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Maryland 14 at Ohio State 73

OSU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:15 · Colton Spangler punt for 34 yds, downed at the OhSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+41.4Home team on offense+17.7Score differential+17.4Blowout margin+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Garbage-time factor+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:02: Justin Fields run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:56: Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:25: Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:52: J.K. Dobbins run for 20 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:15MD 4th & 9 at MD 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15MD 4th & 1 at MD 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:08MD 4th & 19 at MD 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:15MD 4th & 4 at OSU 48, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:20MD 4th & 9 at OSU 46, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:26MD 4th & 4 at MD 31, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19MD 4th & 24 at MD 2, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:01OSU 4th & 6 at MD 6, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:30MD 4th & 4 at MD 31, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:42OSU 4th & 24 at MD 47, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18MD 4th & 8 at MD 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:47OSU 4th & 3 at MD 20, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:32OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:02OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:56OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:25OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:58OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:52OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:28OSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:00MD Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:04OSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:39MD Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:11OSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:47OSU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.0%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-5
98.9%
Josh Jackson sacked by Davon Hamilton for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
98.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
98.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+15
98.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 15 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
98.8%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
98.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:0599% → 99%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
98.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
98.6%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
98.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Garrett Wilson) to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+23
98.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 23 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
98.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Binjimen Victor) to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+33
98.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 33 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+4
98.5%
Chris Olave run for 4 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.4%
K.J. Hill run for 1 yd to the Mary 4Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
98.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Damon Arnette) to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.6%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+13
98.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 13 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
98.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
98.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
98.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 27 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
98.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for no gain to the Mary 32 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Shaun Wade) to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
98.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-9
98.8%
Josh Jackson sacked by Tuf Borland for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 19
OWN 38
-3
98.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 35 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:3599% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
98.8%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+15
98.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 15 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 7 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+30
98.9%
Master Teague III run for 30 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Garrett WilsonSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
98.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+10
98.9%
Justin Fields run for 10 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
98.9%
Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.9%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
99.4%
Javon Leake run for 13 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 16 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Colton Spangler punt for 34 yds, downed at the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+18
99.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 18 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 1
50
+3
99.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Chris OlaveSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+15
99.5%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Victor, Binjimen, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Banks, Deonte) 15 yards to the MARYLAND14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.6%
Dobbins, J.K. rush for no gain to the MARYLAND14, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal use of hands (Howard, Keiron) 7 yards to the MARYLAND7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 16 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Tyreke Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+23
99.7%
Javon Leake run for 23 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-7
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Davon Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+7
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 7 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 9
OPP 46
-5
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 46 MARYLAND Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tyrrell Pigrome) to the OhSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 14 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
99.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Chance Campbell) to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 20 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds, downed at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.8%
Master Teague III run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+15
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jameson Williams for 15 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+35
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 35 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-6
99.8%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Keandre Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 20 Chris Chugunov fumbled, forced by Keandre Jones, recovered by Mary Ayinde Eley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted K'Vaughan Pope return for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
99.8%
Master Teague III run for 14 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.9%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 12
OWN 2
-12
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Tyreke Smith for a loss of 12 yards to the Mary 2 MARYLAND Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tyrrell Pigrome) to the Mary 2Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 24
OWN 2
-2
99.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 14 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jameson Williams for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jameson Williams for 13 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Master Teague III run for no gain to the Mary 6Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Chris Chugunov run for no gain to the Mary 6Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.9%
Blake Haubeil 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 7 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+9
99.9%
Josh Jackson sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 29 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Harrison) to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST face mask (Wint, Jahsen) 15 yards to the OHIOST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
99.9%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Cobbs, Brian, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Williams, Alex) 15 yards to the OHIOST26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 15 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Master Teague III for 10 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 7 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 5 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-13
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 2 yds to the Mary 31 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Jameson Williams) to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 23
OPP 46
-10
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 33
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 30
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Jameson Williams for 10 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 20
OPP 43
-4
99.9%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Brett Kulka for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 24
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Spencer Anderson) to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Hazel, Isaiah, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Johnson, Tyreke) 6 yards to the MARYLAND21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 2 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Demario McCall for 11 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Mitch Rossi for 8 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+12
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 12 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 25 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:060% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
100.0%
Pigrome, Tyrrell pass incomplete to Demus Jr., Dontay, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Johnson, Tyreke) 15 yards to the OHIOST12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 12 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 16 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Marcus Crowley run for 15 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+32
99.9%
Demario McCall run for 32 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) (Dominic DiMaccio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
100.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
100.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 41 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jerron CageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 14 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+1
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 1 yd to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+20
100.0%
Demario McCall run for 20 yds for a TD (Dominic DiMaccio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29Uncategorized
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 11 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
100.0%
Javon Leake run for 8 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:25
Justin Fields pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 1:56
Justin Fields pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 5:02
Justin Fields run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com