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IU

Indiana 44 at Purdue 41

PUR
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:26 · Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Reese Taylor
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 185Home team on offense+3.7Pregame prior−0.5Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Time remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 2:48: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 20 yds for a TD Timeout INDIANA, clock 02:48 (Aidan O'Connell pass to Brycen Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion) — PUR win probability +46.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Timeout INDIANA, clock 00:00 — IU win probability +23.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +35.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: J.D. Dellinger 34 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +19.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD — IU win probability +66.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 2:53PUR 4th & 2 at IU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:39IU 4th & 1 at PUR 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−4.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:52PUR 4th & 3 at IU 3, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−5.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:52IU 4th & 14 at IU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:20PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:54IU 4th & 14 at PUR 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00IU 4th & 26 at PUR 35, up 11
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38IU 4th & 10 at PUR 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:38PUR 4th & 1 at IU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−4.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:21IU 4th & 2 at PUR 9, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−1.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:08IU 4th & 13 at PUR 23, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−4.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−15.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:48IU 4th & 10 at IU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:26PUR 4th & 7 at IU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−2.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:38IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:39IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:04PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:20IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:30IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:44PUR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:13PUR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:48PUR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    35.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
28.2%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
28.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+12
28.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 12 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
28.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 31 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
28.2%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
28.2%
Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
28.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
28.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted Jamar Johnson return for 9 yds to the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 6:4471% → 71%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
29.5%
Sampson James run for 9 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+30
29.4%
Sampson James run for 30 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
29.2%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
29.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the PURDUE 49 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Derrick Barnes) to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
29.2%
Sampson James run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-10
29.1%
James, Sampson rush for no gain to the PUR27, PENALTY IND holding (Crider, Harry) 10 yards to the PUR37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+8
29.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+6
29.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
29.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+8
29.1%
Sampson James run for 8 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
29.1%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
29.1%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
28.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 8 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:4529% → 30%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
29.7%
David Bell run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+9
29.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 9 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
30.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 12
50
0
29.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by James MillerSimilar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 12
50
+10
29.7%
King Doerue run for 10 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-13
30.0%
Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:0972% → 77%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
28.1%
Sampson James run for 7 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+6
28.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
28.0%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
27.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
28.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
27.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+11
27.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
27.5%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
27.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to David Ellis for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
27.8%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4724% → 27%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.0%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+48
23.9%
Zander Horvath run for 48 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
25.4%
Zander Horvath run for 20 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
25.4%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
25.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
25.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Raheem Layne PURDUE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
27.1%
J.D. Dellinger 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
26.2%
Sampson James run for 11 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
25.7%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-4
26.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
26.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
27.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 46 yds, downed at the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4325% → 32%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.7%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
24.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
32.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 72 yds for a TD INDIANA Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the Ind 1 (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4467% → 77%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
31.7%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 15 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
31.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 16 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
31.2%
Sampson James run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+24
31.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 24 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.0%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.5%
Sampson James run for 3 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
24.0%
King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
24.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
23.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+10
23.2%
Brooks Cormier punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 44 , Reese Taylor returns for 10 yds to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:2977% → 78%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
23.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 38 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
23.2%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-12
23.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 12 yards to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+3
21.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for no gain to the Prdue 22 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, recovered by Ind Peyton Ramsey , return for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
22.1%
Logan Justus 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:5424% → 27%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
23.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+29
23.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 29 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
25.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
25.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+15
25.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, PENALTY IND pass interference (Ball, Marcelino) 15 yards to the IND22, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
26.5%
J.D. Dellinger 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
23.4%
Sampson James run for 8 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
22.8%
Sampson James run for 11 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
22.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
22.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+29
22.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 29 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
22.4%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Dedrick Mackey for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 26
-5
22.7%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (Peyton Ramsey) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 31
-3
22.8%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by George Karlaftis and Derrick Barnes for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 25
OPP 34
-1
23.3%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 26
OPP 35
0
24.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
21.2%
Zander Horvath run for 15 yds to the Prdue 35 Zander Horvath fumbled, forced by Tiawan Mullen, recovered by Ind Tiawan MullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:4280% → 79%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
19.6%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+12
19.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
19.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
19.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
20.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Navon MosleySimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
20.8%
Logan Justus 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.1%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+22
21.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 22 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
22.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
22.2%
King Doerue run for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
23.1%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
22.0%
Aidan O'Connell run for no gain to the Ind 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2681% → 94%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
18.6%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
18.6%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 5
50
+11
18.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 11 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
18.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
18.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+37
6.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 37 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4610% → 23%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.3%
Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
10.8%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
10.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 19 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
11.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 19 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
12.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 25 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.0%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2381% → 85%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.7%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
18.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 22Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
19.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 13 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
16.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 48 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
14.3%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
14.3%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+6
14.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 6 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
15.1%
Logan Justus 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:0815% → 38%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
14.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
15.3%
Zander Horvath run for 8 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
15.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
15.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
17.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+19
17.8%
Zander Horvath run for 19 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
19.4%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+17
19.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 17 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
19.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, PENALTY IND holding (Mullen, Tiawan) 2 yards to the IND1, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.4%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0577% → 90%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.5%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
24.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 21 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
20.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
21.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+21
21.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 21 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
20.1%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+3
20.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 3 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
21.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Dedrick MackeySimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 8
OPP 18
-5
24.3%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (Haydon Whitehead) to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
10.4%
Charles Campbell 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2013% → 65%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
12.9%
Zander Horvath run for 22 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
16.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 18 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
18.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
18.4%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+11
16.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 11 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
19.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
18.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 20 yds for a TD Timeout INDIANA, clock 02:48 (Aidan O'Connell pass to Brycen Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 47%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
47.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
49.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
53.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 55 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:4558% → 57%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
57.5%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
56.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+19
51.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 19 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
55.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+16
60.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for 16 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
62.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+7
58.7%
Aidan O'Connell run for 7 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
61.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
57.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Reese TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Jalen GrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
40.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+11
43.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 11 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
40.5%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-6
40.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
28.1%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 28Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
22.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+23
18.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 23 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
25.6%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete, broken up by Reakwon JonesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
23.1%
Jackson Anthrop run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 6 Timeout PURDUE, clock 00:00Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
64.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
64.7%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Ind 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
62.3%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Ind 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
78.6%
J.D. Dellinger 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 89%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
70.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 10 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
70.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
70.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+14
78.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 14 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD
-66.9
TD · Q4 2:48
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 20 yds for a TD Timeout INDIANA, clock 02:48 (Aidan O'Connell pass to Brycen Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion)
+46
TD · OT 0:00
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+35.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com