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MD

Maryland 48 at Rutgers 7

RUTG
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:39 · Colton Spangler punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aaron Young at the Rutgr 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense−23.9Pregame prior−23.6Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:37: Johnny Langan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK) — RUTG win probability +7.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:26: Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 23 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +6.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:47: Javon Leake run for 42 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino PAT BLOCKED) — MD win probability +4.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:36: Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +7.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:46: Justin Davidovicz kickoff for 65 yds , Javon Leake return for 100 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 10 of 12MD made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 8:46RUTG 4th & 7 at MD 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:36MD 4th & 5 at MD 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:51RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49MD 4th & 21 at MD 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:50RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:03MD 4th & 7 at MD 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:16MD 4th & 10 at MD 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:00RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.8%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:30RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 36, down 20
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:39MD 4th & 7 at MD 39, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:43RUTG 4th & 1 at MD 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:22MD 4th & 7 at MD 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:40RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:31RUTG 4th & 8 at MD 43, down 34
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:30RUTG 4th & 12 at MD 24, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:30MD 4th & 10 at MD 25, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:39MD 4th & 10 at MD 38, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:33RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 36, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:09MD 4th & 12 at RUTG 12, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:35MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:26MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:47MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:36MD Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:46MD Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:40MD Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:11MD Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:1415% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
14.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+22
14.8%
Johnny Langan run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
14.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
14.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
14.8%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
14.8%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
14.8%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
14.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
14.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 13 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
14.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
14.8%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
14.8%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
18.0%
Justin Davidovicz 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Keiron Howard N/A return for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
16.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 80 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
16.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
16.5%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
16.4%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 6
OWN 21
-5
16.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
16.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
16.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
16.4%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
16.6%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
16.9%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
16.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-2
16.8%
Johnny Langan sacked by Bryce Brand for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
16.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
16.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
17.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-10
17.2%
Josh Jackson sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 21
OWN 34
0
17.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Aaron Young at the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
18.1%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
18.1%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+11
17.8%
Johnny Langan run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 2
OWN 31
-5
17.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
17.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
17.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
18.0%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
18.4%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 51 yds, downed at the Rutgr 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0919% → 18%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
18.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Shameen Jones for 8 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+24
18.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 24 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
19.4%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (Daevon Robinson) to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 19
OWN 35
-5
18.7%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 30
+2
18.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 32
+9
18.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
18.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
19.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
19.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 3 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-3
19.6%
Josh Jackson sacked by Willington Previlon for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
20.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:3721% → 29%
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+49
21.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 49 yds to the RUTGERS 3 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
21.2%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.9%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:0675% → 81%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
25.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+50
25.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 50 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
18.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 23 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:1821% → 20%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
20.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+3
20.3%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
20.2%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+11
19.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
19.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
1 play · 42 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
15.2%
Javon Leake run for 42 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
16.3%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Daevon Robinson, broken up by Jordan MosleySimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
16.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+39
15.8%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Ayinde Eley return for 39 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
10.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
10.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
10.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
10.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
8.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
8.4%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
8.7%
Josh Jackson run for 7 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
8.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
8.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
8.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 3 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
8.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Tyler Mabry) to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
8.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aaron Young at the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:5910% → 10%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
9.6%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
9.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+15
9.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Mohamed Jabbie for 15 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
10.6%
Johnny Langan sacked by Lawtez Rogers for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+13
9.4%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 13 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
10.0%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
9.8%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
6.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Javon Leake for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
6.9%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
7.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+29
7.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aaron Young at the RUTGERS 15 MARYLAND Penalty, kick catching interference (Deonte Banks) to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
8.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
3.9%
Johnny Langan run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
3.9%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
3.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 14:40
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
3.7%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Daevon Robinson, broken up by Jordan MosleySimilar
Q3 14:40
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
3.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
2.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 80 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
2.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-5
2.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+8
2.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Daevon Robinson for 8 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
2.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
2.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:3198% → 99%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
1.8%
Javon Leake run for 3 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+12
1.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Sean Savoy for 12 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.7%
Javon Leake run for 8 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
1.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Antoine Brooks Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
1.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 5 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
1.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
1.6%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
1.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+14
1.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 14 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
1.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 16 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
0.8%
Javon Leake run for 12 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:411% → 1%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-4
0.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
0.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Paul Woods for 11 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
0.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 37 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
0.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
0.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Isaiah WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-6
0.8%
Johnny Langan sacked by Keandre Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
0.5%
Justin Davidovicz 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
0.7%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Savoy, Sean, PENALTY UMD illegal formation 6 yards to the UMD25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
0.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by Tyreek Maddox-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
0.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 5 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
0.4%
Johnny Langan run for 7 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.4%
Johnny Langan run for no gain to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
0.4%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-5
0.4%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Isaiah Davis return for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Colton Spangler punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
0.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
0.2%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 49 yds , Rayshad Lewis returns for no gain to the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 32MISSED FG
18 plays · 73 yds · 9:24100% → 100%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 7 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+6
0.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (6 Yards) to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
0.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+9
0.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+6
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 6 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 4
50
+13
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 13 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+6
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 17 MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Rayshad Lewis) to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 10 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+6
0.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 12 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by Mary Tyrrell PigromeSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
0.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
0.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
0.1%
Joseph Petrino 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Tyreek Maddox-Williams return for 24 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:37
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Davidovicz KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 5:36
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 8:26
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 23 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com