Try the model
MD

Maryland 17 at Temple 20

TEM
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:43 · Adam Barry punt for 45 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior−8.8Home team on offense+5.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.7Score differential+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:22: Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kareem Montgomery KICK) — MD win probability +10.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:03: Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 79 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +17.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:14: Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 17 yds for a TD, (Paul Inzerillo PAT BLOCKED) TEMPLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Mary 35 — MD win probability +16.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:27: Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +31.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:27: Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 2 — TEM win probability +18.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 10 of 16
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 4 at TEM 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28MD 4th & 1 at TEM 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:12MD 4th & 5 at TEM 25, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:12TEM 4th & 5 at MD 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:33MD 4th & 3 at MD 46, down 5
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:21TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00MD 4th & 3 at TEM 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:20TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:57MD 4th & 10 at MD 44, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 11:05TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 29, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 10:26MD 4th & 16 at MD 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:25TEM 4th & 4 at MD 17, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 5:25MD 4th & 3 at MD 27, down 5
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:43TEM 4th & 4 at MD 45, up 5
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q2 1:35MD 4th & 8 at TEM 42, down 5
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 9 at MD 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:22MD 4th & 1 at TEM 4, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−4.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−15.8
    average punt
  19. Q3 8:03MD 4th & 7 at MD 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00MD 4th & 5 at MD 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:27MD 4th & 10 at MD 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:33TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 26, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:53MD 4th & 1 at TEM 1, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−11.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−26.9
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:20TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 3, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−8.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:20MD 4th & 12 at TEM 12, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−13.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:33TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:22MD Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:03TEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:14MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:27TEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
34.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 15 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
34.0%
Josh Jackson sacked by Ifeanyi Maijeh for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
50
0
34.0%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
50
+11
34.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 11 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+7
34.0%
Josh Jackson pass intercepted Harrison Hand return for 7 yds to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:1735% → 37%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
35.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
35.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 10 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
35.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 15 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
35.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (Oluwaseun Oluwatimi) to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+29
37.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 29 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry, broken up by Harrison HandSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr., broken up by Shaun BradleySimilar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
36.6%
Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds , Freddie Johnson returns for no gain to the Temp 19 Freddie Johnson fumbled, recovered by Mary Antoine Brooks Jr. , return for 5 yds to the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
36.6%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 15 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
36.6%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
37.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5SF
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2639% → 37%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
38.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
38.6%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+4
38.4%
Anthony Russo run for 4 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
37.4%
TEAM run for no gain for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by Temp for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0562% → 61%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.7%
Josh Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+30
37.9%
Javon Leake run for 30 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
37.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
37.1%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-1
37.4%
Josh Jackson sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
39.1%
Joseph Petrino 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
39.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+27
39.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 27 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
40.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+4
40.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+2
40.0%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
39.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
40.1%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
39.5%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
39.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Javon LeakeSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
40.5%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
40.1%
Adam Barry punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:1658% → 59%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
41.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 13 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
41.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 14 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
40.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 12 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
39.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 11 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
39.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 7 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
39.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
40.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl Jones, broken up by Daniel ArchibongSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 16
-10
41.1%
Mike Shinsky run for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
42.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-5
43.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Adam Klein) to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
42.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
42.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
41.5%
Adam Barry punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
42.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
42.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
43.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
44.5%
Colton Spangler punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
44.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 9 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
44.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
43.3%
Adam Barry punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
44.5%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-8
44.6%
Josh Jackson sacked by Ifeanyi Maijeh for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
46.3%
Colton Spangler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:2048% → 52%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
48.3%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+10
49.8%
Jager Gardner run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
50.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+5
50.3%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
50.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 17 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
50.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
50.3%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
52.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
52.2%
Will Mobley 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
47.7%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
47.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
47.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
49.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3053% → 55%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
52.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+18
52.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Travon Williams for 18 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
54.7%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 9
50
+5
54.7%
RUSSO,Anthony pass intercepted by Eley, Ayinde at the UMD44, Eley, Ayinde return to the UMD44, PENALTY UMD IP 5 yards to the UMD45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
55.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-2
54.1%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
54.5%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:0046% → 47%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
54.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 8 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
52.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
54.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Darryl Jones for 2 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.6%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl Jones MARYLAND Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
54.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
55.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 11 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
52.1%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Demus, Dontay, PENALTY TEM pass interference (HAND,Harrison) 15 yards to the TEM44, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
49.9%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Okonkwo, C., PENALTY UMD pass interference (Carriere, C.) 15 yards to the UMD41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
53.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo, broken up by Quincy RocheSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+17
53.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 17 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
50.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
53.3%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
54.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
55.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-6
54.8%
Anthony Russo sacked by Brett Kulka for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+44
53.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 29 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
57.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Re'Mahn DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
57.6%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
56.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
54.2%
Adam Barry punt for 33 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:3446% → 60%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
54.0%
Josh Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+19
54.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to DJ Turner for 19 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
53.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
51.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+33
51.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 33 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
48.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.8%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+15
50.3%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Savoy, Sean, PENALTY TEM pass interference (FRANKLIN,Sam) 15 yards to the TEM13, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
48.4%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 13Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
48.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+7
49.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 7 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
39.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kareem Montgomery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
58.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 79 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
55.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.4%
Josh Jackson run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
59.1%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0060% → 64%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Temp 20Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
59.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 12 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
60.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 17 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Marcus LewisSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
62.3%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to BARBON,Jose (Ellis, Tino), PENALTY UMD pass interference (Ellis, Tino) 15 yards to the UMD36, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.6%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Chance Campbell return for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:3742% → 65%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
57.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
58.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+17
59.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 17 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
55.0%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 22 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
52.1%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+15
52.2%
Javon Leake run for 15 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
35.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 17 yds for a TD, (Paul Inzerillo PAT BLOCKED) TEMPLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27FUMBLE
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:0043% → 45%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
43.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+19
43.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 19 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
45.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
45.3%
Jager Gardner run for 15 yds to the Mary 26 Jager Gardner fumbled, forced by Jordan Mosley, recovered by Mary Marcus LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:0561% → 60%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
38.9%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
37.5%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
39.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
37.7%
Josh Jackson sacked by Zack Mesday for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+2
39.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 32 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+9
41.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
39.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29TD
18 plays · 76 yds · 5:4345% → 84%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
44.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
45.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 5 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
45.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+11
48.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 11 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Re'Mahn DavisSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
49.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 7 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+8
49.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
50.6%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
52.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Branden Mack) to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+12
47.4%
Jager Gardner run for 12 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
50.0%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
52.4%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Ellis, Tino) 15 yards to the UMD12, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
52.4%
GARDNER,Jager rush for 10 yards to the UMD2, out-of-bounds (Jones, Deon), PENALTY TEM holding (HENNESSY,Matt) 10 yards to the UMD22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 20
OPP 22
0
51.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Antoine Brooks Jr.Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+6
51.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 6 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+8
46.4%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY UMD holding (Ellis, Tino) 8 yards to the UMD8, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
52.4%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Mary 7Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 28%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler MabrySimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.5%
Josh Jackson run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
70.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
81.1%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
80.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
80.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+55
78.7%
Adam Barry punt for 33 yds , DJ Turner returns for 55 yds to the Temp 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 33%
Q4 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
63.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 5Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
63.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
67.3%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 33PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0786% → 86%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
85.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 2Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+1
86.9%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 3Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
86.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack TEMPLE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
85.9%
Adam Barry punt for 7 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 34DOWNS
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:4923% → 10%
Q4 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
77.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
77.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
79.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Marcus Minor) to the Temp 12Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
81.3%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
90.1%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 35SF
6 plays · -12 yds · 2:1492% → 94%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
92.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 13
OWN 9
-5
92.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 18
OWN 4
-3
94.6%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 21
OWN 1
-1
93.5%
Anthony Russo run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:27
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)
+31.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:27
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 2
+18.4
TD · Q3 8:03
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 79 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com