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GASO

Georgia Southern 32 at Minnesota 35

MINN
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.4MINN 86.0%Tyler Bass 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 21 · Q2 3:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:26 · Tyler Bass 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+5.0Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: Justin Tomlin run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +8.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:43: Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +13.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:05: Monquavion Brinson 77 Yd Return of Missed Field Goal (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GASO win probability +16.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:05: Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 06:05 — GASO win probability +38.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:47: Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 03:47 — GASO win probability +26.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:57GASO 4th & 3 at MINN 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49MINN 4th & 20 at MINN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:26GASO 4th & 2 at MINN 28, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:26MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−2.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:26GASO 4th & 16 at GASO 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−3.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:43GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:18MINN 4th & 18 at MINN 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−3.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:05MINN 4th & 2 at GASO 18, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−6.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:47MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 27, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:25GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:37MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:14MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:07MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:27GASO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:43MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:05GASO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Aaron Dowdell) to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
89.7%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
89.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
89.7%
Logan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
89.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Jay BowdrySimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+33
89.1%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for 33 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+33
89.1%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for 33 yds to the Minn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.5%
Logan Wright run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4889% → 89%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
88.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 73 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:4011% → 14%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
88.7%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 39 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
88.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+7
88.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
88.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
88.6%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
88.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Minn 14Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
88.5%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
86.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the Minn 8Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
86.5%
Tyler Bass 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:4387% → 87%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Jay BowdrySimilar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
86.4%
Rodney Smith run for 16 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
86.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 14 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
87.0%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
87.2%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
87.2%
Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
87.2%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+13
87.2%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY GS pass interference (K. Vildor) 13 yards to the GS9, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
87.2%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.2%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
86.4%
Rodney Smith run for 16 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
86.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 14 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
87.2%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
87.2%
Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1414% → 14%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
86.0%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
86.2%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
85.9%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Mark Michaud, broken up by Terell SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
86.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.9%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.1%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
85.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
50
+3
86.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
86.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-13
86.2%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the Minn 40Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.9%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
85.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
85.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
85.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+1
85.4%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Cam Brown for 1 yd Cam Brown fumbled, forced by Austin Winfield, recovered by Minn Braelen OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:4686% → 89%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for no gain to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
85.5%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+14
85.2%
Bryce Williams run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
85.6%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.2%
Seth Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:4111% → 14%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Mark Michaud for 16 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
88.1%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 1
50
+14
87.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the MINNESOTA 46 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive holding (Sam Renner) to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.6%
Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+4
87.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
87.4%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+45
86.0%
Tyler Bass 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
86.8%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
86.1%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:4916% → 25%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
84.4%
J.D. King run for 11 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
84.2%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+6
83.2%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
83.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
75.3%
Justin Tomlin run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.3%
Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
19 plays · 36 yds · 0:0080% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
80.2%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+5
80.1%
Cam Wiley run for 5 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+5
79.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ty Phillips) to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
80.4%
Cam Wiley run for 7 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
81.2%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
80.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 9 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
82.0%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
82.0%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
80.6%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+17
79.8%
Tanner Morgan run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.3%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-3
82.3%
Seth Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-9
81.4%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
79.2%
Jacob Herbers punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
80.2%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 14Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
80.4%
Cam Wiley run for 7 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
81.2%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-3
82.3%
Seth Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
76.0%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
76.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
75.3%
Justin Tomlin run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-10
74.5%
L. Wright rush for 2 yards to the GS39 (Williamson, C), PENALTY GS holding (J. Cooper) 10 yards to the GS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+2
76.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-2
77.4%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Boye Mafe for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+19
78.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 19 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:5478% → 90%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+33
77.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 33 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
78.7%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
78.7%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+6
77.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.7%
Seth Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
77.2%
Seth Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
75.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, IS (4 Yards) to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
75.7%
Morgan, Tanner pass complete to Johnson, Tyler for 3 yards to the GS1 (D. Rutledge Jr), PENALTY GS holding (D. Baker Jr) 2 yards to the GS2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.6%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 11%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
87.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo J.D. KingSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 17
OWN 19
-5
87.9%
Matt LaRoche run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+8
88.5%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 8 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
89.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
88.9%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+12
87.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
89.7%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-5
88.6%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Randy Wade Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 29Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 18
OWN 29
0
87.8%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
87.3%
Jacob Herbers punt for 45 yds, downed at the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.4%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 26 Justin Tomlin fumbled, forced by Carter Coughlin, recovered by Minn Thomas BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21MISSED FG TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0792% → 75%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
91.8%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
91.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 1
OPP 17
-1
91.3%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+77
75.0%
Monquavion Brinson 77 Yd Return of Missed Field Goal (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q4 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
57.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, sideline interference (Kenderick Duncan Jr.) to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1831% → 31%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.0%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
30.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 22 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
36.0%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
50
+3
36.6%
Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+44
31.0%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Rashad Byrd for a loss of 9 yards Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Rashad Byrd , return for 0 yards , return for 44 yds, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 3:344% → 5%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by C.J. WrightSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
3.8%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY MINN holding (Olson, Conner) 10 yards to the MINN15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-9
3.9%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Reynard Ellis for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 6Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 29
OWN 6
+21
3.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 21 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
3.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 10 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
4.1%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY MINN holding (Faalele, Daniel) 10 yards to the MINN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+15
4.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Minn 32 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive holding (Monquavion Brinson) to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
4.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds Tyler Johnson fumbled, forced by Jessie Liptrot, recovered by Minn for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
4.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
2.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Demetrius DouglasSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+25
2.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 25 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
4.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Reynard EllisSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
4.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 10 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.1%
Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.5%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
1.6%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
1.6%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Mark Michaud for 11 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down lat. to Malik Murray for no gain to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+98.4
TD · Q4 6:05
Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 06:05
-38.2
TD · Q4 3:47
Timeout MINNESOTA, clock 03:47
-26.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com