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RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Iowa 30

IOWA
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:48 · Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 5 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding (Chauncey Golston) to the Iowa 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 46Pregame prior+31.6Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:13: Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:50: Keith Duncan 46 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:58: Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Keith Duncan 19 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +3.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:50: Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 23 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:18RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:13IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:09RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18RUTG 4th & 10 at IOWA 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:48RUTG 4th & 2 at IOWA 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:59IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:13RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:50IOWA 4th & 4 at RUTG 28, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:51IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:49RUTG 4th & 9 at midfield, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:19IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 45, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:38RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:05IOWA 4th & 11 at RUTG 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:05RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:43IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 42, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:07RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 8, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:54IOWA 4th & 2 at RUTG 25, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:53IOWA 4th & 17 at RUTG 30, up 30
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:18IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:13IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:50IOWA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4289% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
89.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.3%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
89.3%
[SG], PENALTY RU offside defense (Previlon, W.) 5 yards to the IOWA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+58
89.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 58 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
88.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 6 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
88.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for no gain to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+17
88.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Bo Melton for 17 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
88.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
88.8%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
88.8%
McLane Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
88.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
88.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+2
88.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
88.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-2
88.3%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 52 yds , Avery Young returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
88.2%
[SG], PENALTY RU false start (Krimin, Nick) 5 yards to the RU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
88.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+3
88.3%
McLane Carter pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
88.3%
McLane Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
88.2%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
88.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Oliver Martin for 1 yd to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+12
88.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 12 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
88.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
88.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi SargentSimilar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+25
88.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the IOWA 25 IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Matt Hankins) to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.3%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Avery YoungSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
87.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
87.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
87.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
87.4%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
87.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0187% → 86%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 0
-4
87.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 4 RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Iowa 4Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+4
87.1%
Nate Stanley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
86.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+12
86.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 54 yds , Avery Young returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
50
+8
86.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
86.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
86.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Avery YoungSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+39
86.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 5 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding (Chauncey Golston) to the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 5:3787% → 90%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
86.8%
Nate Stanley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+25
86.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 25 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
87.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
87.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
86.2%
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
86.9%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+14
87.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 14 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+25
87.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 25 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
McLane Carter pass complete to Isaiah Washington for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
89.3%
McLane Carter sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+16
89.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for 16 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4890% → 93%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.8%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
89.8%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
89.8%
Toren Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
89.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+7
90.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
92.9%
Keith Duncan 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.9%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Isaiah Washington, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
92.0%
McLane Carter pass intercepted Djimon Colbert return for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5894% → 97%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
93.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
93.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
93.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
93.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
93.8%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Ragaini,Nico, PENALTY RU holding (Young, Avery) 2 yards to the RU1, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
97.3%
Keith Duncan 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
95.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
96.1%
Artur Sitkowski run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 69 yds, downed at the Iowa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
97.1%
Nate Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+15
97.1%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Ragaini,Nico, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 15 yards to the IOWA18, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
97.2%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 9 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
96.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 23 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Daevon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
96.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 9
50
0
96.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 9
50
0
96.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, downed at the Iowa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nate WietingSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+15
97.3%
[SG], Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Smith,Brandon, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 15 yards to the IOWA17, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
97.5%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+19
97.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 19 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 2 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
97.4%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 7 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
97.1%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 46 yds, downed at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
97.6%
[SG], PENALTY RU false start (Krimin, Nick) 5 yards to the RU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 15
OWN 4
0
97.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+6
97.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
97.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
97.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:4898% → 100%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+33
97.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 33 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 23 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20INT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-7
99.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass intercepted Michael Ojemudia return for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 43 IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Nick Niemann) to the Iowa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:42100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+16
99.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 16 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.8%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Tracy,Tyrone, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 14 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.8%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Tristan Wirfs) to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+31
99.8%
Toren Young run for 31 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.8%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
Nate Stanley sacked by Rashawn Battle for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Keith Duncan 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaih Pacheco for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 18 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Oliver Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyler Goodson, broken up by Rashawn BattleSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 57 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
99.9%
Elijah Barnwell run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+3
99.9%
Elijah Barnwell run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, downed at the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:01100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+10
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 2 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 14
OPP 27
-3
99.9%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39 Johnny Langan fumbled, forced by Noah Shannon, recovered by Iowa Noah ShannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Keith Duncan 19 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
FG · Q2 3:50
Keith Duncan 46 yd FG GOOD
+2.7
TD · Q2 8:13
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com