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IOWA

Iowa 27 at Nebraska 24

NEB
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 50 yds, downed at the Neb 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense−3.2Pregame prior−2.0Score differential−3.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:54: Nate Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Cam Taylor-Britt return for 38 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +8.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:41: Barret Pickering kickoff for 60 yds , Ihmir Smith-Marsette return for 95 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +7.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:24: Luke McCaffrey pass complete to JD Spielman for 39 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +14.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:32: Wyatt Mazour run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK) — NEB win probability +18.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:01: Keith Duncan 48 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +33.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 12IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:33NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:04NEB 4th & 10 at IOWA 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:21IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 10, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:03NEB 4th & 11 at IOWA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:08NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37IOWA 4th & 22 at NEB 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:37NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:41NEB 4th & 10 at IOWA 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:18IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:01IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:22IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−4.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:26NEB 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−8.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 41, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:26NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 17, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−1.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:36IOWA 4th & 9 at NEB 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−3.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:52NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 11, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−4.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:39IOWA 4th & 6 at NEB 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−2.2
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−6.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:32NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−13.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:32NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−7.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:04IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:08IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:54NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:24NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:32NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
42.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
42.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
42.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
42.0%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
42.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
42.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
42.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 1 yd to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+1
42.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
42.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:3557% → 59%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
42.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 11 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
41.2%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 45 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Kristian WelchSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
41.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
41.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 11 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Brady Reiff) to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
42.2%
JD Spielman pass incomplete to Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
42.2%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
42.0%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
41.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 35 yds, downed at the Iowa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
41.7%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
41.7%
Toren Young run for no gain to the Iowa 3Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+7
41.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
41.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 27 yds, downed at the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5942% → 43%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
42.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
41.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+20
41.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 20 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
42.5%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
42.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+2
41.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
42.9%
Matt Waldoch 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:5057% → 62%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
42.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+55
38.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 55 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
38.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
38.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 7 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
38.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 5:2961% → 68%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
38.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
38.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 9 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
38.5%
Nate Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
38.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
38.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 21 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
38.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
37.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
36.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
36.9%
Nate Stanley run for 4 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-9
37.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 19
OPP 28
-3
37.2%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 22
OPP 31
0
37.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 22
OPP 31
+49
32.2%
Keith Duncan 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
32.5%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
32.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
32.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:4770% → 61%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
30.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+38
38.6%
Nate Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Cam Taylor-Britt return for 38 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
31.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
31.7%
Wyatt Mazour run for 9 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
32.5%
Wyatt Mazour run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
32.8%
Wyatt Mazour run for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+7
31.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 11
50
+1
31.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
31.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4871% → 69%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
28.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+9
28.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
28.2%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
28.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
30.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
30.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 43 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:1129% → 30%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
29.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
30.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 10 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
31.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for no gain to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
30.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+7
29.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+16
30.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 16 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
29.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for no gain to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+20
29.6%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Jack Koerner return for 20 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
25.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
24.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
24.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
24.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
24.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 14 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
26.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
26.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt MazourSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
26.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+5
25.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt 40 yards to the IOWA15, fair catch by Cooper,Max, PENALTY IOWA roughing the kicker (Wade,B.) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
50
-4
26.7%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
25.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 14
OWN 46
-9
25.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 23
OWN 37
0
24.2%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
20.6%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
20.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
21.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler Goodson, broken up by Collin MillerSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
21.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:3623% → 38%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
22.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
23.0%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+9
22.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
23.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
23.3%
IOWA Penalty, offside defense (A.J. Epenesa) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
38.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to JD Spielman for 39 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0068% → 65%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
32.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-9
32.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 29 IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ihmir Smith-Marsette) to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 16
OWN 15
-1
33.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
34.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:5436% → 58%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
35.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
34.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
35.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 8 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
37.5%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
36.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
37.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
39.3%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+5
35.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+2
37.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+11
35.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 11 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
39.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
39.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
58.1%
Wyatt Mazour run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:2852% → 51%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
48.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr., broken up by Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
49.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+8
50.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 8 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
48.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 50 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
53.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
53.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+1
51.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
50.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 28 yds, downed at the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 50%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
44.8%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
44.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+2
45.5%
Nate Stanley run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
47.9%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
49.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
53.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 5
-1
53.5%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 4Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+7
51.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 7 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
50.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:3155% → 51%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
45.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
44.3%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+6
44.8%
Nate Stanley run for 6 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
44.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
44.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-5
45.5%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Landan Paulsen) to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+4
46.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
49.2%
Nate Stanley punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0059% → 55%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
58.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Austin Allen) to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
58.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
58.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-3
56.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
55.1%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:0050% → 57%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
50.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 30 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Neb 30 Mekhi Sargent fumbled, forced by Collin Miller, recovered by Neb Cam Taylor-BrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
60.4%
Wyatt Mazour run for 8 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
64.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
64.0%
Wyatt Mazour run for 1 yd to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-11
63.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Neb 49 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+1
58.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+4
56.6%
Wyatt Mazour run for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
56.6%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:3149% → 95%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini, broken up by JoJo DomannSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
51.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+22
53.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 22 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
44.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 22 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
38.9%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+48
4.8%
Keith Duncan 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:01
Keith Duncan 48 yd FG GOOD
-33.6
TD · Q3 0:32
Wyatt Mazour run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)
+18.9
TD · Q3 8:24
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to JD Spielman for 39 yds for a TD (Matt Waldoch KICK)
+14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com