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IU

Indiana 38 at Nebraska 31

NEB
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:12 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:39: Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 24 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +13.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:30: David Ellis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Ramsey pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +17.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +21.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:08: Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +18.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:21: Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +17.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 13:27IU 4th & 1 at NEB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45IU 4th & 3 at NEB 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23NEB 4th & 1 at IU 41, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:44NEB 4th & 6 at IU 15, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44IU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 2
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:25NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 12, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:55IU 4th & 7 at NEB 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:26NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 16, up 5
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:53NEB 4th & 1 at IU 12, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−4.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−16.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:25IU 4th & 7 at NEB 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−6.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:21IU 4th & 5 at NEB 40, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−2.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:19NEB 4th & 5 at IU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:32NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:57NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:23IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:19IU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:39NEB Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:30IU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:08IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:21NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2856% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
56.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
56.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 8 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+45
56.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 45 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
56.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.9%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:4243% → 43%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
56.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
56.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+22
56.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 22 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
56.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
56.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
56.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+31
56.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 23 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, roughing passer (8 Yards) to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
56.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
56.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
56.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
57.0%
Logan Justus 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4857% → 61%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
57.0%
JD Spielman pass complete to Noah Vedral for 22 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (Juwan Burgess) to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
57.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 31 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
57.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.8%
Noah Vedral run for 1 yd for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:3040% → 43%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.9%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
60.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 11 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
59.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 18 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
59.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+9
59.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 9 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
58.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 21 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5FUMBLE
16 plays · 51 yds · 3:2358% → 60%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
58.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
58.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
59.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
59.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
50
0
59.4%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
50
+9
59.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
59.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
58.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
60.5%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
59.9%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
60.5%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
60.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+68
59.8%
Noah Vedral sacked by Jamar Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 8 Noah Vedral fumbled, recovered by Ind Allen Stallings IV , return for 0 yards , return for 68 yds to the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
52.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 8 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:2956% → 57%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
56.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Brenden Jaimes) to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+2
55.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
55.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+14
54.7%
W. Robinson rush over right end for loss of 1 yard to the NEB33, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IND face mask (Jones, Shamar) 14 yards to the NEB48, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
57.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+34
56.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Mike Williams for 34 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
58.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
58.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
57.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-5
56.6%
W. Robinson rush up middle for 2 yards to the IND8, PENALTY NEB illegal formation (Mike Williams) 5 yards to the IND15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
56.6%
Barret Pickering 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
54.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
54.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+16
53.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 16 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-7
52.9%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Ben Stille for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+12
54.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 5
50
0
53.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 47 yds, downed at the Neb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
53.9%
Noah Vedral run for 8 yds to the Neb 11 Noah Vedral fumbled, forced by James Miller, recovered by Neb Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+1
54.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Neb 12Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 12
0
53.1%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 12Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
52.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:0250% → 51%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
50.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 20 yds to the NEBRASKA 33 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
49.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
49.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 4 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
49.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Alex Davis return for 5 yds to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:1354% → 69%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
54.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
55.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 22 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
57.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
59.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+11
56.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 11 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
69.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 24 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
66.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
63.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
63.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop Philyor, broken up by Collin MillerSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+19
64.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 19 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-2
62.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+23
63.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 23 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
60.1%
INDIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Whop Philyor) to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
60.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
60.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr.Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
60.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
63.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
66.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
66.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 12
+4
64.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
64.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:2740% → 58%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
59.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
59.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
60.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
59.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 24 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.7%
David Ellis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Ramsey pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 4:3749% → 59%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
51.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
50.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
52.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 14 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
53.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
53.4%
Wyatt Mazour run for 10 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
54.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
54.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+8
52.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
54.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Trent Hixson) to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+12
54.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 12 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
54.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
52.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
59.3%
Barret Pickering 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5348% → 74%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
52.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
49.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 40 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
47.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
47.0%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Lamar Jackson) 11 yards to the NEB2, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
47.0%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Neb 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:0033% → 36%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
33.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+12
36.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 12 yds Kanawai Noa fumbled, forced by Alfred Bryant, recovered by Ind Juwan BurgessSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:1775% → 91%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
25.5%
Ramsey, Peyton rush up middle for 1 yard to the IND44, PENALTY IND holding (Littlejohn, H.) 10 yards to the IND33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 20
OWN 33
0
27.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+38
28.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 38 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
23.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
23.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
24.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+17
27.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, roughing passer (Carlos Davis) to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
8.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4714% → 35%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+20
13.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
16.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 12 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
17.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
17.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
17.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
22.4%
Whop Philyor run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+23
23.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 23 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
20.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
19.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-1
20.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Khalil Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
22.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 33 yds, downed at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 1:1723% → 25%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
23.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+5
22.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 5 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+31
21.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 31 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
26.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+15
25.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 15 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
27.3%
Noah Vedral pass complete to JD Spielman for 6 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-2
30.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+1
27.1%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 1 yd to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
24.6%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Jack Stoll, broken up by Tiawan Mullen NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 29 yds · 2:1187% → 95%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
12.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
11.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+11
12.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
10.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 11 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
10.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
4.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-4
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 15
OPP 35
-2
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q4 12:08
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q3 7:30
David Ellis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Ramsey pass to Peyton Hendershot for Two-Point Conversion)
-17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com