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IU

Indiana 34 at Maryland 28

MD
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:00 · Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Mary 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior−16.8Home team on offense−1.2Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:09: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +10.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 26 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +13.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:32: Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +13.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:01: Javon Leake run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +24.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 2:49: Logan Justus 34 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +9.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:08MD 4th & 1 at IU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27MD 4th & 1 at MD 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34IU 4th & 11 at IU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:00MD 4th & 1 at MD 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 1 at MD 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:36IU 4th & 2 at MD 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53MD 4th & 5 at MD 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24IU 4th & 5 at MD 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:24MD 4th & 7 at MD 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:09IU 4th & 2 at IU 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:10MD 4th & 10 at MD 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35IU 4th & 3 at MD 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−4.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:56MD 4th & 4 at MD 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:22IU 4th & 4 at IU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:49IU 4th & 11 at MD 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−4.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−21.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:22MD 4th & 3 at MD 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−6.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:03IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:41MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:31IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:05MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:09MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:24IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:32IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:01MD Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:5770% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
30.0%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 17 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
30.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to David Ellis for 11 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Nick CrossSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
30.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 13 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
30.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Donavan Hale for 28 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1730% → 33%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.3%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Demus, Dontay, PENALTY IND pass interference (Williams, J.) 15 yards to the UMD40, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
30.4%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
30.4%
Javon Leake run for 7 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
30.5%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Savoy, Sean, PENALTY IND pass interference (Burgess, Juwan) 15 yards to the IND34, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
30.5%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
30.5%
Javon Leake run for 7 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
31.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
30.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
31.2%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Leake, Javon, PENALTY IND holding (Bryant, Khalil) 10 yards to the IND13, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
31.2%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
33.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 11 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0568% → 70%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
32.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 15 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
32.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
32.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
31.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
31.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 15 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
31.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 15 yds to the Mary 2 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Mary 17Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
31.9%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 14 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
30.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
31.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Sean Savoy for 9 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
32.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
31.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
30.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
30.9%
Penix, Michael pass complete to Philyor, Whop for 14 yards to the IND43 (Banks, Deonte), PENALTY IND illegal formation 5 yards to the IND24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+15
31.1%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Lewis, Marcus) 15 yards to the IND39, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
30.4%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
30.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot, broken up by Chance CampbellSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
30.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
31.2%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
32.3%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
32.3%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+6
32.4%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
32.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
32.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 6 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
33.0%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
32.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:1370% → 70%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
29.8%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
29.9%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+7
30.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
30.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
29.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 28 yds to the Mary 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
29.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback. Antoine Brooks Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1632% → 41%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
32.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for 4 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+12
32.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 12 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
32.6%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+60
41.0%
Javon Leake run for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:2462% → 65%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
38.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
38.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
38.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
37.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 29 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
35.6%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Fryfogle, Ty for 5 yards to the UMD30 (Mosley, Jordan), PENALTY IND illegal shift 5 yards to the UMD40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+18
36.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 18 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
35.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
35.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 5 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+13
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 13 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
35.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
35.3%
Logan Justus 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2737% → 51%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
38.8%
Pigrome, T. pass complete to Fleet-Davis, T. for no gain to the UMD34 (Matthews, Devon), PENALTY UMD holding 10 yards to the UMD24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
36.9%
Javon Leake run for 9 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
37.5%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+40
37.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 40 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
40.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
40.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 8 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
50.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:3851% → 68%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
49.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
50.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 11 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
47.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
50
0
47.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
50
+6
47.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-5
47.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Matthew Bedford) to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
48.4%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Hendershot, P., PENALTY UMD offside (Brand, Bryce) 5 yards to the UMD44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+11
47.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 11 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
45.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 7 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
32.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 26 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
37.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 7 yds to the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
38.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
37.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
37.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
36.7%
Colton Spangler punt for 60 yds, downed at the Ind 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
36.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 10 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+34
36.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 34 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
34.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-1
33.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-10
34.3%
Ramsey, Peyton rush for 6 yards to the UMD39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY IND holding 10 yards to the IND45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+9
36.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
36.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
37.6%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
38.1%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
38.1%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-3
40.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
36.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere, broken up by Jaylin WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+7
35.7%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 42 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 7 yds to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
35.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
34.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 5 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
34.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
36.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
38.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for 7 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 21
-7
39.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Marcelino Ball for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
36.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
36.2%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:1766% → 82%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
34.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 27 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
32.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 10 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
31.6%
Peyton Ramsey run for 12 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
31.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
18.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:2621% → 47%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
20.5%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+10
20.8%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Demus, Dontay, PENALTY IND holding (Mullen, Tiawan) 10 yards to the UMD33, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
21.1%
Javon Leake run for 9 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-11
22.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Jamar Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-5
19.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+21
19.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 21 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+52
22.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 52 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.4%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
15 plays · 57 yds · 3:2562% → 65%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
37.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+22
38.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 22 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
36.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
37.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 9 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
35.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
34.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Nick Westbrook) to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Ayinde Eley and Keandre Jones for 0 yards to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+15
36.2%
Peyton Ramsey run for 15 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
32.2%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
32.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
32.6%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
35.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.3%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
40.1%
Javon Leake run for 7 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
39.8%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
41.2%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
40.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Javon LeakeSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+6
38.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
39.5%
Anthony Pecorella punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Ellis at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
28.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
27.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
28.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr.Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
30.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
37.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for a loss of 3 yards Javon Leake fumbled, forced by Juwan Burgess, recovered by Ind Juwan BurgessSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5379% → 86%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
20.8%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
20.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Peyton HendershotSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-1
22.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
13.6%
Logan Justus 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25INT
15 plays · 33 yds · 1:2723% → 17%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
23.3%
Pigrome, T. pass incomplete to Leake, Javon, PENALTY UMD illegal block (Jones, Darryl) 12 yards to the UMD13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
22.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay Demus Jr.Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+10
22.3%
Pigrome, T. pass complete to Jones, Darryl for 9 yards to the UMD22 (Matthews, Devon), PENALTY IND holding (Ball, Marcelino) 10 yards to the UMD23, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
23.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
23.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
24.3%
Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
18.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Sean SavoySimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
18.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
16.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+4
13.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
15.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darryl Jones for 10 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted Reese Taylor return for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 8
-1
6.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:01
Javon Leake run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+24.7
TD · Q2 0:24
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 26 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q3 2:32
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com