Try the model
CONN

UConn 3 at Indiana 38

IU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:37 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 7 yds to the Ind 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense+30.7Score differential+27.6Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:24: Clayton Harris 41 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 7:12: Timeout INDIANA, clock 07:12 — CONN win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q2 1:42: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:50: Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted for a TD Cam Jones return for 44 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:37: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 16 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CONN made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:24CONN 4th & 10 at IU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:01CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35IU 4th & 6 at CONN 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:37IU 4th & 12 at IU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:44CONN 4th & 8 at IU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:10CONN 4th & 24 at CONN 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:50CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:37CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 2 at IU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 5 at IU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:47CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 5:01IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:42IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:50IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:37IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:47IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
96.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+10
96.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 10 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
96.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 10 yds Peyton Hendershot fumbled, forced by Kevon Jones, recovered by UConn Omar ForttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:113% → 4%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
96.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+2
96.7%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+8
96.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 8 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
96.3%
Clayton Harris 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2396% → 96%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.3%
Stevie Scott III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
96.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 10 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
96.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 9 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.3%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
50
+5
96.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
96.4%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
96.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+16
95.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 16 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
95.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 9 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 12 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (Jack Zergiotis) to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
95.3%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
95.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+14
95.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 14 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:5995% → 95%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
94.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+11
94.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 11 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
95.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
95.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+21
95.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 21 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
95.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 25 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
95.2%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
94.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for no gain to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+4
94.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
94.6%
Logan Justus 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 52 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 5 yds to the Ind 30 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-7
94.3%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Lwal Uguak for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+1
94.2%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cole Gest for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+4
94.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 12
OWN 16
+12
93.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 57 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 12 yds to the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:427% → 7%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
93.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
93.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+7
93.2%
Cameron Ross run for 7 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
93.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+10
93.4%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass incomplete to ROSS, Cameron (Mullen, Tiawan), PENALTY IND holding (Mullen, Tiawan) 10 yards to the IND34, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
92.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 7 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
92.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-5
93.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Jay Rose) to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
93.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
92.6%
Clayton Harris 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:0293% → 95%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
93.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
93.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 8 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+8
93.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
93.7%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick (PAUL, Keyshawn), PENALTY UCONN offside (JONES, Travis) 5 yards to the UCONN35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+25
93.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 25 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
93.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
93.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 4Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 8 yds · 1:326% → 5%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.5%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 3 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
94.2%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass incomplete to BROWN, Ardell, PENALTY IND holding (Layne, Raheem) 10 yards to the UCONN47, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
94.0%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack sacked for loss of 3 yards to the UCONN44 (Jones, Reakwon), PENALTY UCONN illegal block (LEONE, Nino) 15 yards to the UCONN32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+8
94.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 17
OWN 40
-3
94.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 20
OWN 37
-4
94.8%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Shamar Jones and Jerome Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 24
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0296% → 95%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-5
95.2%
Snyder, N. kickoff 65 yards to the UCONN0, THOMPKINS, Art return to the UCONN10 (Fitzgerald, B.), PENALTY IND offside (Taylor, Reese) 5 yards to the IND30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12INT TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:105% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
94.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 19 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
94.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
94.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+44
97.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted for a TD Cam Jones return for 44 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
97.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.7%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-2
97.7%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art Thompkins, broken up by Cam JonesSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 3 yds to the Ind 45 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 5:0498% → 100%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
98.4%
Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
98.3%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY UCONN offside (JONES, Travis) 5 yards to the IND18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+12
98.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
98.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 13 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 6 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
98.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 22 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
98.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
98.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 16 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
99.7%
Jack Zergiotis run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 7 yds to the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
99.8%
Whop Philyor run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Dillon Harris return for 1 yd to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.8%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-1
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+6
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 6 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 1 yd to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron Ross, broken up by Tiawan MullenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 3
50
+13
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 13 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 10 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+17
99.9%
David Ellis run for 17 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Ardell Brown for 4 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 5 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+7
99.9%
Sampson James run for 7 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Jack Tuttle run for 6 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Sampson James run for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Tuttle, Jack rush for 2 yards to the 50 yardline (ROBINSON, Oneil), PENALTY UCONN offside (DEVAUGHN, Pierc) 5 yards to the UCONN47, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Connor Thomas run for 5 yds to the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:50
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted for a TD Cam Jones return for 44 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 1:42
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 4:37
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 16 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com