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NEB

Nebraska 54 at Maryland 7

MD
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:15 · Josh Jackson sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense−49.4Score differential−36.5Pregame prior−5.9Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:50: Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +0.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:39: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +3.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 3:28: Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +2.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:10: Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +4.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:20NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50MD 4th & 8 at MD 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:28NEB 4th & 11 at MD 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24MD 4th & 10 at MD 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04MD 4th & 18 at MD 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:04NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39MD 4th & 5 at MD 46, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:09MD 4th & 1 at MD 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 6 at MD 12, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:52MD 4th & 14 at MD 39, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14NEB 4th & 7 at MD 11, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:09MD 4th & 19 at MD 22, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:31NEB 4th & 1 at MD 22, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:15MD 4th & 4 at MD 49, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:10NEB 4th & 1 at MD 1, up 44
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:38NEB 4th & 5 at MD 20, up 47
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:50NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:39NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:10NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:54NEB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:21NEB Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:10NEB Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:13MD Touchdown, down 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:4070% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+8
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 8 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+6
30.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 11 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack Stoll, broken up by Shaq SmithSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
31.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
31.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
31.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
31.3%
Javon Leake run for 14 yds to the Mary 13 Javon Leake fumbled, forced by Dicaprio Bootle, recovered by Neb Marquel Dismuke , return for 11 yds to the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3169% → 70%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
31.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
30.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.6%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
30.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 12 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
30.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler MabrySimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
30.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
30.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
30.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 45 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 23 JD Spielman fumbled, recovered by Neb JD Spielman , return for 10 yds to the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1169% → 73%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
30.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 12 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
30.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
30.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
30.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+15
30.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt 32 yards to the UMD28, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UMD personal foul (Hazel, I.) 15 yards to the UMD45, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for no gain to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+30
30.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 30 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
30.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
30.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.2%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0773% → 75%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
27.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+8
27.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 8 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
27.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
27.0%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
27.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick Mills, broken up by Shaq SmithSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
27.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
25.1%
Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
25.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 13 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
25.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
25.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Austin Fontaine) to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+5
25.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
25.0%
Josh Jackson sacked by Khalil Davis for 0 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
25.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds, downed at the Neb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2077% → 83%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
23.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
23.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 7 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
23.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
22.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 16 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
22.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
22.2%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Oluwaseun Oluwatimi and Keiron Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
17.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
19.3%
Lance LeGendre run for 1 yd to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
19.2%
Lance LeGendre pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-9
19.1%
Lance LeGendre sacked by JoJo Domann for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 18
OWN 21
+34
19.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds, downed at the MARYLAND 30 MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11INT
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
16.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the MARYLAND 42 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 7
OWN 48
+28
16.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to JD Spielman for 28 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
15.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 20 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.8%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted, touchback. Nick Cross return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
17.5%
Lance LeGendre run for 26 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
18.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
18.6%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+17
18.5%
Lance LeGendre run for 17 yds to the Neb 31 Lance LeGendre fumbled, forced by Lamar Jackson, recovered by Neb Mohamed BarrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
14.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
14.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 2 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
15.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 60 yds, downed at the Mary 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
15.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by Collin MillerSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+3
15.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 3 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+10
15.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darryl Jones for 10 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
16.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 10 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
16.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
15.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
15.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 11 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
16.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
16.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+5
16.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 46
-10
16.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Khalil Davis and Ben Stille for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:4888% → 89%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
12.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
12.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 16 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
12.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
11.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:407% → 4%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
7.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 6 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
6.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
6.5%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
4.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0392% → 96%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
7.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 24 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
7.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-1
7.5%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 12Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
7.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Chris Hickman for no gain to the Mary 12Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
4.3%
Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
6.5%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-5
6.3%
Josh Jackson sacked by Collin Miller for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
6.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere, broken up by Marquel DismukeSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
6.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0897% → 97%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
3.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+17
3.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 17 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
3.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 30 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
3.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 12 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
3.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Deonte BanksSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
3.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
3.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
3.2%
Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
2.0%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-4
1.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-5
1.9%
Tyler DeSue sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
1.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds, downed at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:1098% → 99%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
1.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
1.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+12
1.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 12 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
1.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
1.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
1.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
1.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
1.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.9%
Adrian Martinez rush for loss of 2 yards to the UMD21 (Brooks, Antoine), PENALTY UMD offside 5 yards to the UMD14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+13
0.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 13 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
0.6%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
0.6%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
0.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 4
OWN 49
-4
0.6%
Josh Jackson sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:4699% → 100%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
0.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
0.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
0.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 15 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Chris HickmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
0.5%
Harrison Martin 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Noah Barnes for 3 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+12
0.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
0.3%
Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line Javon Leake fumbled, forced by Joseph Johnson, recovered by Neb Braxton Clark , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+7
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jaron Woodyard for 7 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
0.3%
Wyatt Mazour run for 4 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 14 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-3
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jaron Woodyard for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Chris HickmanSimilar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+13
0.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 13 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
0.3%
Wyatt Mazour run for 1 yd to the Mary 3Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
0.1%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+14
0.1%
Josh Jackson run for 14 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.1%
Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr. MARYLAND Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+58
0.1%
Javon Leake run for 58 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.2%
Jaylin Bradley run for 4 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
Brody Belt run for 3 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-3
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:10
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q1 5:39
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)
-3.1
FG · Q1 3:28
Matt Waldoch 29 yd FG GOOD
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com