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M-OH

Miami (OH) 14 at Iowa 38

IOWA
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+4.7IOWA 98.0%Toren Young run for 2 yds for a TD,(Keith Duncan KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 31 · Q4 5:56
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:56 · Toren Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+6.8Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+14.0Garbage-time factor+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:54: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:06: Nate Stanley pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:25: Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:53: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +8.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:56: Toren Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 3 at M-OH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:17IOWA 4th & 3 at M-OH 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:59M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:59IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48M-OH 4th & 6 at IOWA 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:06M-OH 4th & 17 at M-OH 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25M-OH 4th & 7 at IOWA 40, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:56IOWA 4th & 1 at M-OH 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:03M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:54M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:20IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:06IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:25IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:53M-OH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:56IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:03IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
95.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 17 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
95.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
95.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
95.3%
Brady Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+2
95.3%
Nico Ragaini run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
95.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
94.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 17
OWN 29
+1
94.3%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+1
94.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+13
94.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
94.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 6:5094% → 92%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
93.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brady Ross for 4 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+17
93.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 17 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
93.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+7
93.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Toren Young for 7 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
93.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+16
93.9%
Nate Stanley run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
94.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 8 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+8
94.0%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
94.0%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
93.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 3 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
92.1%
Keith Duncan 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:238% → 13%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
92.0%
Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
91.9%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+30
92.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 30 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
91.1%
Davion Johnson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
91.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
90.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
90.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 6 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+20
91.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 20 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
90.8%
[SG], BESTER, Jaylon rush left for loss of 1 yard to the IOWA2 (Merriweather,K.), PENALTY MIAMI illegal formation 5 yards to the IOWA6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
90.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 11Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
87.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:3489% → 90%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
88.6%
Toren Young run for 12 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
88.7%
Toren Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
89.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
89.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 6 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
89.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 12 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
89.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-15
89.6%
Nate Stanley sacked by TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the IOWA 45 IOWA Penalty, intentional grounding (Nate Stanley) to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 16
50
+41
88.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 41 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+5
88.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 3:2111% → 12%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
89.2%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
89.3%
[SG], PENALTY MIAMI false start (SORENSON, Jack) 5 yards to the MIAMI17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+1
89.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+15
89.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Luke Mayock for 15 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
88.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson, broken up by Matt HankinsSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+6
88.2%
[SG], GABBERT, Brett pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Hankins,Matt) 6 yards to the MIAMI43, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
87.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
87.3%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
87.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
88.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.9%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
88.0%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
87.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-15
87.3%
IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
87.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4314% → 13%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
85.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 3 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
85.8%
Davion Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
86.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-5
86.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
86.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, downed at the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
86.9%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Shaun Beyer) to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
86.9%
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.0%
Davion Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
86.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Kaevon MerriweatherSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
87.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 53 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 29 IOWA Penalty, H0 (Terry Roberts) to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:2086% → 92%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
86.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+5
85.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
86.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 10 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
87.1%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Smith-Marsette, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (RAYMOND, Z.) 15 yards to the MIAMI43, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
87.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 18 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
87.9%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.9%
Davion Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
90.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.6%
Davion Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
90.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-11
90.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Amani Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+11
91.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for 11 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:3592% → 97%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
91.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+45
91.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 45 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q3 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+28
95.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 28 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.5%
Davion Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
95.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Nico Ragaini at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
96.5%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+15
96.5%
Nate Stanley run for 15 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
96.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 22 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
96.8%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
96.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 5 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+25
96.7%
Brady Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 40 Brady Ross fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Doug Costin , return for 15 yds to the MiaOh 17 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Brett Gabbert) to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:204% → 12%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
96.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
96.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Maurice Thomas, broken up by Matt HankinsSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
96.2%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+8
96.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 8 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
96.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Davion Johnson for 8 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+7
96.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
95.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+6
95.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack SorensonSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
87.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5791% → 98%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
90.8%
[SG], Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Smith-Marsette, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (RAYMOND, Z.) 15 yards to the IOWA45, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi SargentSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
91.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+10
91.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 10 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
91.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
91.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
91.3%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 7 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+9
91.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 9 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
91.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
91.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
91.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
Toren Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.4%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Michael Ojemudia return for 14 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4498% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
98.3%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
98.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+7
98.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
98.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Oliver Martin for 5 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Jackson Williamson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 57 yds, downed at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+7
99.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:53
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andrew Homer for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Sloman KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q3 6:25
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q4 5:56
Toren Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com