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MSU

Michigan State 27 at Rutgers 0

RUTG
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:46 · Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, downed at the MchSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior−34.2Home team on offense−6.9Score differential−3.8Garbage-time factor−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 10:30: Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19 — RUTG win probability +1.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK) — MSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:26: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 28 — RUTG win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:44: Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48 — MSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:05: Matt Coghlin 36 yd FG GOOD — MSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 10MSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11MSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:17MSU 4th & 18 at MSU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:56MSU 4th & 10 at RUTG 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:56RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:49MSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:46RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 2 at MSU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:16RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:05MSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:32RUTG 4th & 2 at MSU 40, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:24RUTG 4th & 26 at MSU 36, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:17MSU 4th & 13 at MSU 12, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:40RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:03MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:32MSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:39MSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
6.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 14 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+14
6.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 14 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
6.2%
Jalen Nailor run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
6.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 7 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
6.2%
Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
7.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
7.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
7.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
7.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:3592% → 92%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
8.3%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 8 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+19
8.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 19 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
8.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
8.0%
Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
8.0%
Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-1
8.0%
Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
8.3%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 21 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Raequan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
8.6%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
8.5%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
8.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 31 yds, downed at the MchSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2292% → 91%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
8.4%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the MchSt 40Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+12
8.4%
Elijah Collins run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
8.3%
Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Nailor, Jalen, PENALTY RU pass interference (Barrow, Tim) 15 yards to the RU33, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
8.3%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
8.3%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+3
8.4%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
9.1%
Matt Coghlin 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:059% → 9%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.9%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for 6 yards to the RU31 (Simmons, A.;Willekes, Kenny), PENALTY RU holding (Maietti, M.) 10 yards to the RU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
8.9%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
8.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 7 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
9.0%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
9.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
9.7%
Brandon Wright run for 3 yds to the MchSt 26Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-11
9.6%
Brian Lewerke sacked by Julius Turner for a loss of 11 yards to the MchSt 15Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 18
OWN 15
0
9.9%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Elijah CollinsSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
10.0%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds , Aaron Young returns for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
9.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+2
9.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+32
9.7%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Xavier Henderson return for 32 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2790% → 89%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
10.0%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Jalen NailorSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
10.0%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-2
10.1%
Brian Lewerke sacked by Elorm Lumor for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
10.8%
Matt Coghlin 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
10.1%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
10.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
9.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+3
9.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 50 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 3 yds to the MchSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:3889% → 88%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
11.2%
Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
10.9%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 1 yd to the MchSt 38Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
11.0%
Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
10.8%
Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 49Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
10.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
10.7%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White, broken up by Tim BarrowSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
10.8%
Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-15
11.1%
Lewerke, Brian pass complete to Nelson, Laress for 2 yards to the RU35 (Avery, Tre), PENALTY MSU personal foul (Khaleefah, M.) 15 yards to the MSU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+19
11.6%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Julian Barnett for 19 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
11.6%
Elijah Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
12.1%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
12.1%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
11.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, downed at the MchSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:4188% → 95%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
12.4%
Lewerke, Brian pass complete to White, Cody for 9 yards to the MSU32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MSU holding (Dobbs, Devontae) 10 yards to the MSU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+23
12.5%
Elijah Collins run for 23 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
11.9%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 5 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-5
11.7%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (Cody White) to the MchSt 36Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
12.1%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 8 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
11.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 7 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
11.6%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 16 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
11.5%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 17 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
5.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
7.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
7.6%
Johnny Langan run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
8.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
8.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
8.5%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
8.4%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 6 yds to the MchSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
8.4%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-3
8.4%
Johnny Langan sacked by Tyriq Thompson and Kenny Willekes for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16INT
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
6.4%
Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
6.3%
Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
6.4%
Jalen Nailor run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+12
6.4%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 12 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
6.1%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
6.3%
Brian Lewerke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+15
6.4%
Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to White, Cody, PENALTY RU pass interference (Barrow, Tim) 15 yards to the RU11, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
6.1%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
6.1%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Julian BarnettSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
6.4%
Brian Lewerke pass intercepted, touchback. Deion Jennings return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
7.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
7.4%
Pacheco, Isaih rush for 5 yards to the RU35, out-of-bounds (Panasiuk, Jacub), PENALTY RU holding (O'Neal, Raiqwon) 10 yards to the RU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+3
7.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+5
7.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+6
7.2%
Johnny Langan run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+6
7.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 6 yds to the MchSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:2094% → 98%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
6.2%
Elijah Collins run for 9 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
5.8%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to C.J. Hayes for 24 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
5.7%
Elijah Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
5.8%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete, broken up by Olakunle FatukasiSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+16
5.9%
Brian Lewerke run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
5.5%
Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
5.6%
Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Tre Mosley, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+7
5.7%
Brian Lewerke run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+3
6.0%
Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
2.1%
Matt Coghlin 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
2.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 9 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+8
2.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 8 yds Isaiah Washington fumbled, forced by Josiah Scott, recovered by MchSt Josiah Scott , return for 5 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:4298% → 100%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
1.8%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (Tim Barrow) to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
1.8%
Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
1.8%
Elijah Collins run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
0.3%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
16 plays · 35 yds · 5:081% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
0.6%
Johnny Langan sacked by Noah Harvey and Kenny Willekes for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+16
0.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 16 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
0.7%
Johnny Langan run for 11 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
0.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
0.8%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the MchSt 40Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+10
0.7%
Johnny Langan run for 10 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
0.8%
Langan, Johnny pass incomplete to Washington, I. (Brown, Shakur), PENALTY MSU holding (Brown, Shakur) 10 yards to the MSU20, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
0.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Paul Woods for 4 yds to the MchSt 16Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
0.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Josiah ScottSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-10
0.7%
Langan, Johnny rush for 3 yards to the MSU13 (Henderson, X.), PENALTY RU holding (Seymour, Kamaal) 10 yards to the MSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 16
OPP 26
0
0.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Paul Woods, broken up by Shakur BrownSimilar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 16
OPP 26
-10
0.2%
Davidovicz, J. field goal attempt from 44 GOOD, clock 07:24, PENALTY RU holding (Seymour, Kamaal) 10 yards to the MSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 26
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, downed at the MchSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
0.2%
Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the MchSt 4Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+3
0.2%
Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 7Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+8
0.2%
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
0.2%
Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 13Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-1
0.2%
Elijah Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 12Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
0.2%
Brian Lewerke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
0.3%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Young at the MchSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
0.2%
Johnny Langan sacked by Cole Hahn for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, downed at the MchSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
0.2%
Brandon Wright run for 4 yds to the MchSt 9Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+10
0.2%
Brandon Wright run for 10 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
0.2%
Brandon Wright run for 4 yds to the MchSt 23Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
0.2%
Brandon Wright run for 4 yds to the MchSt 27Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-4
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)
-5.6
FG · Q3 0:05
Matt Coghlin 36 yd FG GOOD
-3.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:44
Elijah Collins run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com