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MD

Maryland 10 at Minnesota 52

MINN
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:50 · Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 8 Demetrius Douglas fumbled, recovered by Minn
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense+12.2Pregame prior+24.6Score differential+8.8Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Garbage-time factor+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:38: Seth Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +3.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:29: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +4.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:41: Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted for a TD Coney Durr return for 72 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK) — MINN win probability +6.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:10: Joseph Petrino 31 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +1.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:19: Michael Lantz 32 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:07MD 4th & 13 at MD 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:43MD 4th & 3 at MINN 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:50MD 4th & 12 at MD 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:34MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:05MD 4th & 3 at MD 32, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:10MD 4th & 14 at MINN 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19MINN 4th & 10 at MD 14, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:18MD 4th & 7 at MD 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:48MINN 4th & 1 at MD 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:22MD 4th & 4 at MD 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:24MINN 4th & 1 at MD 1, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:56MD 4th & 10 at MD 12, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:01MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:29MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:41MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:37MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:24MINN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:48MD Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:07MINN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2115% → 15%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+30
85.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted Antoine Winfield Jr. return for 30 yds to the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:0285% → 85%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
85.3%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
85.2%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
85.1%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3715% → 15%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.2%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+11
85.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 11 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
84.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
84.8%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-7
84.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Braelen Oliver for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
85.0%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 7:0985% → 88%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
84.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
84.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
84.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
84.7%
Morgan, Tanner rush for 10 yards to the MINNESOTA36, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding (Andries, Blaise) 10 yards to the MINNESOTA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+10
84.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 10 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+11
84.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 11 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
84.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
85.0%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
84.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
84.7%
Tanner Morgan run for 11 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
84.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
84.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 6 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
84.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
87.5%
Seth Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3614% → 14%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
85.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 7 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
85.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
85.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
85.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 4:0087% → 94%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
87.1%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
87.0%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
88.6%
Seth Green run for 7 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
89.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
89.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+20
89.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 20 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
89.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
93.6%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7FUMBLE
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:158% → 7%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
92.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 10 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
92.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 10 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
92.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 10 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
92.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+1
92.9%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
92.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+2
93.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 12
OWN 46
-7
93.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 8 Demetrius Douglas fumbled, recovered by MinnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5395% → 95%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
95.1%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+11
94.7%
Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
94.9%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed IbrahimSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
94.6%
Jacob Herbers punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9INT TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:348% → 1%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
92.5%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
92.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 8 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
92.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
91.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keonte Schad) to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Minn 29Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
92.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+72
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted for a TD Coney Durr return for 72 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:271% → 2%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:4698% → 99%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
97.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+40
98.5%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Marcus Lewis return for 40 yds to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:502% → 4%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
98.0%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 10 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
97.9%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 8 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+33
97.6%
Javon Leake run for 33 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.2%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Minn 3Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Tyler MabrySimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-11
98.4%
Tyler DeSue sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
95.7%
Joseph Petrino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:2197% → 99%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.4%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+19
97.6%
Rodney Smith run for 19 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
97.6%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
98.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
98.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+8
98.2%
Seth Green run for 8 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.3%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
98.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
97.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod BatemanSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
99.2%
Michael Lantz 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
99.2%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 7:2999% → 100%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+19
99.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 19 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+8
99.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 8 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+6
99.6%
Seth Green run for 6 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-2
99.7%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+9
99.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
99.8%
Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:41100% → 100%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.8%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+4
99.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 15 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Mary 9Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Seth Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brock Walker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Tyler DeSue pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 59 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
99.9%
Treyson Potts run for 24 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.9%
Treyson Potts run for 16 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Preston Jelen run for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+39
100.0%
Jacob Clark pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 39 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Treyson Potts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 12Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tyler DeSue pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 41 yds, downed at the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
100.0%
Preston Jelen run for 13 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Preston Jelen run for 6 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:41
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted for a TD Coney Durr return for 72 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 12:29
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 2:38
Seth Green run for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Lantz KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com