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MICH

Michigan 38 at Maryland 7

MD
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.1MD 0.3%Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 7 · Q4 9:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:04 · Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−52.3Pregame prior−9.4Score differential−35.5Garbage-time factor−19.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:42: Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +0.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:28: Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +4.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 19 — MD win probability +2.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:10: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:31: Hassan Haskins run for 14 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 9 of 11MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:16MD 4th & 20 at MD 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10MICH 4th & 1 at MD 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:21MD 4th & 1 at MICH 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:26MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21MD 4th & 19 at MICH 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:45MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:29MD 4th & 2 at MD 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:33MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12MD 4th & 26 at MD 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:35MD 4th & 10 at MD 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:25MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:54MD 4th & 1 at MD 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:08MD 4th & 9 at MD 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:54MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 38, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:37MD 4th & 12 at MD 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:04MICH 4th & 7 at MD 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:52MD 4th & 16 at MICH 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:23MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 11, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:24MD 4th & 1 at MICH 7, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:42MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:28MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:10MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:31MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:288% → 8%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
7.6%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
7.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
7.9%
Josh Jackson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+13
7.9%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 39 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 13 yds to the Mary 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:0492% → 92%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
8.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
8.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
8.1%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
8.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 14 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
8.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
8.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
8.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 4 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
8.6%
Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
8.6%
Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
8.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 2Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4INT
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:288% → 10%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
8.4%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-5
8.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
8.6%
Javon Leake run for 8 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+22
8.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 22 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
9.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 34Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+4
9.1%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
9.2%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
9.3%
Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
9.5%
Lance LeGendre run for 6 yds to the Mich 17Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
9.5%
Lance LeGendre run for no gain to the Mich 17Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+2
9.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
9.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
9.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
9.5%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Josh Metellus return for no gain to the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0091% → 91%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
9.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
8.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-1
9.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 12Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 7
OWN 12
+2
9.3%
Will Hart punt for 53 yds , Rayshad Lewis returns for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 6:3910% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
9.5%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
9.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
9.9%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
50
+4
10.1%
Dontay Demus Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
10.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
10.2%
Josh Jackson run for 4 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
10.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+24
10.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 24 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
10.0%
Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-3
10.0%
Lance LeGendre run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 11Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-9
9.8%
Josh Jackson sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+37
9.5%
Joseph Petrino 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3291% → 90%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
9.5%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+10
9.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 10 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
9.7%
Will Hart punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:099% → 10%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
9.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+2
9.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+9
9.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 2
OWN 34
-2
9.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 46 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:5190% → 96%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
9.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
9.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Mich 21Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+6
9.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 6 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+14
9.9%
Michael Barrett run for 14 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+51
8.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 51 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
8.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · -4 yds · 1:006% → 6%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
6.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
6.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
6.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
6.2%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND holding (Duncan, Jaelyn) 10 yards to the MARYLAND19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 20
OWN 19
-5
6.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Marcus Minor) to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+4
6.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 21
OWN 18
0
6.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 21
OWN 18
-5
6.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (James Rosenberry) to the Mary 13Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 26
OWN 13
+1
6.1%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 36 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 1 yd to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11MISSED FG
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:0596% → 96%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 29 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
4.3%
Jake Moody 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:216% → 6%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.1%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 14:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 1 yd to the Mich 26 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0195% → 96%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
4.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
5.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
5.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
4.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
4.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tru WilsonSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
4.5%
Will Hart punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:266% → 5%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
5.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 12 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
5.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
6.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
6.0%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
5.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:3997% → 99%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
3.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
3.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
3.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
3.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 7 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
3.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 5 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
2.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 14 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
2.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
2.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+9
2.4%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Banks, Deonte) 9 yards to the MARYLAND2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
2.2%
Haskins, Hassan rush for 1 yard to the MARYLAND1, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Onwenu, Michael) 10 yards to the MARYLAND12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
2.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the Mary 12Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
2.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
0.9%
Josh Jackson sacked by Carlo Kemp and Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.7%
Josh Jackson run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
0.7%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 36 yds, downed at the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.3%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+39
1.3%
Tru Wilson run for 39 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
1.1%
Tru Wilson run for 6 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
1.1%
Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+14
0.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 14 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0699% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
1.2%
Tru Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
0.7%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+11
0.5%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 11 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
0.5%
Will Hart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:111% → 0%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
0.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 15 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
0.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Javon LeakeSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Colton Spangler punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+10
0.4%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tarik Black for 10 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.4%
Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
0.3%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
0.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
0.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
0.3%
Dylan McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
0.3%
Quinn Nordin 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
0.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 17 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
0.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
0.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
0.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tayon Fleet-DavisSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
0.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-8
0.1%
Josh Jackson sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 16
OPP 42
+2
0.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 36 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 2 yds to the Mich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
0.2%
Christian Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 4Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+3
0.2%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+4
0.2%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the Mich 11Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
0.2%
Will Hart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Javon Leake at the Mary 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25Uncategorized
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
0.1%
Lance LeGendre run for 8 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
0.1%
Lance LeGendre run for 16 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
0.1%
Lance LeGendre run for 15 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Lance LeGendre pass incomplete to Isaiah HazelSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
0.1%
Lance LeGendre pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 7 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
0.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
0.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
0.1%
Lance LeGendre run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:28
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)
-4
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 19
+2.5
TD · Q3 5:10
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com