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HOW

Howard 0 at Maryland 79

MD
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:06 · Isaiah Moore punt for 72 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+45.4Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:06: Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — HOW win probability +0.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:53: Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:16: Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:28: Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 13:44: Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Nelson for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — HOW win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 5 at HOW 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 12, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:06HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:51MD 4th & 3 at MD 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:35HOW 4th & 2 at HOW 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:53HOW 4th & 1 at HOW 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:16HOW 4th & 4 at HOW 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00HOW 4th & 16 at HOW 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:38HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:11MD 4th & 12 at HOW 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:50HOW 4th & 23 at HOW 7, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:43HOW 4th & 16 at HOW 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 6:09HOW 4th & 11 at HOW 18, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:25HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 24, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:10HOW 4th & 22 at HOW 1, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:04MD 4th & 8 at HOW 43, up 69
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:21HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 13, down 69
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:25MD 4th & 3 at HOW 28, up 69
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:01HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 43, down 72
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:55HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 31, down 79
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:01MD 4th & 4 at HOW 4, up 79
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:06MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:53MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:16MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:28MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:44MD Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:15MD Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:30MD Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:10MD Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:03MD Touchdown, up 78 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
96.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
96.8%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+14
96.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 14 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
96.8%
HOWARD Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Howrd 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
96.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
96.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 38 yds, downed at the Howrd 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
96.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+2
96.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 9Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+3
96.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Howrd 12Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
96.5%
Isaiah Moore punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
96.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
96.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Howrd 28Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to A'Jae BoydSimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.4%
Isaiah Moore punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
96.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
96.2%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+8
96.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Darryl Jones for 8 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Colton Spangler punt for 54 yds, downed at the Howrd 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to A'Jae Boyd, broken up by Lawtez RogersSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
96.0%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+8
96.1%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Malik Hyatt for 8 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-14
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Howrd 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5196% → 97%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.0%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Howrd 9Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-5
96.0%
Jackson, Josh pass complete to Demus, Dontay for 9 yards to the HOW0, clock 07:08, PENALTY UMD illegal shift 5 yards to the HOW14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
96.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Darryl Jones, broken up by Jalen SmithSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+12
95.9%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Demus, Dontay, PENALTY HOW pass interference (SMITH,Jalen) 12 yards to the HOW2, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.3%
Caylin Newton run for 7 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Howrd 32Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.3%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 34Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+12
96.3%
Isaiah Moore punt for 41 yds , DJ Turner returns for 12 yds to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:5696% → 97%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Javon Leake for 6 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+39
96.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 39 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.4%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Howrd 16Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+12
96.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 12 yds to the Howrd 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.4%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
97.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
97.0%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 31Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Isaiah Moore punt for 24 yds, downed at the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:2297% → 98%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+49
97.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Darryl Jones for 49 yds to the Howrd 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.3%
PARSON,Dedrick rush for 1 yard to the HOW26 (Smith, Shaq), PENALTY HOW holding 10 yards to the HOW15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-5
98.4%
Caylin Newton sacked by Brandon Gaddy for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 10Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
98.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to A'Jae BoydSimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+9
98.4%
Caylin Newton pass complete to A'Jae Boyd for 9 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
98.5%
Isaiah Moore punt for 3 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:0999% → 98%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
98.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to DJ Turner for 12 yds to the Howrd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
98.6%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Javon Leake for 9 yds to the Howrd 1Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
98.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Terrance Davis) to the Howrd 6Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Nelson for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Michael CornwellSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
98.8%
Caylin Newton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete, broken up by Ayinde EleySimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Isaiah Moore punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
98.3%
Javon Leake run for 9 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+12
98.3%
Javon Leake run for 12 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Tyler MabrySimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.4%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 41Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-1
98.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 42Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
99.1%
Caylin Newton sacked by B'Ahmad Miller and Keandre Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Howrd 12Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
99.1%
Caylin Newton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-5
99.1%
Caylin Newton sacked by Keandre Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 7Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 23
OWN 7
+40
99.4%
Isaiah Moore punt for 33 yds , DJ Turner returns for 40 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+15
99.4%
NEWTON,Caylin pass incomplete to ANTHONY,Kyle, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Bennett, Kenny) 15 yards to the HOW34, 1ST DOWN HOW, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.3%
Caylin Newton sacked by Shaq Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Caylin Newton pass incomplete to Michael CornwellSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-5
99.4%
Caylin Newton sacked by Oladimeji Olayinka for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 28Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 16
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Isaiah Moore punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:3699% → 100%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+62
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 62 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.6%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 18Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Howrd 18Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Ramar Williams pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+47
99.6%
Isaiah Moore punt for 47 yds , Rayshad Lewis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+12
99.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Jake Funk for 12 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean NelsonSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+19
99.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.5%
Jackson, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY HOW substitution infraction 5 yards to the HOW22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 5
OPP 22
-10
99.5%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the Howrd 17 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Howrd 32Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+8
99.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
99.7%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 24 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
99.7%
Damion Gillespie run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 17Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
Ramar Williams pass complete to Michael Cornwell for 6 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-5
99.7%
WILLIAMS,Ramar rush for 11 yards to the HOW34 (Olayinka, O.), PENALTY HOW illegal formation 5 yards to the HOW18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+6
99.7%
Caylin Newton pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 6 yds to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Isaiah Moore punt for 44 yds , Rayshad Lewis returns for no gain to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Jake FunkSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.7%
Khalid Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Ramar Williams pass incomplete to A'Jae BoydSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+26
99.7%
Ramar Williams pass complete to Khalid Dorsey for 26 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
99.7%
Ramar Williams sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Howrd 42 Ramar Williams fumbled, recovered by Mary Tyler Baylor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the Howrd 40Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+14
99.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 14 yds to the Howrd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Howrd 22Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
99.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 22 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Khalid Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 15Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-1
99.8%
Khalid Dorsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 14Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 14
-13
99.8%
Ramar Williams sacked by Tahj Capehart for a loss of 13 yards to the Howrd 1Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 22
OWN 1
0
99.9%
TEAM punt for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dominic Logan-Nealy at the Howrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Khalid Dorsey run for 3 yds to the Howrd 11Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-5
99.9%
Ramar Williams sacked by Sam Okuayinonu for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 6Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+7
99.9%
Ramar Williams run for 7 yds to the Howrd 13Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Isaiah Moore punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rayshad Lewis at the Howrd 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 14 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Howrd 31Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+3
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+4
99.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Howrd 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 24 yds for a TD, (Paul Inzerillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Khalid Dorsey run for 16 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Khalid Dorsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 40Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to A'Jae Boyd for 3 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Isaiah Moore punt for 46 yds, downed at the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 2 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+30
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 30 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
99.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 14 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 8 yds to the Howrd 35Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 9 yds to the Howrd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Tyler DeSue pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+20
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 20 yds to the Howrd 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Howrd 6Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 1 yd to the Howrd 5Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Tyler DeSue run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Inzerillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 24Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+9
100.0%
Josiah Crute run for 9 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Josiah Crute run for 3 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Josiah Crute for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 31Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Isaiah Moore punt for 51 yds , Sean Savoy returns for no gain to the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 32DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
100.0%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+17
100.0%
Lance LeGendre run for 17 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+13
100.0%
Lance LeGendre run for 13 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
100.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+49
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 49 yds to the Howrd 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
100.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 9Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Jake Funk run for no gain to the Howrd 9Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Howrd 4Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
100.0%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 33END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
100.0%
Jordan Aley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 7Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
100.0%
Quinton Williams run for no gain to the Howrd 7Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+14
100.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Justin Olibrice for 14 yds to the Howrd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Jordan Aley run for 4 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jordan Aley run for 1 yd to the Howrd 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:28
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 6:53
Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 3:16
Josh Jackson pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 4 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com