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MD

Maryland 14 at Purdue 40

PUR
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:44 · Anthony Pecorella punt for 27 yds, downed at the Prdue 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−11.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:57: Javon Leake run for 21 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +8.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 40%).
  2. TD · Q2 11:05: Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 59 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +13.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:31: Tyrrell Pigrome run for 61 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +9.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:18: Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted for a TD Cory Trice return for 37 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +6.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:40: J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +9.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 10:44MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:09MD 4th & 7 at PUR 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 7, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40MD 4th & 3 at PUR 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:00PUR 4th & 2 at MD 10, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%−1.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00MD 4th & 13 at PUR 37, down 9
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, up 9
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23PUR 4th & 7 at MD 33, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:23MD 4th & 4 at MD 40, down 16
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:40PUR 4th & 4 at MD 9, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:05MD 4th & 10 at MD 34, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:39MD 4th & 12 at PUR 45, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:39MD 4th & 7 at PUR 21, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:26PUR 4th & 18 at PUR 39, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:35MD 4th & 9 at PUR 45, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:44PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    43.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:13PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:57MD Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:05PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:31MD Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:18PUR Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:05PUR Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5662% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
38.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 21 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
38.0%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
50
-11
38.2%
Pigrome, T. pass complete to Demus, Dontay for 50 yards to the PUR0, clock 14:04, PENALTY UMD holding (Leake, Javon) 11 yards to the UMD39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 17
OWN 39
-1
38.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 23 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled,Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 33
OWN 23
0
38.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 33
OWN 23
+5
38.4%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 31 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for 5 yds to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:4439% → 41%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
38.7%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+11
38.7%
Jackson Anthrop run for 11 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
38.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
38.8%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-11
38.8%
Jack Plummer sacked by Keandre Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+23
41.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
40.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
40.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 27 yds, downed at the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2342% → 48%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
42.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 16 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
42.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 8 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+6
42.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
42.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+18
42.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 18 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.3%
King Doerue run for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+31
46.2%
Javon Leake run for 31 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
45.7%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
46.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+3
46.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
46.1%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
50.0%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
49.9%
Tario Fuller run for 2 yds to the Prdue 4 PURDUE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+3
49.6%
Tario Fuller run for 3 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+62
49.3%
Zac Collins punt for 52 yds MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
51.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Sean Savoy for 11 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
50.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 18 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
50.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+1
50.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+13
50.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 13 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
50.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
49.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+4
50.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Sean Savoy for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+8
50.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 8 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 3
OPP 21
0
50.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr., broken up by Cam AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0656% → 55%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
56.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
56.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Deonte BanksSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
55.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Vincent FlytheSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 19
+20
55.2%
Zac Collins punt for 35 yds, downed at the PURDUE 46 PURDUE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:4047% → 55%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
52.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by Dedrick MackeySimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
53.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 18 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
44.7%
Javon Leake run for 21 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:5148% → 62%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
48.3%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
48.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+7
47.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
48.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
49.2%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
62.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 59 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3442% → 52%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
57.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 3 yds to the Mary 33 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 17
OWN 23
+15
58.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 15 yds Anthony McFarland Jr. fumbled,Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
57.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+61
48.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 61 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:3152% → 59%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.1%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
51.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+28
51.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 28 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
53.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
54.1%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Brycen Hopkins) to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+2
53.8%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
53.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Nick CrossSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+13
52.4%
Jack Plummer run for 13 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
54.1%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+12
53.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 12 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-1
53.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
59.0%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:0041% → 38%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.0%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
58.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+33
58.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for 33 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
55.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
55.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+3
57.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
-5
58.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OPP 37
+32
61.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 37 yds for a touchback MARYLAND Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5764% → 63%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
64.4%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
63.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.4%
Zac Collins punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2835% → 28%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+37
71.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted for a TD Cory Trice return for 37 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
73.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:3776% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
75.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
75.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+16
74.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 16 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
76.4%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+1
76.4%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+13
75.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 13 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.3%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
76.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+3
75.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+52
80.2%
J.D. Dellinger 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
77.3%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
76.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
77.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
78.0%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2682% → 92%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
82.0%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+12
82.2%
Jack Plummer run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive holding (Deon Jones) to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
82.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 8 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+8
82.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
83.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 22 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
83.2%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-1
83.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
82.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
92.0%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Sean Christie) to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+20
89.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 20 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
88.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 26 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
87.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted Cory Trice return for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:5893% → 99%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
93.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 18 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
93.6%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
93.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 4 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-15
93.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 6 yards to the UMD43 (Brooks, Antoine), PENALTY PUR pass interference (David Bell) 15 yards to the PUR36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+38
93.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 38 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
93.7%
Tario Fuller run for 2 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
96.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 4 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+11
96.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
96.1%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for 1 yd to the Mary 8Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
99.6%
Javon Leake run for 16 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 63 yds, downed at the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
99.4%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+10
99.4%
Jackson Anthrop run for 10 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.4%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
99.4%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+30
99.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.4%
Jackson Anthrop run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.5%
Tario Fuller run for 5 yds to the Mary 42 Tario Fuller fumbled, forced by Chance Campbell, recovered by Mary Keandre JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 9 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+6
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 6 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere, broken up by Cam AllenSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-6
99.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Jaelyn Duncan) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 12
OPP 45
+21
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 21 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 6 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-4
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 7
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
99.7%
King Doerue run for 26 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for 4 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-6
99.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-5
99.8%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 17
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Zac Collins punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jayden Comma for 22 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Semisi Fakasiieiki for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 15
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jayden CommaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:05
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 59 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+13.2
FG · Q3 5:40
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOOD
+9.4
TD · Q2 9:31
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 61 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com