Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Michigan 52

MICH
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Michigan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:48 · Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+16.3Score differential+10.4Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:52: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 48 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — RUTG win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:33: Shea Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:15: Jake Moody 33 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:05: Christian Turner run for 7 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:52RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 3 at MICH 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:20RUTG 4th & 26 at RUTG 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:48RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:15MICH 4th & 7 at RUTG 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:05RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:23RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:35RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 16, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:40MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:40RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:26RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 29, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:48MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 26, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:52MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:07MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:33MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:05MICH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:35MICH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:40MICH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:08MICH Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0897% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 14 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.8%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
96.8%
Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
96.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 48 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
96.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
96.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
96.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+5
96.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 5 yds to the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:2796% → 96%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
96.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
96.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-5
96.3%
Charbonnet, Z. rush for 3 yards to the RU33 (Singleton, Drew), PENALTY MICH illegal formation 5 yards to the RU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
96.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
96.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+10
96.3%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Charbonnet, Z., PENALTY RU holding (Young, Avery) 10 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN MICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
96.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
96.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-3
96.3%
Shea Patterson sacked by Tyreek Maddox-Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+21
96.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 21 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.3%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.4%
Shea Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4DOWNS
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:074% → 4%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
96.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 15 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Paul Woods for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
96.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+17
96.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 17 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
95.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Paul Woods for 7 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+6
95.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
95.9%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete, PENALTY MICH holding (Hill, Lavert) 10 yards to the MICH12, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
95.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
95.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
95.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 5 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 5
0
95.7%
Artur Sitkowski run for no gain to the Mich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
96.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
96.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 14Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+6
96.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Will Hart punt for 41 yds , Avery Young returns for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-10
95.7%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Blackshear, R., PENALTY RU holding (O'Neal, Raiqwon) 10 yards to the RU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 20
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 20
OWN 29
-5
95.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 25
OWN 24
-1
95.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 26
OWN 23
+11
95.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds , Ronnie Bell returns for 11 yds to the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1296% → 98%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
96.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 22 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
96.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Donovan Peoples-Jones) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+14
96.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 14 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
96.2%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
96.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 8 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
96.2%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
96.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.0%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 2:453% → 2%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
97.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
97.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.4%
Shameen Jones run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
97.3%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Young, Aaron, PENALTY RU illegal formation 5 yards to the RU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
97.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-9
97.6%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 3:4498% → 98%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.2%
Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.2%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Christian Turner for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.2%
Giles Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+9
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
98.6%
Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+10
98.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 10 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
98.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell, broken up by Avery YoungSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
98.4%
Jake Moody 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
97.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:5598% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
98.3%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
98.3%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
99.5%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 13 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+3
99.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 3 yds to the Mich 44 MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Mich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14INT
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell, broken up by Jarrett PaulSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+17
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 17 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 26 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
99.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Damon Hayes return for no gain to the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
99.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+3
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+17
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 17 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Sitkowski, A. pass incomplete to Blackshear, R., PENALTY MICH pass interference (McGrone, Cam) 2 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
99.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-1
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 17 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+22
99.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 22 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Paul Woods, broken up by Lavert HillSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+10
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 10 yds to the Mich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Joe Milton pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
Joe Milton pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
99.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
99.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Joe Milton run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Joe Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Josh Uche and Kwity Paye for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , Mike Sainristil returns for no gain to the Mich 28 Mike Sainristil fumbled, recovered by Mich Mike SainristilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Ben VanSumeren run for no gain to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+29
99.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 29 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, player disqualification (Avery Young) to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Nicholas Capatina run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+7
100.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Paul Woods for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-3
100.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Artur Sitkowski run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Mich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Ben VanSumeren run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Ben VanSumeren run for 2 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
100.0%
Nicholas Capatina run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Will Hart punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Hunter Hayek at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:33
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q3 14:05
Christian Turner run for 7 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 12:52
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 48 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com