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OSU

Ohio State 56 at Michigan 27

MICH
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.8MICH 26.6%Quinn Nordin 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 28 - HOME 16 · Q2 0:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:19 · Quinn Nordin 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Home team on offense−8.7Score differential−4.5Pregame prior−9.5Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:19: Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 25 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +7.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:12: J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:15: J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:18: Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:23: Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the OhSt 1 (H. Haskins Run For Two-point Conversion) — MICH win probability +10.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:20MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:19MICH 4th & 5 at OSU 5, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:38MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 42, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:22MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 26, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:33MICH 4th & 11 at OSU 27, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:02OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 29, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:56OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 39, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:17MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:48MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 47, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:05OSU 4th & 9 at MICH 49, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:20MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 22, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 46, up 29
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:43MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:50OSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:27OSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:19MICH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:12OSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:15OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:18OSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:46OSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:23MICH Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:11OSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:30OSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1232% → 35%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
31.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
32.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 10 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
32.4%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+7
32.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+22
33.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the MICHIGAN 45 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
33.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 8 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
34.6%
Giles Jackson run for 22 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4866% → 66%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+34
34.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 34 yds to the Mich 41 J.K. Dobbins fumbled, recovered by OhSt J.K. Dobbins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
34.2%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
34.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
34.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
34.6%
Justin Fields sacked by Jordan Glasgow and Michael Dwumfour for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
35.4%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+28
35.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 28 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
33.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2534% → 34%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
33.9%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
34.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
34.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+56
33.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, downed at the MICHIGAN 35 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5865% → 64%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
34.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
34.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
35.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Rashod Berry for 4 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
35.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
35.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+2
36.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 41 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 2 yds to the Mich 36 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (George Johnson) to the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:0635% → 35%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
35.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 20 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
35.7%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 36Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
35.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell, broken up by Jeff OkudahSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
35.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
35.0%
Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1864% → 69%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
36.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+11
36.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
35.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
35.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
35.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
30.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 57 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0031% → 39%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+41
32.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 41 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
39.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 25 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0363% → 70%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.0%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
36.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
36.7%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
36.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Carlo Kemp) to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
35.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-10
36.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thayer Munford) to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+41
37.3%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 41 yds to the Mich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
35.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+4
35.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 4 yds to the Mich 6Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
30.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2532% → 33%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+34
31.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 34 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
33.8%
Giles Jackson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
33.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
34.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 16 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
33.9%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-3
34.0%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 12Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-4
32.8%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 16 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by OhSt Robert LandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:1070% → 78%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
30.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
30.0%
Justin Fields run for 5 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
29.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
29.2%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
28.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
29.1%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to J.K. DobbinsSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
29.6%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+5
29.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Khaleke Hudson) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+47
27.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 47 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:4724% → 27%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+24
23.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 24 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
25.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
25.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+21
25.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 21 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
25.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.8%
Giles Jackson run for no gain to the OhSt 5Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
26.6%
Quinn Nordin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3376% → 91%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
24.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 41 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
23.0%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 21 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
21.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
21.4%
Fields, Justin rush for loss of 3 yards to the MICHIGAN13, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Hill, Lavert) 5 yards to the MICHIGAN5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
21.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron McGrone) to the Mich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
20.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 4Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
20.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 6Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
8.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14Uncategorized
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:3114% → 13%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
14.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones, broken up by Damon ArnetteSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
13.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 10 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
14.0%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+17
13.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
14.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
14.3%
Shea Patterson sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
13.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
13.2%
Will Hart punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4992% → 99%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
8.4%
Justin Fields run for 9 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+15
7.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 15 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
6.9%
Master Teague III run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
6.8%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+11
6.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
6.3%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
5.7%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
4.9%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
4.7%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
1.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 30 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:162% → 1%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
1.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
1.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
1.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
1.3%
Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 26 Garrett Wilson fumbled, recovered by Mich Jake McCurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:432% → 5%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
1.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
1.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
1.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
4.5%
Quinn Nordin 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2397% → 97%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
2.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen Victor, broken up by Lavert HillSimilar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
2.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:244% → 15%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
3.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 33 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
4.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
4.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
4.1%
Shea Patterson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
4.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Hassan HaskinsSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
4.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 15 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.7%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the OhSt 1 (H. Haskins Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0492% → 92%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
8.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
7.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
6.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
7.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Hausmann) to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
7.3%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Demario McCallSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
7.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3511% → 11%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
11.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
11.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 9 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-1
10.5%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:4994% → 99%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
6.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+14
5.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Luke Farrell for 14 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
5.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Mich 16Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
1.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Austin Mack for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
2.1%
Shea Patterson sacked by Davon Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+14
2.0%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Charbonnet, Zach, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Landers, Robert) 14 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones, broken up by Jordan FullerSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
2.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
2.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
2.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell, broken up by Amir RiepSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 2:1599% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
1.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
1.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
1.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
0.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 33 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
50
0
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 10
50
0
0.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 10
50
+16
0.1%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Amir Riep return for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-1
0.2%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-5
0.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
0.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 22Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Brad Robbins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
0.1%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+3
0.1%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+4
0.1%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+3
0.1%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:23
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the OhSt 1 (H. Haskins Run For Two-point Conversion)
+10.7
TD · Q3 11:18
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q1 0:19
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 25 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com