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Northwestern 3 at Indiana 34

IU
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:48 · Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+23.3Pregame prior+10.5Score differential+15.2Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +1.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:10: Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +4.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:36: Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +9.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:05: Timeout NORTHWESTERN, clock 00:05 — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:33: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:39IU 4th & 3 at NU 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40NU 4th & 2 at IU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:18NU 4th & 3 at IU 7, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:05IU 4th & 10 at IU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:10NU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:36NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13IU 4th & 5 at NU 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:33IU 4th & 4 at NU 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:18NU 4th & 1 at NU 20, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13IU 4th & 12 at IU 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:48NU 4th & 16 at NU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:33NU 4th & 25 at NU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:28IU 4th & 11 at NU 12, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:28NU 4th & 7 at NU 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:27IU 4th & 7 at NU 39, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:10NU 4th & 6 at NU 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:44IU 4th & 8 at NU 23, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:40IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:10IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:36IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:33IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:2178% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
77.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+12
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 12 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
77.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 8 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
77.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+27
77.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 27 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+10
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 10 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
77.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+27
76.9%
Logan Justus 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
76.7%
Aidan Smith run for 22 yds to the Nwest 47 Aidan Smith fumbled, forced by Tiawan Mullen, recovered by Ind Michael ZiembaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:4777% → 79%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
77.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
77.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
77.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
77.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
77.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 17 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
77.2%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
77.2%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 7 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 7:2222% → 23%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
77.6%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+11
77.7%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Jace James for 11 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
77.4%
Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
50
+1
77.2%
Kyric McGowan run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
77.3%
Aidan Smith run for 6 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
77.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 3 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
77.2%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+4
77.3%
Aidan Smith run for 4 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+8
77.5%
Kyric McGowan run for 8 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
76.9%
Smith, Aidan pass complete to McGowan, Kyric for 4 yards to the IND23 (Ball, Marcelino), PENALTY NU holding (Vogel, Gunnar) 10 yards to the IND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+2
77.3%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+21
77.2%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 21 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
76.9%
Aidan Smith run for 3 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
76.9%
Jesse Brown run for 5 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-1
77.3%
Aidan Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
76.7%
Charlie Kuhbander 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:1378% → 77%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
77.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+19
77.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
78.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
77.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
76.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
77.0%
Drake Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 18 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Cam Jones, recovered by Ind Tiawan MullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3479% → 84%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.7%
Whop Philyor run for no gain to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
78.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 2 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+14
78.3%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY NU pass interference (Newsome II, G.) 14 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.2%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.8%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
82.6%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
82.5%
Johnson, Hunter rush for 9 yards to the NU45 (Mullen, Tiawan), PENALTY NU holding (Bacon, Preston) 10 yards to the NU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+1
82.8%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+8
83.0%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+13
83.0%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 13 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
82.2%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
82.4%
Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 8
50
0
82.5%
Hunter Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 8
50
0
82.8%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:3084% → 95%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
83.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+41
83.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 41 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
84.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 35 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.7%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Nwest 7Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
84.7%
Whop Philyor run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 12Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
84.3%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 10 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
84.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 3Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.7%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY NU pass interference (Pace, JR) 1 yards to the NU2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.7%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Nwest 2Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse BrownSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowanSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Andrew David punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0095% → 95%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
94.7%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.9%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Jake Saunders for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+4
94.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+6
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, downed at the Nwest 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:596% → 4%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
93.7%
Hunter Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
93.6%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jace JamesSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+11
93.6%
Hunter Johnson run for 11 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
93.5%
Johnson, Hunter pass incomplete to Brown, Jesse, PENALTY IND personal foul (Jones, Cam) 15 yards to the NU37, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
93.1%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Riley Lees for 18 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
92.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
92.8%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.6%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 15 yds to the Ind 42 lat. to Riley Lees for a loss of 12 yards to the Ind 42 lat. to Hunter Johnson for 5 yds Hunter Johnson fumbled, recovered by Ind Alfred Bryant , return for 5 yds to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Hunter Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Hunter Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Andrew David punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
94.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
94.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 14:33
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+13
94.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 13 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.0%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
95.1%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46Similar
Q3 14:33
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
94.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 14:33
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
94.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
94.9%
Hunter Johnson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
94.9%
Jesse Brown run for 2 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Hunter Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse BrownSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Andrew David punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
96.2%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
96.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
96.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Adebawore Adetomiwa for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+3
96.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-5
96.0%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Matthew Bedford) to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+6
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
96.1%
Kyric McGowan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+7
96.1%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 7 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
96.1%
Hunter Johnson sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 16
OWN 17
0
96.2%
Aidan Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 16
OWN 17
0
96.2%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Jace JamesSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
96.2%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:0997% → 100%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+11
97.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 11 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
97.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 17 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
97.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
97.1%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Marcelino BallSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Smith, Aidan sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NU15 (McFadden, Micah), PENALTY IND face mask (Johnson, Jerome) 15 yards to the NU40, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Kyric McGowan run for no gain to the Nwest 40Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 10
OWN 40
-15
99.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sam Gerak) to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 25
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+32
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 32 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 13 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 12Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete, broken up by Eku LeotaSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop Philyor INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
99.8%
Logan Justus 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Drake Anderson for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass complete to Riley Lees for 3 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Jonathan KingSimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Aidan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Andrew David punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Gary Cooper for 13 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+18
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 18 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.8%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+4
99.8%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-5
99.8%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Westbrook, Nick for 17 yards to the NU17 (Williams, Trae), PENALTY IND ineligible downfield on pass (Cooper, Gary) 5 yards to the NU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, downed at the Nwest 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.9%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Andrew Marty run for 2 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Andrew Marty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Andrew David punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Nwest 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+18
99.9%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Erik Mueller) to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-1
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-1
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 23Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
Jack Tuttle run for 6 yds to the Nwest 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:36
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
+9.8
TD · Q2 11:10
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q3 1:33
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 20 yds for a TD (Logan Justus KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com