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PUR

Purdue 20 at Iowa 26

IOWA
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:26 · Brooks Cormier punt for 37 yds , Geno Stone returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense+10.3Garbage-time factor+1.6Score differential+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Time remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:26: Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:59: J.D. Dellinger 36 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +11.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:16: Mekhi Sargent run for 14 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:24: Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +13.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 1 at PUR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45IOWA 4th & 10 at PUR 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:45PUR 4th & 10 at IOWA 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:55IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 30, up 6
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:06PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14IOWA 4th & 6 at PUR 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:26PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 18, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:47IOWA 4th & 6 at PUR 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:13PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54IOWA 4th & 4 at PUR 20, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 44, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:36PUR 4th & 10 at IOWA 10, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:36IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 16, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:48PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 27, down 9
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:12IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 46, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:59PUR 4th & 9 at IOWA 18, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−2.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:24PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 1, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:38PUR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:26IOWA Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:16IOWA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:24PUR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 7:1589% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
88.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 11 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
88.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
88.8%
Brady Ross run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+25
88.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 25 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
88.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
88.8%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
88.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
88.8%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
88.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
87.1%
Keith Duncan 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.1%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
87.0%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
87.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 23 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
86.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
86.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
87.2%
Danny Carollo punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Geno Stone at the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1087% → 87%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
86.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 13 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
86.5%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+32
86.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 32 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
87.0%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-1
87.0%
Toren Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
86.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini, broken up by Jaylan AlexanderSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
86.9%
Keith Duncan 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FUMBLE
16 plays · 52 yds · 2:4214% → 15%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
86.2%
[SG], Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, QB hurry by Epenesa,A.J., PENALTY PUR ineligible downfield on pass (Mark Stickford) 5 yards to the PUR34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+7
86.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
86.2%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Sam Garvin) to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
86.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+14
86.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
50
-5
85.8%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Grant Hermanns) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+8
86.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 8 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
85.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
84.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
84.5%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
84.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
84.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 6 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
84.9%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Matt HankinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
84.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 9 yds Amad Anderson Jr. fumbled, forced by Geno Stone, recovered by Iowa Matt HankinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
85.7%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+10
85.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
85.8%
Nate Stanley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-1
85.9%
Brady Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 30
-3
85.2%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds , Jackson Anthrop returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
84.2%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-10
83.9%
[SG], King Doerue rush left for no gain to the PUR26 (Colbert,Djimon), PENALTY PUR holding (Mark Stickford) 10 yards to the PUR16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-7
84.3%
Jack Plummer sacked by John Waggoner for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+4
84.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Da'Joun Hewitt for 4 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
85.0%
Zac Collins punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:3586% → 86%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.3%
Nate Stanley run for no gain to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
86.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
85.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 15 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
86.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 11 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
86.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 5 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
86.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-3
86.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
86.4%
Keith Duncan 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 1:3614% → 24%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
86.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
86.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
85.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
85.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 42 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
84.0%
[SG], Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jared Sparks (Ojemudia,M.), PENALTY IOWA substitution infraction 5 yards to the IOWA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 5
OPP 15
0
84.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by A.J. EpenesaSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
84.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
75.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.8%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
78.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
79.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
77.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+17
77.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 17 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
76.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+7
76.8%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Riley Moss return for 7 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:2778% → 88%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
78.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 20 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
80.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
80.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 5 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
80.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 17 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
81.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler Goodson, broken up by Jack SullivanSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
80.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 21 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.0%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.0%
Nate Stanley run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
86.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
87.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+8
88.1%
Brooks Cormier punt for 37 yds , Geno Stone returns for 8 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
88.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
88.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
87.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+32
86.8%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 6 IOWA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
87.2%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
86.7%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.1%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
87.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jared Sparks for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Riley MossSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
88.1%
Zac Collins punt for 40 yds , Max Cooper returns for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:5488% → 92%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
88.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for no gain to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+30
88.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 30 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
89.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 11 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
89.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
89.3%
Nate Stanley run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+1
88.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
91.6%
Keith Duncan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
88.2%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+6
89.9%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
88.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
89.0%
Brooks Cormier punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Geno Stone at the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.6%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+27
91.2%
Nate Stanley pass intercepted Dedrick Mackey return for 27 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5813% → 13%
Q4 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
87.3%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 10 Jack Plummer fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jack PlummerSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Djimon ColbertSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
88.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
87.1%
J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
87.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+5
87.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 5 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
87.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nate WietingSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
87.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-8
86.5%
Nate Stanley sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
85.7%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 63 yds, downed at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 10%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
88.4%
Jack Plummer run for 3 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
88.3%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
88.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
89.7%
Zac Collins punt for 43 yds, downed at the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
90.7%
[SG], Stanley,Nate pass complete to Smith,Brandon for 30 yards to the PUR40 (Dedrick Mackey), PENALTY IOWA ineligible downfield on pass (Wieting,Nate) 5 yards to the IOWA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+18
90.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 18 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+5
90.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 5 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
90.1%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Tyler Linderbaum) to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
90.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22FG
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:518% → 23%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+69
91.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 54 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, personal foul (A.J. Epenesa) to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
87.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
88.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 1 yd to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
89.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
77.2%
J.D. Dellinger 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:4393% → 98%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
93.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 21 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 14 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
16 plays · 72 yds · 1:525% → 15%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
95.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
94.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
94.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 28 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
94.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 11 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Jack KoernerSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
94.1%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+17
97.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 17 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
96.4%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.6%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 0:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:24
Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-13.5
FG · Q4 2:59
J.D. Dellinger 36 yd FG GOOD
-11.8
TD · Q2 0:38
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com