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MICH

Michigan 39 at Indiana 14

IU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:53 · Will Hart punt for 24 yds, downed at the Ind 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense−1.4Pregame prior−16.4Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:09: Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +5.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:01: Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +5.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:37: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 24 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +8.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:10: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 76 yds for a TD (D. McCaffrey Run For Two-point Conversion) — MICH win probability +13.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:39: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 19 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +7.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 9:27IU 4th & 11 at IU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:53MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:03IU 4th & 4 at IU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:26IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:44MICH 4th & 2 at IU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:30MICH 4th & 1 at IU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−2.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:04MICH 4th & 5 at IU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:03IU 4th & 11 at MICH 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:59IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:03MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:20IU 4th & 3 at MICH 4, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.9%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:05IU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:07IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:09IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:01MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:37MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:10MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:39MICH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4026% → 30%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
26.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 16 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
26.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 6 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+15
26.3%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 15 yards to the MICHIGAN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
26.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
26.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
26.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 5 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
27.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mich 11Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+7
27.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Mich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
27.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
28.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5370% → 71%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
30.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+9
30.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 9 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
30.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 3 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
31.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 18 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
31.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 43Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+50
32.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Giles Jackson for 50 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
31.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
29.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 6 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5530% → 32%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
30.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-5
31.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Matthew Bedford) to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
31.1%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Hill, Lavert) 9 yards to the INDIANA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
32.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
32.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Daxton Hill return for no gain to the Mich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:4169% → 68%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
31.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
30.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
30.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-5
31.2%
Shea Patterson sacked by Marcelino Ball for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 20
OWN 21
-12
32.1%
Shea Patterson sacked by Jerome Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the Mich 21 MICHIGAN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shea Patterson) to the Mich 21Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 32
OWN 21
0
32.5%
Will Hart punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2134% → 41%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
33.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to David Ellis for 6 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
34.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+23
34.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to David Ellis for 23 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
35.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 21Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+17
35.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 17 yds to the Mich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:5262% → 67%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
38.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
38.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
38.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 17 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
37.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 22 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
38.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
38.2%
Giles Jackson run for 1 yd to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
32.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3436% → 35%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
35.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Erick All) to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.1%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
36.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-1
36.3%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+7
35.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2566% → 65%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
34.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
34.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
33.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
35.0%
Will Hart punt for 24 yds, downed at the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4538% → 37%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
38.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
39.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
37.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1565% → 75%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
35.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 8 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+19
34.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alfred Bryant) to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
33.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 29 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
25.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 24 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5528% → 27%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
27.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
28.6%
Donavan Hale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
26.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 53 yds, downed at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:2673% → 76%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
26.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+7
25.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
25.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+16
25.6%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Williams, Jaylin) 16 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
50
+6
24.1%
Giles Jackson run for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
23.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
24.0%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
23.9%
Will Hart punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0626% → 27%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
26.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+5
27.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:2674% → 77%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 6 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
25.2%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+41
25.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 41 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
23.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+7
24.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 7 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
25.2%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
23.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
23.4%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
24.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
23.1%
Quinn Nordin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:5222% → 21%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
22.3%
Ramsey, Peyton rush for 4 yards to the INDIANA29, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Stepaniak, Simon) 10 yards to the INDIANA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-9
22.1%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 6Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 29
OWN 6
+9
21.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+20
21.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 20 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+24
22.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 24 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
24.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 7 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
25.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
24.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-10
23.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matthew Bedford) to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
20.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3478% → 92%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
21.6%
Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+76
8.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 76 yds for a TD (D. McCaffrey Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5110% → 10%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
10.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
9.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Hale, Donavan for 16 yards to the INDIANA42, PENALTY INDIANA illegal touching 0 yards to the INDIANA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
9.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 yds, downed at the Mich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5593% → 94%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
7.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Ben Bredeson) to the Mich 21Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+15
7.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marcelino Ball) to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
6.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-3
5.8%
Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
6.0%
Will Hart punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:129% → 8%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
8.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
8.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-8
8.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 19 Peyton Ramsey fumbled, forced by Josh Uche, recovered by Mich Josh Uche , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 19 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
0.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 29 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for no gain to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.9%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+32
0.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 32 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
0.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the Mich 4Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
0.7%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Mich 4Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 3
OPP 4
0
0.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22INT
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
0.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
0.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+3
0.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
0.3%
Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+15
0.3%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Black, Tarik, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Mullen, Tiawan) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
0.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 6 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+35
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 35 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Mike SainristilSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
0.2%
Tru Wilson run for no gain to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+11
0.2%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Micah McFadden return for 11 yds to the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
13 plays · 48 yds · 7:300% → 0%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
0.3%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
0.3%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+2
0.3%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.3%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+12
0.3%
Sampson James run for 12 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
0.2%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 7 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
0.2%
Jack Tuttle run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 1
50
+2
0.2%
Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
0.2%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 7 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
0.2%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
0.2%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 1 yd to the Mich 36Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
0.2%
Connor Thomas run for 1 yd to the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:10
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 76 yds for a TD (D. McCaffrey Run For Two-point Conversion)
-13.4
TD · Q2 5:37
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 24 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q3 1:39
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 19 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com