.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 8Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
79.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+11
78.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
79.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 13 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
79.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 28 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
80.8%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+1
80.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+5
83.4%
Jacob Herbers punt for 20 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 15 MINNESOTA Penalty, kick catching interference (Tyler Nubin) to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
81.9%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
81.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
82.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
81.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Maurice Washington, broken up by Micah Dew-TreadwaySimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+4
82.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 52 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 4 yds to the Minn 41 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (Tyler Nubin) to the Minn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:2785% → 87%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
84.8%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 12 Rodney Smith fumbled, forced by Carlos Davis, recovered by Minn Sam SchlueterSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
86.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+23
87.1%
Rodney Smith run for 23 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:1985% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
84.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 45 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
85.3%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+8
85.3%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+6
84.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Darien ChaseSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.9%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Sam RennerSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
93.0%
Noah Vedral run for 6 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
92.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+2
93.0%
Austin Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Jake PaulsonSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
95.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Jacob Herbers punt for 40 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 2 JD Spielman fumbled, recovered by Neb JD SpielmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
94.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
94.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 4Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
94.8%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 4
0
94.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, downed at the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:1696% → 100%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.0%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
96.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+9
95.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
96.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 5 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
96.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+13
96.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Khalil Davis) to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Sam RennerSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.6%
Noah Vedral sacked by Sam Renner for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 15 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
99.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+45
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 45 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 4:090% → 0%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+26
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 26 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
99.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+4
99.7%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.7%
Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.7%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
99.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kade Warner for 7 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.7%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
99.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Jacob Herbers punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kanawai Noa at the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Jaron Woodyard, PENALTY MINN pass interference (St-Juste, B) 15 yards to the MINN41, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
99.9%
Andrew Bunch sacked by Austin Winfield for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+13
99.9%
Andrew Bunch pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 13 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Darien ChaseSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kanawai Noa at the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
99.9%
Brody Belt run for 22 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler NubinSimilar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Brody Belt run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 1
50
+2
99.9%
Brody Belt run for 2 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
99.9%
Brody Belt run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Andrew Bunch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Andrew Bunch run for 6 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Brody BeltSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+21
99.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:41
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 10:15
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
+7.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
William Przystup kickoff for 60 yds , Demetrius Douglas return for 32 yds to the Minn 37
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com