Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Indiana 35

IU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:39 · Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+36.5Home team on offense+14.1Score differential+9.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. SACK · Q2 7:39: Johnny Langan sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 42 — RUTG win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:38: Stevie Scott III run for 26 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST down — IU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:22: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 54 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST down — IU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Ind 34 — IU win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:55: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:50RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:14RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08RUTG 4th & 18 at IU 36, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:43RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 12 at IU 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:37RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:03RUTG 4th & 10 at IU 38, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:47IU 4th & 9 at IU 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:39RUTG 4th & 25 at RUTG 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:38IU 4th & 6 at RUTG 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:26RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:48IU 4th & 1 at RUTG 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:55RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:02RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:25RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:58IU 4th & 12 at RUTG 25, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:14IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:08IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:55IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:02IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.7%
Johnny Langan sacked by Demarcus Elliott for a loss of 8 yards Johnny Langan fumbled, recovered by Ind Reakwon Jones , return for 0 yards , return for 17 yds, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
96.7%
Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
96.7%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 14:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:4797% → 97%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+56
96.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 56 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 14 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
96.5%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 13
OWN 14
0
96.5%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+4
96.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:4397% → 97%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.5%
David Ellis run for 5 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
96.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 1
50
+8
96.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
96.5%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY RU pass interference (Young, Avery) 15 yards to the RU27, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
96.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 8 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
96.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
96.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+43
96.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 28 yds to the INDIANA 43 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (Juwan Burgess) to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
96.6%
Johnny Langan run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-10
96.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-2
96.8%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Paul Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 18
OPP 36
-3
96.8%
Johnny Langan sacked by Cam Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
97.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Damon Hayes return for 8 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.9%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.0%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.0%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Aaron Young for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:2197% → 97%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
97.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 12 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 17 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 55 yds, downed at the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
97.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 9
OWN 6
-2
97.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 11
OWN 4
0
97.3%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Daevon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 14:37
4TH & 11
OWN 4
+8
97.3%
Adam Korsak punt for 56 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 8 yds to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
97.5%
Sampson James run for 6 yds to the Ind 48 Sampson James fumbled, forced by Olakunle Fatukasi, recovered by Rutgr Damon Hayes , return for 6 yds to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
97.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
97.1%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-1
97.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Bo Melton for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
97.2%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
97.2%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, downed at the Ind 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 2:2697% → 98%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
97.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 6 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+4
97.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
97.8%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+3
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 3 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+8
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 8 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 4
OWN 19
-5
97.7%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Raheem Layne) to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
97.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
97.2%
Johnny Langan sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
97.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 16
OWN 42
-9
97.4%
Johnny Langan sacked by Cam Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 25
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+26
98.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 26 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to David EllisSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+22
97.6%
Johnny Langan run for 32 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Bo Melton) to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
97.5%
Aaron Young run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
97.4%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
97.5%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Johnny Langan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
97.5%
Adam Korsak punt for 53 yds, downed at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 94 yds · 0:3498% → 98%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+54
98.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 54 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+31
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 31 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
97.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for no gain to the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
97.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0598% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+57
98.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 57 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
98.2%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.6%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-5
99.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Mohamed JabbieSimilar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Adam Korsak punt for 68 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
17 plays · 98 yds · 7:07100% → 100%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
99.6%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Matthew Bedford) to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+4
99.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 4 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+11
99.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 11 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+7
99.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 7 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
99.6%
Stevie Scott III run for 31 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
99.6%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.7%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+18
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 18 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
99.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Simon Stepaniak) to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ronnie Walker Jr.Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+15
99.8%
Penix, Michael pass incomplete to Philyor, Whop, PENALTY RU pass interference (Avery, Tre) 15 yards to the RU3, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Sampson James run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Sampson James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
99.8%
Johnny Langan sacked by Reakwon Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 18
OWN 21
+5
99.8%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Paul WoodsSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , Whop Philyor returns for no gain to the Ind 26 INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 4 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
99.8%
Sampson James run for 8 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 7 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.8%
Sampson James run for 9 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Sampson James run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
50
0
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
50
0
99.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.9%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+8
99.9%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Johnny Langan pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25DOWNS
16 plays · 50 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
David Ellis run for 6 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
David Ellis run for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
David Ellis run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
David Ellis run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 1
50
+3
99.9%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
David Ellis run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
David Ellis run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Gary Cooper for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-1
99.9%
Ahrod Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
Ahrod Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
100.0%
Johnny Langan sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 18
OWN 13
-2
100.0%
Elijah Barnwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:55
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+1.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:22
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 54 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST down
+0.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 5:38
Stevie Scott III run for 26 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST down
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com