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IOWA

Iowa 20 at Northwestern 0

NU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−25.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:23: Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:16: Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30 — IOWA win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:50: Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36 — NU win probability +2.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:48: Nate Stanley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 38 — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:58: Keith Duncan 28 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59IOWA 4th & 17 at NU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:59NU 4th & 2 at IOWA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:38NU 4th & 11 at NU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:34IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:01NU 4th & 7 at NU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:25IOWA 4th & 4 at NU 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:20NU 4th & 11 at IOWA 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:43IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:25NU 4th & 5 at NU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:45IOWA 4th & 1 at NU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:24IOWA 4th & 8 at NU 30, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:23NU 4th & 9 at IOWA 28, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:16IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 6 at NU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:58IOWA 4th & 1 at NU 10, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−1.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−4.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:53NU 4th & 3 at IOWA 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:54NU 4th & 17 at NU 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:21IOWA 4th & 3 at NU 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:38IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:23IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
24.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
24.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi SargentSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
24.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
25.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
25.4%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
25.3%
Aidan Smith pass intercepted Chauncey Golston return for 3 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:0475% → 74%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
25.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
25.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-11
25.3%
Nate Stanley sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
26.4%
Keith Duncan 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
26.4%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
26.4%
Kyric McGowan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+14
26.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 14 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
26.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to JJ JeffersonSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
26.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 43Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+9
26.4%
Aidan Smith run for 9 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-2
26.5%
John Moten IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:5473% → 74%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
50
0
27.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
50
0
27.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini, broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 10
50
+50
25.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 50 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
25.9%
Aidan Smith pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 9 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
26.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
26.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-2
26.0%
Aidan Smith sacked by Joe Evans and A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
25.7%
Andrew David punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
26.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+1
26.0%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
26.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
26.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
26.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
27.0%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 37Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
26.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
26.3%
Andrew David punt for 42 yds, downed at the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 6:2773% → 74%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
26.6%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
26.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini, broken up by Greg Newsome IISimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
27.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
26.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
26.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
26.4%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Tracy,Tyrone (Newsome II, G.), PENALTY NU pass interference (Newsome II, G.) 6 yards to the IOWA46, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
26.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
26.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+13
26.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 13 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
26.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
26.2%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
26.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
26.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 6 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
26.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi Sargent, broken up by Joe GazianoSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
26.5%
Keith Duncan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
25.5%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
25.5%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
25.3%
Aidan Smith run for 6 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
25.8%
Smith, Aidan pass incomplete to Lees, Riley, PENALTY IOWA personal foul (Epenesa,A.J.) 15 yards to the NU47, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
26.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 4 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
26.7%
Kyric McGowan run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
26.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 6 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
26.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
26.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-7
26.8%
Aidan Smith sacked by Cedrick Lattimore for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
25.7%
Daniel Kubiuk punt for 40 yds, downed at the Iowa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
25.9%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+41
26.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 41 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
24.2%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
24.2%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
24.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 2 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
24.9%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
24.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
25.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-3
25.0%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 16Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+5
24.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 5 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
24.1%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Geno Stone at the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5276% → 77%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
23.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
23.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
24.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
22.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
23.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
23.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
22.7%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
23.6%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 17 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
25.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
25.0%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+2
24.7%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
23.5%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 6:0178% → 91%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
21.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
21.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+12
21.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
21.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
21.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
21.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-1
21.2%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-1
22.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+11
23.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 11 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
21.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
21.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
21.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 1Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
12.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+16
13.6%
Drake Anderson run for 16 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
13.7%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
13.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Drake Anderson for 8 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
14.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
14.0%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Charlie Mangieri, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+3
13.5%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 9
OPP 28
0
13.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley HolmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
7.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
7.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette, broken up by Blake GallagherSimilar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+1
8.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+7
8.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Riley Lees returns for 7 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5011% → 10%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
10.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
11.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
10.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley HolmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
9.9%
Andrew David punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:5093% → 98%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
7.2%
Nate Stanley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
6.8%
Toren Young run for no gain to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
7.0%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
6.8%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+38
6.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 38 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
6.4%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
6.4%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Nwest 10Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
6.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr., broken up by Cameron RuizSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+28
2.0%
Keith Duncan 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
2.4%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 15Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
2.3%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 7 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
2.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 2 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+20
2.4%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 20 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
2.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley Holman, broken up by Geno StoneSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
2.6%
Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
2.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Berkeley Holman, broken up by Riley MossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
1.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 48 IOWA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 17
OWN 37
0
1.7%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+8
1.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 8 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-15
1.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette, broken up by Greg Newsome II IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 24
OWN 30
+5
1.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 46 yds , Riley Lees returns for 5 yds to the Nwest 35 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal block (Joe Bergin) to the Nwest 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
1.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Malik Washington, broken up by Daviyon NixonSimilar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+12
1.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
1.3%
Aidan Smith sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+12
1.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 12 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
1.3%
Aidan Smith sacked by Daviyon Nixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
1.3%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Drake AndersonSimilar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-6
1.2%
Aidan Smith sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Andrew David punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
0.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-1
0.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-1
0.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 37Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-12
0.8%
Team run for a loss of 12 yards to the Nwest 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:23
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
-11.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:16
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30
-5.3
FG · Q4 9:58
Keith Duncan 28 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com